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13813 Mission Oaks Blvd
D+ Composite 49.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,900

13813 Mission Oaks Blvd · Seminole, FL 33776
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 805 sqft · Condo public records · 431 Days on market
Built 1974 $855/mo HOA · 42% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Now Offered at $109,900, Incredible Opportunity in the Heart of Seminole! This well maintained 2 bedroom, 2 bath condo is located in a desirable 55 plus community and offers comfort, convenience, and exceptional value in one of Seminole’s most peaceful and centrally located areas. Featuring a spacious split bedroom layout, this condo is designed for both privacy and functionality. The primary suite includes a walk in shower and generous closet space with built-in organizers, while the guest bath features a tub for added convenience. Natural light fills the living areas, creating a bright and welcoming atmosphere throughout the home. The kitchen offers ample cabinetry, a breakfast bar,

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • Split floor plan
  • Non-flood zone

Tags

NON-FLOOD ZONESPLIT FLOOR PLANLARGE BEDROOM CLOSETSBREAKFAST BARENCLOSED PORCHPRIVATE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Association contact: Robert Shipman
  • Financial info: Total monthly fees: $855; Total annual fees: $10,260; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Monthly condo fee of $855 (includes cable TV, internet, insurance, pool, sewer, water, trash, common area taxes, maintenance of structure and grounds, recreational facilities, escrow reserves fund); Association approval required; Association amenities: laundry, maintenance, shuffleboard court; Community features: clubhouse, community mailbox, deed restrictions, reclaimed water irrigation, pool, sidewalks, no truck/RV/motorcycle parking; Senior community; Pets not allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; 1-car carport; Guest parking available
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Residential condominium; Attached unit; Single-story; Faces south
  • Construction: Block and frame construction; Shingle roof; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Rear porch; Sidewalks; Landscaped grounds; Paved surfaces

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Exhaust fan; Microwave; Freezer; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Split bedroom floor plan; Programmable thermostat; Window shades
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry closet; Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($204/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in Seminole — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 88/100 on livability (#5 in FL, #174 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 431 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask is 4895% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $75k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 431 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.87%
Cap rate
6.48%
Cash-on-cash
0.66%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-16,172
Equity at exit
$16,386
10-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.66×
Total profit
$-10,446
Equity at exit
$9,502

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33776

Active inventory
146
Price-to-rent
4.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,054 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$129 /mo · $1,545/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$855
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$431
Net cashflow
$17

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,033
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $79 -5% $48 +0% $17 +5% $-14 +10% $-45
Rent -10% $-145 -5% $-64 +0% $17 +5% $98 +10% $179
Rate -1.0pp $72 -0.5pp $45 base $17 +0.5pp $-11 +1.0pp $-40

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13850 Oakwood Ln Seminole, FL 2.0 1.0 805 $1,400 $1.74 3d 1 0.03mi
9224 Mission Oaks Blvd Seminole, FL 2.0 1.5 805 $1,800 $2.24 25d 1 0.03mi
13827 Mission Oaks Blvd Seminole, FL 2.0 2.0 865 $2,400 $2.77 25d 1 0.03mi
13870 Oakwood Ln Seminole, FL 2.0 2.0 865 $2,600 $3.01 4d 1 0.08mi
13925 Mission Oaks Blvd #13714 Seminole, FL 2.0 2.0 865 $2,200 $2.54 25d 1 0.12mi
19451 Gulf Blvd #604 Indian Shores, FL 1.0 1.0 725 $2,000 $2.76 5d 1 0.78mi
19610 Gulf Blvd #101 Indian Shores, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $3,000 $2.73 25d 1 0.90mi
10215 Regal Dr #4 Largo, FL 2.0 2.0 1105 $2,300 $2.08 5d 1 1.02mi
10350 Imperial Point Dr W #8 Largo, FL 1.0 1.5 860 $1,675 $1.95 25d 1 1.02mi
10350 Imperial Point Dr W #10 Largo, FL 1.0 1.0 815 $1,550 $1.90 3d 1 1.02mi
10351 Regal Dr Largo, FL 1.0 1.0–1.5 837 $1,700 $2.03 20d 2 1.05mi
10216 Regal Dr #201 Largo, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 15d 1 1.07mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$855 · $10,260/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 431 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 430 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 429 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 428 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,900 Active 426 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 422 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 421 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 420 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,900 Active 417 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,900 Active 416 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 414 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 413 DOM
  13. 2026-04-08
    historical $2,000
  14. 2026-03-25
    price $109,900
  15. 2026-02-12
    price $119,900
  16. 2026-02-02
    price $149,900
  17. 2026-01-08
    price $2,000
  18. 2026-01-04
    status Active
  19. 2026-01-04
    price $154,900
  20. 2025-12-31
    historical
  21. 2025-10-10
    listed $2,200
  22. 2025-04-09
    listed $159,900 Active
  23. 2023-04-06
    historical
  24. 2023-02-25
    listed $184,900 Active
  25. 2016-02-18
    historical
  26. 2016-02-03
    listed $51,900 Active
  27. 2005-04-26
    soldstatus $75,000
  28. 2005-04-21
    soldstatus $75,000
  29. 2005-03-08
    listed $75,000
  30. 1990-05-17
    soldstatus $45,000
  31. 1983-11-01
    soldstatus $41,000
  32. 1982-01-01
    soldstatus $45,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,545 · $129/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,545 · $129/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,651
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$1,545
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,972
− Management
−$1,972
− HOA
−$10,260
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable loss
−$1,000
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$240
After-tax cash flow
$445/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — Seminole

Score
88/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#174

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
42,315
Population (ZIP)
12,711

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -455.42%
Current HPI
337.3149
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-95.6% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Rental Removed $2,000 STELLARMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $109,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-12 Price Changed $119,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $149,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $2,000 STELLARMLS
  • 2026-01-04 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-04 Price Changed $154,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-10 Listed for Rent $2,200 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-04-09 Listed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-06 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-25 Listed $184,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-02-18 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-02-03 Listed $51,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2005-04-21 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-03-08 Listed $75,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1990-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1983-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
  • 1982-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,545 · -9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…