1055 Birdie St · Gunter, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$399,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Built by Mattamy Homes - The Grandbury - Available March! Experience resort-style luxury in the newest phase of the master-planned Bridges at Preston Crossings. Nestled in the heart of Gunter, this Mattamy Homes sanctuary offers the perfect blend of country serenity and modern convenience, located just minutes from the booming hubs of Frisco, McKinney, and Sherman. The Grandbury floor plan features a spacious two-story design with 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a versatile flex room ideal for a home office. Enjoy an open-concept kitchen and dining area flowing into a living space anchored by a sleek electric fireplace. The private owner’s retreat boasts dual vanities and an expansive walk-in closet, while the oversized rear-entry garage maximizes curb appeal. Residents gain exclusive access to a new resident-only pool and playground, with the advantage of attending the highly-rated Gunter ISD. Optional memberships to The Bridges Golf Club provide access to an 18-hole championship course, tennis, and fitness facilities.
Key facts
- Open concept kitchen
- Walk in closet
- Electric fireplace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $400k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-759/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $391k (2.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $350k (12.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $350k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 1.9% in Gunter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#236 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Gunter ISD (rural): math 47% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #103 of 826 in TX (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $43k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$69k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.68%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $581,394
- List price
- $399,990
- Delta
- -31.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1113 Stonebridge Pass | 0.11mi | 4/3.0 | 2,534 (+6%) | 3mo | $530,000 | $209 | 81 |
| 1124 Karsten Ridge Pass | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,228 (-7%) | 8mo | $572,500 | $257 | 66 |
| 1516 Bearpath Way | 0.62mi | 4/3.0 | 2,498 (+5%) | 1mo | $625,000 | $250 | 61 |
| 1616 Covered Brg | 0.38mi | 4/3.0 | 2,554 (+7%) | 11mo | $599,900 | $235 | 60 |
| 1410 Hanging Rock Trce | 0.39mi | 4/3.0 | 2,538 (+6%) | 12mo | $625,000 | $246 | 60 |
| 1508 Wolf Ridge Run | 0.55mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,446 (+2%) | 11mo | $685,000 | $280 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $213,909
- Equity at exit
- $360,343
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.65×
- Total profit
- $633,279
- Equity at exit
- $777,093
Cash invested: $111,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75058
- Home prices YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 201
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,098
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$500 /mo · $6,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$64
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$735
- Net cashflow
- $-63
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,998
- Closing costs
- $12,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669 Massey Rd Gunter, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2745 | $3,500 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $64 · $768/yr
- Likely covers
- electricpool
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $399,990 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $399,990 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $399,990 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $399,990 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,990 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,990 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $399,990 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $399,990 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $399,990 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $399,990 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $399,990 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $399,990 Active 115 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $399,990 Active 114 DOM
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2026-05-19price $399,990 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Built by Mattamy Homes - The Grandbury - Available March! Experience resort-style luxury in the newest phase of the master-planned Bridges at Preston Crossings. Nestled in the heart of Gunter, this Mattamy Homes sanctuary offers the perfect blend of country serenity and modern convenience, located just minutes from the booming hubs of Frisco, McKinney, and Sherman. The Grandbury floor plan features a spacious two-story design with 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a versatile flex room ideal for a home office. Enjoy an open-concept kitchen and dining area flowing into a living space anchored by a sleek electric fireplace. The private owner’s retreat boasts dual vanities and an expansive walk-in closet, while the oversized rear-entry garage maximizes curb appeal. Residents gain exclusive access to a new resident-only pool and playground, with the advantage of attending the highly-rated Gunter ISD. Optional memberships to The Bridges Golf Club provide access to an 18-hole championship course, tennis, and fitness facilities.
-
2026-04-15price $439,990 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Built by Mattamy Homes - The Grandbury - Available March! Experience resort-style luxury in the newest phase of the master-planned Bridges at Preston Crossings. Nestled in the heart of Gunter, this Mattamy Homes sanctuary offers the perfect blend of country serenity and modern convenience, located just minutes from the booming hubs of Frisco, McKinney, and Sherman. The Grandbury floor plan features a spacious two-story design with 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a versatile flex room ideal for a home office. Enjoy an open-concept kitchen and dining area flowing into a living space anchored by a sleek electric fireplace. The private owner’s retreat boasts dual vanities and an expansive walk-in closet, while the oversized rear-entry garage maximizes curb appeal. Residents gain exclusive access to a new resident-only pool and playground, with the advantage of attending the highly-rated Gunter ISD. Optional memberships to The Bridges Golf Club provide access to an 18-hole championship course, tennis, and fitness facilities.
-
2026-04-02price $446,861 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Built by Mattamy Homes - The Grandbury - Available March! Experience resort-style luxury in the newest phase of the master-planned Bridges at Preston Crossings. Nestled in the heart of Gunter, this Mattamy Homes sanctuary offers the perfect blend of country serenity and modern convenience, located just minutes from the booming hubs of Frisco, McKinney, and Sherman. The Grandbury floor plan features a spacious two-story design with 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a versatile flex room ideal for a home office. Enjoy an open-concept kitchen and dining area flowing into a living space anchored by a sleek electric fireplace. The private owner’s retreat boasts dual vanities and an expansive walk-in closet, while the oversized rear-entry garage maximizes curb appeal. Residents gain exclusive access to a new resident-only pool and playground, with the advantage of attending the highly-rated Gunter ISD. Optional memberships to The Bridges Golf Club provide access to an 18-hole championship course, tennis, and fitness facilities.
-
2026-02-06$446,611 Active 1036-char remark
Show marketing remark (1036 chars)
Built by Mattamy Homes - The Grandbury - Available March! Experience resort-style luxury in the newest phase of the master-planned Bridges at Preston Crossings. Nestled in the heart of Gunter, this Mattamy Homes sanctuary offers the perfect blend of country serenity and modern convenience, located just minutes from the booming hubs of Frisco, McKinney, and Sherman. The Grandbury floor plan features a spacious two-story design with 4 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, and a versatile flex room ideal for a home office. Enjoy an open-concept kitchen and dining area flowing into a living space anchored by a sleek electric fireplace. The private owner’s retreat boasts dual vanities and an expansive walk-in closet, while the oversized rear-entry garage maximizes curb appeal. Residents gain exclusive access to a new resident-only pool and playground, with the advantage of attending the highly-rated Gunter ISD. Optional memberships to The Bridges Golf Club provide access to an 18-hole championship course, tennis, and fitness facilities.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,406
- − Property taxes
- −$6,000
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,360
- − Management
- −$3,360
- − HOA
- −$768
- − Depreciation
- −$11,636
- Taxable loss
- −$7,530
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,807
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,048/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value
- Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and can increase property value ↑
- Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gunter ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4821960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,375
- Composite
- 47.63/100
- National rank
- #2254
- State rank
- #103 of 826 in TX
Livability — Gunter
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #236
- US rank
- #5729
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gunter, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,614
Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,540 people
- By 2030
- 138,653 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 145,958 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 151,218 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 161,802 · +20.3%
- By 2100
- 159,036 · +18.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 18% Black 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Grayson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.56%
- Current HPI
- 309.3751
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-10.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $399,990 NTREIS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $439,990 NTREIS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $446,861 NTREIS
- 2026-02-06 Listed $446,611 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…