8106 Penny Dr · Suncoast Estates, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.7/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HERE'S THE DEAL YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR! Large, oversized fenced it lot with a shed, 4 Bedroom, 1 Bath available for sale! Unit overall in good condition, some work needed. GREAT FIRST HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY!
Key facts
- No restrictions
- Bonus room
- Fenced lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Oversized lot (approx. 0.312 acres) with dimensions 101 x 135 x 101 x 135; Zoned MH-1; Lot exposure to the west
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Entry level 1; Faces east; Resale
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built-up roof; Flat roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Room for pool; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Freezer; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace; Window-unit heating; Wall-unit cooling; Window-unit cooling
- Interior features: Living/dining room; Separate shower; Shower only; Split bedrooms; Other; Single-hung windows; Unfurnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#507 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: commute D, amenities F, employment D-.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Diplomat Elementary School (math 67% / reading 60%, grade B, #564 of 2,144 statewide, top 27%, 1,069 students, 56% FRL); Mariner Middle School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,001 students, 53% FRL); Ida S. Baker High School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,933 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 846 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.19%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $86,296
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8352 Barbie Ln | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 924 (-2%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $92 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-5,314
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $12,242
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33917
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 846
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,344 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$153 /mo · $1,840/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $229
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $297 | -5% $263 | +0% $229 | +5% $195 | +10% $161 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $123 | -5% $176 | +0% $229 | +5% $282 | +10% $336 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $290 | -0.5pp $260 | base $229 | +0.5pp $198 | +1.0pp $167 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8086 Heck Dr Unit 6 North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $800 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 8146 Tolles Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $850 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 8205 Suncoast Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $850 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2211 Cantor Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 672 | $850 | $1.26 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 8028 Breeze Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7869 Suncoast Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $850 | $1.51 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2388 Case Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,825 | $1.72 | 4d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2027 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $1,300 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2095 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,295 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 16363 Teresa Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 4120 Pine Drop Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 957 | $1,895 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 7535 McDaniel Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $850 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7535 McDaniel Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $850 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2774 Wedgewood Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,300 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 16900 Slater Rd North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,524 | $1.36 | 3d | 17 | 1.44mi |
| 249 Fireball Ln North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 624 | $1,350 | $2.16 | 4d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $120,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $120,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-13$120,000 Active
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2026-04-27historical
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2026-02-25price $140,000
-
2025-11-27$150,000 Active
-
2024-03-22soldstatus $110,000 Sold 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
HERE'S THE DEAL YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR! Large, oversized fenced it lot with a shed, 4 Bedroom, 1 Bath available for sale! Unit overall in good condition, some work needed. GREAT FIRST HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY!
-
2024-03-22soldstatus $110,000
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
HERE'S THE DEAL YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR! Large, oversized fenced it lot with a shed, 4 Bedroom, 1 Bath available for sale! Unit overall in good condition, some work needed. GREAT FIRST HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY!
-
2024-03-07status Pending 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
HERE'S THE DEAL YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR! Large, oversized fenced it lot with a shed, 4 Bedroom, 1 Bath available for sale! Unit overall in good condition, some work needed. GREAT FIRST HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY!
-
2024-02-28status Pending With Contingencies 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
HERE'S THE DEAL YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR! Large, oversized fenced it lot with a shed, 4 Bedroom, 1 Bath available for sale! Unit overall in good condition, some work needed. GREAT FIRST HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY!
-
2024-02-25$113,667 Active 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
HERE'S THE DEAL YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR! Large, oversized fenced it lot with a shed, 4 Bedroom, 1 Bath available for sale! Unit overall in good condition, some work needed. GREAT FIRST HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY!
-
1990-10-12soldstatus $12,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,840 · $153/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,840 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,131
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,840
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,291
- − Management
- −$1,291
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $898
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$215
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,537/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Suncoast Estates
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #507
- US rank
- #9351
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Suncoast Estates, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 57,035
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,380
- Household income
- $55,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.28%
- Current HPI
- 282.2895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+900.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $120,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $140,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2025-11-27 Listed $150,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2024-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2024-03-22 Sold (MLS) $110,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2024-03-07 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2024-02-28 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2024-02-25 Listed $113,667 NAPLESMLS
- 1990-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,840 · +441.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…