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311 Burris Park Dr
D Composite 42.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,800

311 Burris Park Dr · Spring, TX 77373
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,648 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 2006

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well taken care of home in gated community. Formal dining could be a study. Custom paint. Arches and art niche. Corian counters and lots of counter space. Very quiet and private, small neighborhood. Easy access to shopping and I45

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2006
  • Listed 2 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Lease considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story entry (all main rooms listed on first floor)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built in 2006; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot with other/features (unspecified)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on first floor (approx. 16.11 x 14.8); Bedroom on first floor (approx. 13 x 11); Bedroom on first floor (approx. 12 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas range

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $2k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $2k).
  • Cap rate 1199.5% vs local median 4.5% in Spring — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#635 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Spring ISD (suburban): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #730 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ginger Mcnabb El (math 47% / reading 43%, grade D-, #1,133 of 4,322 statewide, top 27%, 713 students, 86% FRL); Twin Creeks Middle (math 23% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,317 of 1,662 statewide, top 80%, 973 students, 83% FRL); Spring H S (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,497 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 2,760 students, 72% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 595 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $12 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $54 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $504 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,800

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
126.74%
Cap rate
1199.47%
Cash-on-cash
4261.34%
DSCR
190.61
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
213.40×
Total profit
$107,048
Equity at exit
$268
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
426.20×
Total profit
$214,300
Equity at exit
$156

Cash invested: $504 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77373

Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
595
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,281 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$9
Tax est. 1.5%
$2 /mo · $27/yr
Insurance
$1
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$479
Net cashflow
$1,790

Break-even live

Break-even rent $16
Max offer price $1,800
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$450
Closing costs
$54
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-23
    listed $1,800 Active
  2. 2013-10-21
    historical 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Well taken care of home in gated community. Formal dining could be a study. Custom paint. Arches and art niche. Corian counters and lots of counter space. Very quiet and private, small neighborhood. Easy access to shopping and I45

  3. 2013-10-21
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Well taken care of home in gated community. Formal dining could be a study. Custom paint. Arches and art niche. Corian counters and lots of counter space. Very quiet and private, small neighborhood. Easy access to shopping and I45

  4. 2013-10-15
    soldstatus Sold 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Well taken care of home in gated community. Formal dining could be a study. Custom paint. Arches and art niche. Corian counters and lots of counter space. Very quiet and private, small neighborhood. Easy access to shopping and I45

  5. 2013-10-10
    status Pending 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Well taken care of home in gated community. Formal dining could be a study. Custom paint. Arches and art niche. Corian counters and lots of counter space. Very quiet and private, small neighborhood. Easy access to shopping and I45

  6. 2013-09-24
    status Pending, Continue to Show 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Well taken care of home in gated community. Formal dining could be a study. Custom paint. Arches and art niche. Corian counters and lots of counter space. Very quiet and private, small neighborhood. Easy access to shopping and I45

  7. 2013-09-09
    status Option Pending 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Well taken care of home in gated community. Formal dining could be a study. Custom paint. Arches and art niche. Corian counters and lots of counter space. Very quiet and private, small neighborhood. Easy access to shopping and I45

  8. 2013-08-20
    listed $130,000 Active 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    Well taken care of home in gated community. Formal dining could be a study. Custom paint. Arches and art niche. Corian counters and lots of counter space. Very quiet and private, small neighborhood. Easy access to shopping and I45

  9. 2012-05-22
    soldstatus
  10. 2012-05-21
    soldstatus 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    We have verbal lender approval. Gated community. No rear neighbors. Formal dining or study. Custom paint. Carpet and tile flooring. Stylish arches and art niche. Corian counters with look and feel of granite. Original owner. Easy access to 45 for commuters. Close to schools, shopping, and restaurants. (Master bedroom size estimated. ) Very private and quiet, small neighborhood with many conveniences. All appliances stay.

  11. 2012-05-02
    historical 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    We have verbal lender approval. Gated community. No rear neighbors. Formal dining or study. Custom paint. Carpet and tile flooring. Stylish arches and art niche. Corian counters with look and feel of granite. Original owner. Easy access to 45 for commuters. Close to schools, shopping, and restaurants. (Master bedroom size estimated. ) Very private and quiet, small neighborhood with many conveniences. All appliances stay.

  12. 2011-09-15
    listed $115,000 425-char remark
    Show marketing remark (425 chars)

    We have verbal lender approval. Gated community. No rear neighbors. Formal dining or study. Custom paint. Carpet and tile flooring. Stylish arches and art niche. Corian counters with look and feel of granite. Original owner. Easy access to 45 for commuters. Close to schools, shopping, and restaurants. (Master bedroom size estimated. ) Very private and quiet, small neighborhood with many conveniences. All appliances stay.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,375
− Mortgage interest
−$101
− Property taxes
−$27
− Insurance
−$9
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,190
− Management
−$2,190
− Depreciation
−$52
Taxable income
$22,806
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$5,473
After-tax cash flow
$16,004/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spring ISD
NCES district ID
4841220
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$51,584
Composite
20.12/100
National rank
#8643
State rank
#730 of 826 in TX

Livability — Spring

Score
66/100
State rank
#635
US rank
#12101

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Spring, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
430,529
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
69,739
Household income
$88,617
Rent vs Own
27.2% rent · 72.8% own
Severe rent burden
1050.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 40% White 30% Black 23% Two or more races 22% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 27% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -142.98%
Current HPI
251.7231
Rent YoY
▼ -0.30%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.4% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $1,800 HARMLS
  • 2013-10-21 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2013-10-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2013-10-15 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2013-10-10 Pending HARMLS
  • 2013-09-24 Pending HARMLS
  • 2013-09-09 Pending HARMLS
  • 2013-08-20 Listed $130,000 HARMLS
  • 2012-05-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-05-21 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2012-05-02 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2011-09-15 Listed $115,000 HARMLS

Property tax history

+7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,205 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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