4700 Dean Dr · Pace, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- ARV discount +4.2/15.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- 1% rule +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is what you’ve been looking for! A beautifully renovated home with two bedrooms in the Heart of Pace Florida. This charming home’s great curb appeal draws you right in. The southern landscaping leads you to the home’s attractive contemporary entryway. Once inside, you’ll find a luxurious home with an open and modern floor plan. Featuring a chic modern kitchen displaying bold new cabinetry, tastefully chosen pulls, and soft close drawers. The tile backsplash pairs beautifully with the warmth of the authentic butcher block countertop. The large living room creates that sought after feeling of openness. This home has all-new highly desirable stylish plank flooring throughout the open living areas. The spacious master bedroom allows for an abundant amount of natural light, giving off a comfortable, relaxed feel. The full bathroom showcases a large rainfall shower, and upscale vanity with plenty of storage for your personal effects. The backyard is full of majestic southern oaks that create a magnificent canopy above, which gives a private and exceptional feel to the property. This rare find in Pace has everything: an attached garage, all stainless steel kitchen appliances, all new lighting fixtures, all new plumbing fixtures, all new flooring, a new water heater, and a newer roof to top it off. You don't want to miss out on this home, it could be the one!
Key facts
- Mature southern oaks
- Modern cabinets
- Stainless appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on a county-maintained road
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with open parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric with circuit breakers and copper wiring
- Home design: One-story, detached property; Shingle roof; Frame construction; Slab foundation; Resale property; Ridge vent for improved ventilation
- Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Front porch; Yard building (outbuilding); Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Remodeled kitchen; Built-in microwave; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on first floor (approx. 11' x 14'); Bedroom on first floor (approx. 10' x 14'); Second bedroom on first floor (approx. 11' x 18')
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (recently remodeled)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans for additional cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High-speed internet available; Recessed lighting; Double-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside with washer/dryer hookups
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-220 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (17.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (32.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $152k (32.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#475 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 665 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.67% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.19%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 12.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $209,456
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4732 Pine Ln | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,104 (+12%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $208 | 58 |
| 4397 Pine Villa Cir | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,025 (+4%) | 22mo | $217,000 | $212 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-50,951
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- -19.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.02×
- Total profit
- $-64,386
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32571
- Home prices YoY
- -17.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 665
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,517 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,734/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $-220
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-93 | -5% $-156 | +0% $-220 | +5% $-284 | +10% $-347 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-340 | -5% $-280 | +0% $-220 | +5% $-160 | +10% $-100 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-107 | -0.5pp $-163 | base $-220 | +0.5pp $-278 | +1.0pp $-337 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4716 Chumuckla Hwy Unit 3903 Pace, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,250 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $225,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $225,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $225,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$225,000 Active
-
2024-09-18soldstatus $210,000
-
2024-09-17status Pending 1402-char remark
Show marketing remark (1380 chars)
This is what you've been looking for! A beautifully renovated home with two bedrooms in the Heart of Pace Florida. This charming home's great curb appeal draws you right in. The southern landscaping leads you to the home's attractive contemporary entryway. Once inside, you'll find a luxurious home with an open and modern floor plan. Featuring a chic modern kitchen displaying bold new cabinetry, tastefully chosen pulls, and soft close drawers. The tile backsplash pairs beautifully with the warmth of the authentic butcher block countertop. The large living room creates that sought after feeling of openness. This home has all-new highly desirable stylish plank flooring throughout the open living areas. The spacious master bedroom allows for an abundant amount of natural light, - giving off a comfortable, relaxed feel. The full bathroom showcases a large rainfall shower, and upscale vanity with plenty of storage for your personal effects. The backyard is full of majestic southern oaks that create a magnificent canopy above, which gives a private and exceptional feel to the property. This rare find in Pace has everything: an attached garage, all stainless steel kitchen appliances, all new lighting fixtures, all new plumbing fixtures, all new flooring, a new water heater, and a newer roof to top it off. You don't want to miss out on this home, it could be the one!
-
2024-09-17soldstatus $210,000 Sold 1402-char remark
Show marketing remark (1380 chars)
This is what you've been looking for! A beautifully renovated home with two bedrooms in the Heart of Pace Florida. This charming home's great curb appeal draws you right in. The southern landscaping leads you to the home's attractive contemporary entryway. Once inside, you'll find a luxurious home with an open and modern floor plan. Featuring a chic modern kitchen displaying bold new cabinetry, tastefully chosen pulls, and soft close drawers. The tile backsplash pairs beautifully with the warmth of the authentic butcher block countertop. The large living room creates that sought after feeling of openness. This home has all-new highly desirable stylish plank flooring throughout the open living areas. The spacious master bedroom allows for an abundant amount of natural light, - giving off a comfortable, relaxed feel. The full bathroom showcases a large rainfall shower, and upscale vanity with plenty of storage for your personal effects. The backyard is full of majestic southern oaks that create a magnificent canopy above, which gives a private and exceptional feel to the property. This rare find in Pace has everything: an attached garage, all stainless steel kitchen appliances, all new lighting fixtures, all new plumbing fixtures, all new flooring, a new water heater, and a newer roof to top it off. You don't want to miss out on this home, it could be the one!
