119 S Canton Club Cir · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come see this 3 bedroom and 2 bathroom, open plan with fireplace. Formal living room and dining room. Separate den. Two decks. Check out this back yard! Country paradise in the city - secluded & private. There is an unfinished bonus room with lots of potential! Call your agent today. A great buy at this price!
Key facts
- Separate den
- Dining room
- Two decks
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.58 acres
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); One level; Living area reported from public records
- Construction: Brick construction; Conventional foundation; Built in (year reported from public records)
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Fireplace in the great room; Free-standing range
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Murrah High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #130 of 197 statewide, top 68%, 1,326 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.40%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $197,376
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 Beechcrest Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,930 (-6%) | 2mo | $135,500 | $70 | 80 |
| 122 Sugaloch Cv | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 2,140 (+4%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $114 | 74 |
| 209 Valley Vista Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,080 (+1%) | 7mo | $97,000 | $47 | 74 |
| 5805 E Sedgwick Ct | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,093 (+2%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $79 | 73 |
| 5854 Canton Park Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,838 (-11%) | 0mo | $169,000 | $92 | 70 |
| 315 Melrose Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,906 (-7%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $68 | 69 |
| 5865 E Sedgwick Ct | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 2,164 (+5%) | 5mo | $149,000 | $69 | 68 |
| 5846 Baxter Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 2,027 (-1%) | 5mo | $254,500 | $126 | 67 |
| 810 Colonial Cir | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,952 (-5%) | 6mo | $197,000 | $101 | 67 |
| 5379 Fairway St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 2,089 (+2%) | 2mo | $239,500 | $115 | 64 |
| 5807 S Pear Orchard Rd | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (-3%) | 7mo | $217,000 | $109 | 58 |
| 5320 Meadow Oaks Pk Dr | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,314 (+12%) | 3mo | $223,000 | $96 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.9% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $4,648
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $64,985
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39211
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 221
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,856 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$228 /mo · $2,741/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 S Canton Club Cir Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,595 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 5855 Canton Park Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1955 | $1,675 | $0.86 | 23d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 5855 Canton Park Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2401 | $1,675 | $0.70 | 13d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2009 Lake Trace Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2028 | $1,950 | $0.96 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6231 Waterford Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2892 | $2,200 | $0.76 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 117 Rolling Creek Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2459 | $2,700 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 51 Northtown Dr Unit 021A Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,694 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 47 Moss Forest Cir Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2624 | $3,000 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1046 Newland St Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2700 | $3,200 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5125 Old Canton Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2025 | $2,100 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5301 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $1,850 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1620 E County Line Rd Ridgeland, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1126 | $1,595 | $1.42 | 13d | 7 | 1.44mi |
| 5538 Pine Lane Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1627 | $1,465 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-05status $109,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 313-char remark
-
2026-05-30$109,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,741 · $228/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,741 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,270
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$2,741
- − Insurance
- −$5,664
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,782
- − Management
- −$1,782
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $1,025
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$246
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,083/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,838
- Household income
- $69,426
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 736.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.99%
- Current HPI
- 145.5192
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.90%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+98.5% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $109,000 MLSU
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $124,900 MLSU
- 2026-02-22 Relisted — MLSU
- 2025-12-09 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-10-10 Listed $129,900 MLSU
- 2025-03-02 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-12-15 Price Changed $139,900 MLSU
- 2024-11-24 Listed $158,000 MLSU
- 2017-12-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-07-28 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2017-06-19 Listed $55,000 MLSU
- 2013-04-24 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2013-04-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-02-12 Listed $54,900 MLSU
- 2012-06-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2002-05-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-10-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1987-09-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,741 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…