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8106 Penny Dr
C- Composite 50.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.7/30.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

8106 Penny Dr · Suncoast Estates, FL 33917
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 938 sqft · Manufactured public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1980 0.31 ac lot Est $86k · 39% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HERE'S THE DEAL YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR! Large, oversized fenced it lot with a shed, 4 Bedroom, 1 Bath available for sale! Unit overall in good condition, some work needed. GREAT FIRST HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY!

Key facts

  • No restrictions
  • Bonus room
  • Fenced lot

Tags

BONUS ROOMFENCED LOTDETACHED STORAGE BUILDINGOUTDOOR LIVINGNO HOANO RESTRICTIONS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Oversized lot (approx. 0.312 acres) with dimensions 101 x 135 x 101 x 135; Zoned MH-1; Lot exposure to the west
  • Financial info: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Entry level 1; Faces east; Resale
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built-up roof; Flat roof
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Room for pool; Storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Freezer; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace; Window-unit heating; Wall-unit cooling; Window-unit cooling
  • Interior features: Living/dining room; Separate shower; Shower only; Split bedrooms; Other; Single-hung windows; Unfurnished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#507 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: commute D, amenities F, employment D-.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Diplomat Elementary School (math 67% / reading 60%, grade B, #564 of 2,144 statewide, top 27%, 1,069 students, 56% FRL); Mariner Middle School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 1,001 students, 53% FRL); Ida S. Baker High School (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,933 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 846 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,400 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.59%
Cash-on-cash
8.19%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$86,296
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8352 Barbie Ln 0.52mi 2/2.0 (-1) 924 (-2%) 10mo $85,000 $92 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.2%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-5,314
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$12,242
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33917

Home prices YoY
-30.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
846
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,344 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,840/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$282
Net cashflow
$229

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,054
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $297 -5% $263 +0% $229 +5% $195 +10% $161
Rent -10% $123 -5% $176 +0% $229 +5% $282 +10% $336
Rate -1.0pp $290 -0.5pp $260 base $229 +0.5pp $198 +1.0pp $167

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8086 Heck Dr Unit 6 North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 600 $800 $1.33 25d 1 0.19mi
8146 Tolles Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 784 $850 $1.08 25d 1 0.24mi
8205 Suncoast Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 672 $850 $1.26 25d 1 0.39mi
2211 Cantor Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 672 $850 $1.26 3d 1 0.50mi
8028 Breeze Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 25d 1 0.56mi
7869 Suncoast Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 564 $850 $1.51 3d 1 0.61mi
2388 Case Ln North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,825 $1.72 4d 1 0.69mi
2027 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 822 $1,300 $1.58 4d 1 0.89mi
2095 Eloise Cir North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $1,295 $1.54 25d 1 0.91mi
16363 Teresa Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 25d 1 1.05mi
4120 Pine Drop Ln North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 957 $1,895 $1.98 25d 1 1.15mi
7535 McDaniel Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 644 $850 $1.32 15d 1 1.17mi
7535 McDaniel Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 644 $850 $1.32 25d 1 1.17mi
2774 Wedgewood Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 880 $1,300 $1.48 25d 1 1.36mi
16900 Slater Rd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0–4.0 2.0 1120 $1,524 $1.36 3d 17 1.44mi
249 Fireball Ln North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.5 624 $1,350 $2.16 4d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $120,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-05-13
    listed $120,000 Active
  15. 2026-04-27
    historical
  16. 2026-02-25
    price $140,000
  17. 2025-11-27
    listed $150,000 Active
  18. 2024-03-22
    soldstatus $110,000 Sold 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    HERE'S THE DEAL YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR! Large, oversized fenced it lot with a shed, 4 Bedroom, 1 Bath available for sale! Unit overall in good condition, some work needed. GREAT FIRST HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY!

  19. 2024-03-22
    soldstatus $110,000
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    HERE'S THE DEAL YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR! Large, oversized fenced it lot with a shed, 4 Bedroom, 1 Bath available for sale! Unit overall in good condition, some work needed. GREAT FIRST HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY!

  20. 2024-03-07
    status Pending 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    HERE'S THE DEAL YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR! Large, oversized fenced it lot with a shed, 4 Bedroom, 1 Bath available for sale! Unit overall in good condition, some work needed. GREAT FIRST HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY!

  21. 2024-02-28
    status Pending With Contingencies 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    HERE'S THE DEAL YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR! Large, oversized fenced it lot with a shed, 4 Bedroom, 1 Bath available for sale! Unit overall in good condition, some work needed. GREAT FIRST HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY!

  22. 2024-02-25
    listed $113,667 Active 213-char remark
    Show marketing remark (213 chars)

    HERE'S THE DEAL YOU'VE BEEN WAITING FOR! Large, oversized fenced it lot with a shed, 4 Bedroom, 1 Bath available for sale! Unit overall in good condition, some work needed. GREAT FIRST HOME OR INVESTMENT PROPERTY!

  23. 1990-10-12
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,840 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,840 · $153/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,131
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,840
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,291
− Management
−$1,291
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$898
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$215
After-tax cash flow
$2,537/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Suncoast Estates

Score
68/100
State rank
#507
US rank
#9351

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Suncoast Estates, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,380
Household income
$55,000
Rent vs Own
16.3% rent · 83.7% own
Severe rent burden
775.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.28%
Current HPI
282.2895
Rent YoY
▲ 2.63%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+900.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $120,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $140,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-11-27 Listed $150,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2024-03-22 Sold (MLS) $110,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-03-07 Pending NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-02-28 Pending NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-02-25 Listed $113,667 NAPLESMLS
  • 1990-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,840 · +441.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…