-
2024-09-17soldstatus $210,500 Sold 1380-char remark
Show marketing remark (1380 chars)
This is what you've been looking for! A beautifully renovated home with two bedrooms in the Heart of Pace Florida. This charming home's great curb appeal draws you right in. The southern landscaping leads you to the home's attractive contemporary entryway. Once inside, you'll find a luxurious home with an open and modern floor plan. Featuring a chic modern kitchen displaying bold new cabinetry, tastefully chosen pulls, and soft close drawers. The tile backsplash pairs beautifully with the warmth of the authentic butcher block countertop. The large living room creates that sought after feeling of openness. This home has all-new highly desirable stylish plank flooring throughout the open living areas. The spacious master bedroom allows for an abundant amount of natural light, - giving off a comfortable, relaxed feel. The full bathroom showcases a large rainfall shower, and upscale vanity with plenty of storage for your personal effects. The backyard is full of majestic southern oaks that create a magnificent canopy above, which gives a private and exceptional feel to the property. This rare find in Pace has everything: an attached garage, all stainless steel kitchen appliances, all new lighting fixtures, all new plumbing fixtures, all new flooring, a new water heater, and a newer roof to top it off. You don't want to miss out on this home, it could be the one!
-
2024-08-16status Pending 1380-char remark
Show marketing remark (1380 chars)
This is what you've been looking for! A beautifully renovated home with two bedrooms in the Heart of Pace Florida. This charming home's great curb appeal draws you right in. The southern landscaping leads you to the home's attractive contemporary entryway. Once inside, you'll find a luxurious home with an open and modern floor plan. Featuring a chic modern kitchen displaying bold new cabinetry, tastefully chosen pulls, and soft close drawers. The tile backsplash pairs beautifully with the warmth of the authentic butcher block countertop. The large living room creates that sought after feeling of openness. This home has all-new highly desirable stylish plank flooring throughout the open living areas. The spacious master bedroom allows for an abundant amount of natural light, - giving off a comfortable, relaxed feel. The full bathroom showcases a large rainfall shower, and upscale vanity with plenty of storage for your personal effects. The backyard is full of majestic southern oaks that create a magnificent canopy above, which gives a private and exceptional feel to the property. This rare find in Pace has everything: an attached garage, all stainless steel kitchen appliances, all new lighting fixtures, all new plumbing fixtures, all new flooring, a new water heater, and a newer roof to top it off. You don't want to miss out on this home, it could be the one!
-
2024-08-15historical Contingent 1402-char remark
Show marketing remark (1402 chars)
This is what you’ve been looking for! A beautifully renovated home with two bedrooms in the Heart of Pace Florida. This charming home’s great curb appeal draws you right in. The southern landscaping leads you to the home’s attractive contemporary entryway. Once inside, you’ll find a luxurious home with an open and modern floor plan. Featuring a chic modern kitchen displaying bold new cabinetry, tastefully chosen pulls, and soft close drawers. The tile backsplash pairs beautifully with the warmth of the authentic butcher block countertop. The large living room creates that sought after feeling of openness. This home has all-new highly desirable stylish plank flooring throughout the open living areas. The spacious master bedroom allows for an abundant amount of natural light, giving off a comfortable, relaxed feel. The full bathroom showcases a large rainfall shower, and upscale vanity with plenty of storage for your personal effects. The backyard is full of majestic southern oaks that create a magnificent canopy above, which gives a private and exceptional feel to the property. This rare find in Pace has everything: an attached garage, all stainless steel kitchen appliances, all new lighting fixtures, all new plumbing fixtures, all new flooring, a new water heater, and a newer roof to top it off. You don't want to miss out on this home, it could be the one!
-
2024-08-08price $200,000 1380-char remark
Show marketing remark (1380 chars)
This is what you've been looking for! A beautifully renovated home with two bedrooms in the Heart of Pace Florida. This charming home's great curb appeal draws you right in. The southern landscaping leads you to the home's attractive contemporary entryway. Once inside, you'll find a luxurious home with an open and modern floor plan. Featuring a chic modern kitchen displaying bold new cabinetry, tastefully chosen pulls, and soft close drawers. The tile backsplash pairs beautifully with the warmth of the authentic butcher block countertop. The large living room creates that sought after feeling of openness. This home has all-new highly desirable stylish plank flooring throughout the open living areas. The spacious master bedroom allows for an abundant amount of natural light, - giving off a comfortable, relaxed feel. The full bathroom showcases a large rainfall shower, and upscale vanity with plenty of storage for your personal effects. The backyard is full of majestic southern oaks that create a magnificent canopy above, which gives a private and exceptional feel to the property. This rare find in Pace has everything: an attached garage, all stainless steel kitchen appliances, all new lighting fixtures, all new plumbing fixtures, all new flooring, a new water heater, and a newer roof to top it off. You don't want to miss out on this home, it could be the one!
