1135 W Prince Rd #38 · Tucson, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Your brand new 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home is waiting for you to move in! This comfortable home features premium entry doors, a modern bathroom, as well as new brand name appliances. In the community, enjoy with your friends and family all the amenities we have to offer such as a playground, a swimming pool, and community events. This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.
Key facts
- Swimming pool
- Modern bathroom
- Premium entry doors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $76,900
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Home design: Spec home (plan 93967); Located at 1135 W Prince Rd #38, Tucson, AZ 85705
- Exterior features: Living area about 960
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms (total, includes full baths)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Active listing
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $429 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 3.7% in Tucson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#17 in AZ, #4,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Flowing Wells Unified District (4405) (suburban): math 23% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #143 of 249 in AZ (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 177 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.32%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $13,880
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $35,908
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85705
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,111 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $974/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $429
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1448 W Kilburn St Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,350 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 3802 N Flowing Wells Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 555 | $1,100 | $1.98 | 44d | 5 | 0.46mi |
| 822 W Thurber Rd Unit B Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $825 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 570 W Prince Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $975 | $1.24 | 44d | 13 | 0.60mi |
| 3055 N Flowing Wells Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $1,099 | $1.68 | 3d | 3 | 0.61mi |
| 1355 W Roger Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 627 | $1,084 | $1.73 | 44d | 4 | 0.61mi |
| 1700 W Prince Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 618 | $1,099 | $1.78 | 2d | 25 | 0.62mi |
| 1215 W Roger Rd Unit 1201-01 Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1215 W Roger Rd Unit 1241-04 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,100 | $1.43 | 16d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1215 W Roger Rd Unit 1215-11 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,100 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1215 W Roger Rd Unit 1201-13 Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1215 W Roger Rd Unit 1241-14 Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $895 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 557 W Thurber Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 44d | 3 | 0.63mi |
| 520 W Prince Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 557 | $1,076 | $1.93 | 3d | 16 | 0.69mi |
| 1501 W Roger Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $995 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 532 W Simmons Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 566 | $1,000 | $1.77 | 17d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4111 N Flowing Wells Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1131 | $1,625 | $1.44 | 24d | 3 | 0.85mi |
| 324 W Navajo Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 331 W Pastime Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,082 | $1.27 | 12d | 2 | 0.94mi |
| 311 W Pastime Rd Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $995 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 352 W Delano St Unit 1 Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 939 | $1,200 | $1.28 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1326 W Hadley St Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $725 | $0.81 | 3d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3036 N Balboa Ave Unit 1 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,100 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3066 N Balboa Ave Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $844 | $1.53 | 24d | 2 | 1.09mi |
| 95 W Windsor St Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $965 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3038 N Balboa Ave Unit 1 Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3020 N Balboa Ave Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 620 W Limberlost Dr Unit E24 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,200 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 104 W Navajo Rd Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $1,375 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 50 W King Rd Apt 11 Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 20d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 50 W King Rd Unit 09 Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $775 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3525 N Stone Ave Unit 102 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $1,167 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4213 N Romero Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,045 | $1.27 | 44d | 5 | 1.16mi |
| 212 W Blacklidge Dr Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 210 W Blacklidge Dr Unit 1 Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,075 | $1.79 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 123 W Delano St Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $995 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 123 W Delano St Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $1,093 | $1.25 | 12d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 124 W Pastime Rd Tucson, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,075 | $1.65 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 201 W Blacklidge Dr Tucson, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,669 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 450 W Kelso St Tucson, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 569 | $890 | $1.56 | 3d | 4 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $64,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $64,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $64,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $64,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01pricedays on market $77,400 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $76,900 Active 10 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,328
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$974
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,066
- − Management
- −$1,066
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $4,374
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,050
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,097/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This brand new 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is move-in ready with modern finishes and a fresh paint job. It offers a comfortable living space with potential for further value-adding improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/tenants.
- Resale Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and increase the home's value.
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to a wider range of potential buyers/tenants.
- Both Upgrading the flooring in bathrooms — Upgraded flooring can improve the aesthetic appeal and functionality of the bathrooms, making the home more attractive to buyers/tenants.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and attract more potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and increase the home's value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to a wider range of potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Upgrading the flooring in bathrooms — Upgraded flooring can improve the aesthetic appeal and functionality of the bathrooms, making the home more attractive to buyers/tenants. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flowing Wells Unified District (4405)
- NCES district ID
- 0403010
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,361
- Composite
- 21.69/100
- National rank
- #8271
- State rank
- #143 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Tucson
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #4502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tucson, AZ
- County
- Pima County · 1,012,107 people
- City population
- 839,336
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,700
- Household income
- $37,194
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4240.0
Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,066,056 people
- By 2030
- 1,086,684 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 1,117,160 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 1,149,778 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,271,480 · +19.3%
- By 2100
- 1,321,160 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% White 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Black 3% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 30% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pima
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -163.31%
- Current HPI
- 283.0647
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.30%
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…