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318 Miami St
B+ Composite 76.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

318 Miami St · Burlington, KS 66839
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,244 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1880 7,560 sqft lot Est $93k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Updated electrical
  • Front and back yards
  • Inviting front porch

Tags

INVITING FRONT PORCHNEW ROOF INSTALLEDUPDATED ELECTRICALORIGINAL GARAGESPACIOUS PRIMARY SUITEFRONT AND BACK YARDS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: From 75 HWY turn east on Miami. House on north side of road
  • HOA & community: No association fees; No maintenance provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached parking; Carport; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Frame construction; Composition roof; About 1,244 sq ft living area; Built over 100 years ago; Facing / entry direction not specified
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Not in a flood plain; Lot approximately 63 x 120 ft

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (one on main level, two on upper level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling (air conditioning)
  • Interior features: Cellar basement; 1.5-story floor plan

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $397 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#57 in KS, #3,781 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Burlington (town): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #54 of 169 in KS (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29 units permitted in Coffey County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Coffey County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $65k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $63,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
13.63%
Cash-on-cash
26.20%
DSCR
2.17
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$93,300
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
318 Miami St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,244 (0%) 1mo $65,000 $52 99
322 N 5th St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,296 (+4%) 11mo $85,000 $66 73
809 Alleghaney St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-4%) 2mo $89,999 $75 57
621 N 3rd St 0.23mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,402 (+13%) 8mo $195,000 $139 48
914 Des Moines St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,372 (+10%) 13mo $100,000 $73 48
202 N 11th St 0.62mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,200 (-4%) 14mo $235,000 $196 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.9%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$14,755
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
28.2%
Equity multiple
3.49×
Total profit
$45,355
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 66839

Home prices YoY
-11.8%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $296/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$397

Break-even live

Break-even rent $497
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
524 Juniatta St Burlington, KS 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 44d 1 0.18mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-29
    listed $65,000 Active
  3. 2006-11-01
    soldstatus $28,500
  4. 1994-05-01
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$296 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$916 · $76/mo
Expected delta
+$620/yr (+$52/mo · 209.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,000
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$296
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$960
− Management
−$960
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$3,927
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$942
After-tax cash flow
$3,826/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burlington
NCES district ID
2004290
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$53,723
Composite
31.12/100
National rank
#6064
State rank
#54 of 169 in KS

Livability — Burlington

Score
76/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#3781

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Burlington, KS
Population (ZIP)
3,904

Population outlook (Coffey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,172 people
By 2030
8,015 · -1.9%
By 2040
7,612 · -6.9%
By 2050
7,178 · -12.2%
By 2075
6,580 · -19.5%
By 2100
5,971 · -26.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 14% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coffey

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.3% · R 77.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.7pp · 2024: -55.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.7 2020: R+55.7 2016: R+57.3 2012: R+51.5 2008: R+45.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.99%
Current HPI
247.43
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+333.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $65,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
  • 1994-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $296 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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