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119 S Canton Club Cir
B+ Composite 76.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,000

119 S Canton Club Cir · Jackson, MS 39211
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1957 0.58 ac lot Est $197k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come see this 3 bedroom and 2 bathroom, open plan with fireplace. Formal living room and dining room. Separate den. Two decks. Check out this back yard! Country paradise in the city - secluded & private. There is an unfinished bonus room with lots of potential! Call your agent today. A great buy at this price!

Key facts

  • Separate den
  • Dining room
  • Two decks

Tags

OPEN PLANFIREPLACEFORMAL LIVING ROOMDINING ROOMSEPARATE DENTWO DECKS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.58 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); One level; Living area reported from public records
  • Construction: Brick construction; Conventional foundation; Built in (year reported from public records)
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Fireplace in the great room; Free-standing range

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Murrah High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #130 of 197 statewide, top 68%, 1,326 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.9% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
13.13%
Cash-on-cash
24.40%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$197,376
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
220 Beechcrest Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,930 (-6%) 2mo $135,500 $70 80
122 Sugaloch Cv 0.31mi 3/2.0 2,140 (+4%) 6mo $245,000 $114 74
209 Valley Vista Dr 0.25mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,080 (+1%) 7mo $97,000 $47 74
5805 E Sedgwick Ct 0.40mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,093 (+2%) 1mo $165,000 $79 73
5854 Canton Park Dr 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,838 (-11%) 0mo $169,000 $92 70
315 Melrose Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,906 (-7%) 3mo $130,000 $68 69
5865 E Sedgwick Ct 0.40mi 3/2.0 2,164 (+5%) 5mo $149,000 $69 68
5846 Baxter Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 2,027 (-1%) 5mo $254,500 $126 67
810 Colonial Cir 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,952 (-5%) 6mo $197,000 $101 67
5379 Fairway St 0.68mi 3/2.0 2,089 (+2%) 2mo $239,500 $115 64
5807 S Pear Orchard Rd 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,000 (-3%) 7mo $217,000 $109 58
5320 Meadow Oaks Pk Dr 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,314 (+12%) 3mo $223,000 $96 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$4,648
Equity at exit
$16,252
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
3.13×
Total profit
$64,985
Equity at exit
$9,424

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39211

Rents YoY
7.9%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,856 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$228 /mo · $2,741/yr
Insurance
$45
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$390
Net cashflow
$194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,610
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
119 S Canton Club Cir Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1444 $1,595 $1.10 23d 1 0.03mi
5855 Canton Park Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 1955 $1,675 $0.86 23d 1 0.12mi
5855 Canton Park Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 2401 $1,675 $0.70 13d 1 0.12mi
2009 Lake Trace Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.0 2028 $1,950 $0.96 13d 1 0.67mi
6231 Waterford Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 3.5 2892 $2,200 $0.76 23d 1 0.88mi
117 Rolling Creek Dr Jackson, MS 4.0 2.5 2459 $2,700 $1.10 23d 1 0.95mi
51 Northtown Dr Unit 021A Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,694 $1.13 21d 1 0.99mi
47 Moss Forest Cir Jackson, MS 4.0 3.0 2624 $3,000 $1.14 13d 1 1.00mi
1046 Newland St Jackson, MS 4.0 2.5 2700 $3,200 $1.19 23d 1 1.19mi
5125 Old Canton Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 3.0 2025 $2,100 $1.04 23d 1 1.40mi
5301 Ridgewood Rd Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1482 $1,850 $1.25 43d 1 1.41mi
1620 E County Line Rd Ridgeland, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1126 $1,595 $1.42 13d 7 1.44mi
5538 Pine Lane Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1627 $1,465 $0.90 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    status $109,000 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-05-30
    remarks 313-char remark
  7. 2026-05-30
    listed $109,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,741 · $228/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,741 · $228/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 10% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,270
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$2,741
− Insurance
−$5,664
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,782
− Management
−$1,782
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$1,025
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$246
After-tax cash flow
$2,083/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
23,838
Household income
$69,426
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
736.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.99%
Current HPI
145.5192
Rent YoY
▲ 7.90%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+98.5% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $109,000 MLSU
  • 2026-04-09 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $124,900 MLSU
  • 2026-02-22 Relisted MLSU
  • 2025-12-09 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-10-10 Listed $129,900 MLSU
  • 2025-03-02 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2024-12-15 Price Changed $139,900 MLSU
  • 2024-11-24 Listed $158,000 MLSU
  • 2017-12-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-07-28 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2017-06-19 Listed $55,000 MLSU
  • 2013-04-24 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2013-04-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-02-12 Listed $54,900 MLSU
  • 2012-06-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-05-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1995-10-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1987-09-11 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,741 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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