1530 212th St #223 · New York, NY 11360

$375,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 985 sqft · Condo · 23 Days on market

Built 1958

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +8.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.6/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• 1% rule +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.4/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

, Additional information: Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen

Key facts

• Near dining
• Near local parks
• Park-like grounds

Tags

• WASHER AND DRYER HOOKUP
• ASSIGNED PARKING SPACE
• PARK-LIKE GROUNDS
• NEAR FORT TOTTEN
• NEAR LOCAL PARKS
• NEAR DINING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $375k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-322 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $328k (12.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $287k (23.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $287k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: 219 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $15k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($369k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $250k; list at $375k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $287,222 (23.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.77% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.26%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.69%
• DSCR: 0.84
• GRM: 10.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 4.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.28×
• Total profit: $29,854
• Equity at exit: $174,122

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.9%
• Equity multiple: 2.23×
• Total profit: $128,831
• Equity at exit: $272,705

Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11360

• Home prices YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 219
• Price-to-rent: 10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,872 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,967
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$469 /mo · $5,625/yr
• Insurance: −$156
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$603
• Net cashflow: $-322

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,280

Max offer price $328,336

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $93,750
• Closing costs: $11,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 16 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
16-05 Bell Blvd Unit 1st Floor Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,400	$3.43	25d	1	0.19mi
1670 Bell Blvd Bayside, NY	2.0	1.0–1.5	600	$3,100	$5.17	2d	4	0.26mi
1816 Bell Blvd Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	1000	$2,500	$2.50	25d	1	0.28mi
1785 215th St Unit 15J Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	620	$3,500	$5.65	25d	1	0.34mi
206-14 Emily Rd Unit 42L Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,700	$3.86	25d	1	0.36mi
1 Bay Club Dr Unit 21W Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	762	$3,100	$4.07	12d	1	0.46mi
2 Bay Club Dr Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	780	$4,000	$5.13	25d	1	0.46mi
20933 26th Ave Unit 1C Bayside, NY	1.0	1.5	800	$3,000	$3.75	25d	1	0.53mi
23-45 Corporal Kennedy St Unit 1 Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	1000	$2,800	$2.80	25d	1	0.53mi
209-21 26th Ave Unit TB Bayside, NY	1.0	1.0	955	$2,850	$2.98	19d	1	0.55mi
29-04 204th St Unit 1Floor Flushing, NY	1.0	1.0	700	$2,600	$3.71	19d	1	0.94mi
1011 162nd St Whitestone, NY	1.0	1.0	880	$1,800	$2.05	19d	1	1.07mi
3321 Jordan St Flushing, NY	3.0	2.0	1080	$3,900	$3.61	25d	1	1.28mi
33-08 Francis Lewis Blvd Unit 2FL Queens, NY	3.0	1.0	1050	$3,050	$2.90	25d	1	1.34mi
1001 154th St Whitestone, NY	2.0	1.0	900	$3,300	$3.67	25d	1	1.41mi
15719 26th Ave Flushing, NY	2.0	1.0	850	$2,850	$3.35	22d	1	1.48mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-04-03
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-06
   listed $375,000 Active
3. 2015-01-08
   soldstatus $250,000 Closed

   Show marketing remark (62 chars)

   , Additional information: Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen

4. 2015-01-08
   soldstatus $250,000 62-char remark

   Show marketing remark (62 chars)

   , Additional information: Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen

5. 2014-10-10
   status Under Contract
6. 2014-08-11
   listed $265,000 New

   Show marketing remark (62 chars)

   , Additional information: Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen

7. 2014-08-11
   listed $265,000 62-char remark

   Show marketing remark (62 chars)

   , Additional information: Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $34,467
• − Mortgage interest: −$21,006
• − Property taxes: −$5,625
• − Insurance: −$1,875
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,757
• − Management: −$2,757
• − Depreciation: −$10,909
• Taxable loss: −$10,463
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,511
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,359/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Queens County · 1,914,869 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 19,469
• Household income: $98,875
• Rent vs Own: 23.6% rent · 76.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 496.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,546,320 people
• By 2030: 2,643,059 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 2,815,563 · +10.6%
• By 2050: 2,944,423 · +15.6%
• By 2075: 3,123,338 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
• Race & ethnicity: White 54% Asian 29% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Estonian 1%
• Foreign-born: 33% · China, South Korea, Canada
• Languages at home: 58% English-only · Chinese 14% Other Indo-European 11% Korean 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.26%
• Current HPI: 204.1422
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+41.5% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-03 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-06 Listed $375,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2015-01-08 Sold (MLS) $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2015-01-08 Sold (MLS) $250,000 MLSLI
• 2014-10-10 Pending — MLSLI
• 2014-08-11 Listed $265,000 MLSLI
• 2014-08-11 Listed $265,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid