3420 Castlecreek Dr · Huntsville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this 2 story home in Castlecreek Subdivision. It has 3 bedrooms, 1 bonus and lots of space. Good space in the back yard. Williams & Columbia High School. List price is the starting price.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2009
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (12.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Huntsville City (urban): math 21% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #48 of 129 in AL (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 823 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 494 units permitted in Limestone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($130k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Limestone County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.89%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $274,302
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -23.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3561 Avalon Lake Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 2,324 (-4%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $95 | 82 |
| 3628 Whistling Way SW | 0.25mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,377 (-2%) | 2mo | $396,000 | $167 | 79 |
| 3597 Whistling Way SW | 0.25mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,377 (-2%) | 4mo | $403,900 | $170 | 77 |
| 3590 Adrea Ave | 0.28mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,361 (-2%) | 3mo | $419,900 | $178 | 76 |
| 3213 Castlecreek Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 | 2,245 (-7%) | 4mo | $209,200 | $93 | 73 |
| 3232 Castlecreek Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 2,219 (-8%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $106 | 68 |
| 3207 Avalon Lake Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 2,310 (-5%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $104 | 65 |
| 3123 Avalon Lake Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 2,642 (+9%) | 6mo | $199,900 | $76 | 57 |
| 3191 Avalon Lake Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 | 2,754 (+14%) | 18mo | $263,000 | $95 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-28,429
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-26,696
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35756
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 823
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,847 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$113 /mo · $1,361/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$15
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $142
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3693 Avalon Lake Dr Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2356 | $1,816 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 3376 Feldspar Dr SW Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1683 | $1,616 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3377 Feldspar Dr SW Madison, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1683 | $1,616 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.13mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $15 · $180/yr
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $210,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $210,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $210,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $210,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $210,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-04-10$210,000 Active 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
Check out this 2 story home in Castlecreek Subdivision. It has 3 bedrooms, 1 bonus and lots of space. Good space in the back yard. Williams & Columbia High School. List price is the starting price.
-
2026-04-04price $210,000
-
2023-09-13soldstatus $217,000
-
2023-08-25soldstatus $217,000 Sold
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2023-07-12historical Contingent
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2023-06-30$220,000 Active
-
2018-11-08soldstatus $124,280
-
2018-05-04soldstatus $124,000
-
2017-05-20$124,000
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2008-05-21soldstatus $170,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,361 · $113/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,361 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,162
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$1,361
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,773
- − Management
- −$1,773
- − HOA
- −$180
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$1,848
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$443
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,145/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Huntsville City
- NCES district ID
- 0101800
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,264
- Composite
- 28.84/100
- National rank
- #6647
- State rank
- #48 of 129 in AL
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntsville, AL
- County
- Limestone County · 80,439 people
- City population
- 220,435
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,947
- Household income
- $129,852
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 286.0
Population outlook (Limestone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 111,441 people
- By 2030
- 121,272 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 140,705 · +26.3%
- By 2050
- 159,069 · +42.7%
- By 2075
- 202,231 · +81.5%
- By 2100
- 230,608 · +106.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 21% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Korean 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Limestone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.0pp toward R · 2008: -41.9pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+42.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+41.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.15%
- Current HPI
- 180.5285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.15%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+23.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $210,000 VMLS
- 2026-04-04 Price Changed $210,000 VMLS
- 2023-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $217,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-25 Sold (MLS) $217,000 VMLS
- 2023-07-12 Contingent — VMLS
- 2023-06-30 Listed $220,000 VMLS
- 2018-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $124,280 Public Records
- 2018-05-04 Sold (MLS) $124,000 VMLS
- 2017-05-20 Listed $124,000 VMLS
- 2008-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,361 · -11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…