-
2024-08-07price $200,000 1402-char remark
Show marketing remark (1402 chars)
This is what you’ve been looking for! A beautifully renovated home with two bedrooms in the Heart of Pace Florida. This charming home’s great curb appeal draws you right in. The southern landscaping leads you to the home’s attractive contemporary entryway. Once inside, you’ll find a luxurious home with an open and modern floor plan. Featuring a chic modern kitchen displaying bold new cabinetry, tastefully chosen pulls, and soft close drawers. The tile backsplash pairs beautifully with the warmth of the authentic butcher block countertop. The large living room creates that sought after feeling of openness. This home has all-new highly desirable stylish plank flooring throughout the open living areas. The spacious master bedroom allows for an abundant amount of natural light, giving off a comfortable, relaxed feel. The full bathroom showcases a large rainfall shower, and upscale vanity with plenty of storage for your personal effects. The backyard is full of majestic southern oaks that create a magnificent canopy above, which gives a private and exceptional feel to the property. This rare find in Pace has everything: an attached garage, all stainless steel kitchen appliances, all new lighting fixtures, all new plumbing fixtures, all new flooring, a new water heater, and a newer roof to top it off. You don't want to miss out on this home, it could be the one!
-
2024-07-25$225,000 Active 1402-char remark
Show marketing remark (1380 chars)
This is what you've been looking for! A beautifully renovated home with two bedrooms in the Heart of Pace Florida. This charming home's great curb appeal draws you right in. The southern landscaping leads you to the home's attractive contemporary entryway. Once inside, you'll find a luxurious home with an open and modern floor plan. Featuring a chic modern kitchen displaying bold new cabinetry, tastefully chosen pulls, and soft close drawers. The tile backsplash pairs beautifully with the warmth of the authentic butcher block countertop. The large living room creates that sought after feeling of openness. This home has all-new highly desirable stylish plank flooring throughout the open living areas. The spacious master bedroom allows for an abundant amount of natural light, - giving off a comfortable, relaxed feel. The full bathroom showcases a large rainfall shower, and upscale vanity with plenty of storage for your personal effects. The backyard is full of majestic southern oaks that create a magnificent canopy above, which gives a private and exceptional feel to the property. This rare find in Pace has everything: an attached garage, all stainless steel kitchen appliances, all new lighting fixtures, all new plumbing fixtures, all new flooring, a new water heater, and a newer roof to top it off. You don't want to miss out on this home, it could be the one!
-
2024-07-25$225,000 Active 1380-char remark
Show marketing remark (1380 chars)
This is what you've been looking for! A beautifully renovated home with two bedrooms in the Heart of Pace Florida. This charming home's great curb appeal draws you right in. The southern landscaping leads you to the home's attractive contemporary entryway. Once inside, you'll find a luxurious home with an open and modern floor plan. Featuring a chic modern kitchen displaying bold new cabinetry, tastefully chosen pulls, and soft close drawers. The tile backsplash pairs beautifully with the warmth of the authentic butcher block countertop. The large living room creates that sought after feeling of openness. This home has all-new highly desirable stylish plank flooring throughout the open living areas. The spacious master bedroom allows for an abundant amount of natural light, - giving off a comfortable, relaxed feel. The full bathroom showcases a large rainfall shower, and upscale vanity with plenty of storage for your personal effects. The backyard is full of majestic southern oaks that create a magnificent canopy above, which gives a private and exceptional feel to the property. This rare find in Pace has everything: an attached garage, all stainless steel kitchen appliances, all new lighting fixtures, all new plumbing fixtures, all new flooring, a new water heater, and a newer roof to top it off. You don't want to miss out on this home, it could be the one!
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2024-06-11soldstatus $88,000
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1991-08-01soldstatus $42,500
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1991-06-01soldstatus $6,000
-
1980-05-01soldstatus $15,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,734 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,868 · $156/mo
- Expected delta
- +$133/yr (+$11/mo · 7.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,203
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$1,734
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,456
- − Management
- −$1,456
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$6,718
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,612
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,026/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Rosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201650
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,161
- Composite
- 53.12/100
- National rank
- #1511
- State rank
- #8 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pace
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #475
- US rank
- #8593
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pace, FL
- County
- Santa Rosa County · 194,764 people
- City population
- 42,171
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,171
- Household income
- $87,617
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 301.0
Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,978 people
- By 2030
- 209,782 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 235,293 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 256,408 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 298,074 · +52.1%
- By 2100
- 303,216 · +54.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.39%
- Current HPI
- 290.2953
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.72%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+1351.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $225,000 PARMLS
- 2024-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2024-09-17 Pending — PARMLS
- 2024-09-17 Sold (MLS) $210,500 NAMLS
- 2024-09-17 Sold (MLS) $210,000 PARMLS
- 2024-08-16 Pending — NAMLS
- 2024-08-15 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2024-08-08 Price Changed $200,000 NAMLS
- 2024-08-07 Price Changed $200,000 PARMLS
- 2024-07-25 Listed $225,000 NAMLS
- 2024-07-25 Listed $225,000 PARMLS
- 2024-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 1991-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
- 1991-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
- 1980-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,734 · +238.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…