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38 Railroad Ave
B Composite 73.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,299,000

38 Railroad Ave · East Hampton North, NY 11937
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,300 sqft · SingleFamily · 80 Days on market
Built 2022 0.54 ac lot $697/sqft · 34% below area Est $3458k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the highly sought-after East Hampton, New York, this exceptional property is just a five-minute drive to the North Main Street shopping district and Wells Beach, offering both convenience and coastal living. This newly constructed and fully renovated residence is set in an extremely private location while still providing easy access to town. The home has been completely updated with all new electrical, plumbing, septic system, water supply, and major mechanical systems, offering peace of mind and modern efficiency. The property features five spacious bedrooms, one of which includes a private en-suite, along with three full bathrooms and two kitchen areas. The main kitchen is designed for both everyday living and entertaining, featuring a large island and abundant cabinetry, making it ideal for gatherings, entertaining, and culinary enthusiasts. This layout is well-suited for extended family living, guests, or flexible living arrangements. Additional highlights include a two-car garage with finished tile flooring, as well as parking for more than ten vehicles. The property also includes a separate finished structure on the premises, offering additional space and versatility. Situated on a very large lot, The exterior has been beautifully updated with new wolf portrait siding, spray foam insulation, a new roof and new windows. The home also boasts a fully finished basement with a separate entrance and egress windows, providing additional living space and versatility. This is a rare opportunity to own a move-in-ready property in one of East Hampton’s most desirable locations, combining privacy, space, and modern upgrades. Driveway will be covered in stone gravel

Key facts

  • Newly constructed
  • Fully renovated
  • Updated electrical

Tags

PRIVATE LOCATIONNEWLY CONSTRUCTEDFULLY RENOVATEDUPDATED ELECTRICALUPDATED PLUMBINGUPDATED SEPTIC SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $2.30M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($78k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($25k rent vs $2.30M).
  • Recommended offer: $2.16M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,013 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • East Hampton Union Free School District (town): math 62% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #159 of 590 in NY (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.3%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $25,450/mo this rent would consume 235% of the median local household income ($130k/yr) (locally 896% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $16k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $69k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $644k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($2.16M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $400k; list at $2.30M implies a 475% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $2,161,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.66%
Cash-on-cash
12.04%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$3,458,260
List price
$2,299,000
Delta
-33.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Covey Ct 0.39mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,182 (-4%) 9mo $1,525,000 $479 62
4 Issacs Path 0.57mi 4/6.0 (-1) 3,525 (+7%) 6mo $3,200,000 $908 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$172,392
Equity at exit
$342,788
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$1,288,011
Equity at exit
$198,776

Cash invested: $643,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11937

Rents YoY
12.3%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$25,450 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$12,056
Tax from tax record
$632 /mo · $7,582/yr
Insurance
$958
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$5,345
Net cashflow
$6,460

Break-even live

Break-even rent $17,273
Max offer price $2,299,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$574,750
Closing costs
$68,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
121 Pantigo Rd East Hampton, NY 5.0 4.5 3400 $40,000 $11.76 24d 1 1.08mi
54 Miller Ln E East Hampton, NY 5.0 5.5 3850 $40,000 $10.39 24d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,299,000 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-04-29
    price $2,299,000 1711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1711 chars)

    Located in the highly sought-after East Hampton, New York, this exceptional property is just a five-minute drive to the North Main Street shopping district and Wells Beach, offering both convenience and coastal living. This newly constructed and fully renovated residence is set in an extremely private location while still providing easy access to town. The home has been completely updated with all new electrical, plumbing, septic system, water supply, and major mechanical systems, offering peace of mind and modern efficiency. The property features five spacious bedrooms, one of which includes a private en-suite, along with three full bathrooms and two kitchen areas. The main kitchen is designed for both everyday living and entertaining, featuring a large island and abundant cabinetry, making it ideal for gatherings, entertaining, and culinary enthusiasts. This layout is well-suited for extended family living, guests, or flexible living arrangements. Additional highlights include a two-car garage with finished tile flooring, as well as parking for more than ten vehicles. The property also includes a separate finished structure on the premises, offering additional space and versatility. Situated on a very large lot, The exterior has been beautifully updated with new wolf portrait siding, spray foam insulation, a new roof and new windows. The home also boasts a fully finished basement with a separate entrance and egress windows, providing additional living space and versatility. This is a rare opportunity to own a move-in-ready property in one of East Hampton’s most desirable locations, combining privacy, space, and modern upgrades. Driveway will be covered in stone gravel

  16. 2026-04-14
    price $2,499,000 1711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1711 chars)

    Located in the highly sought-after East Hampton, New York, this exceptional property is just a five-minute drive to the North Main Street shopping district and Wells Beach, offering both convenience and coastal living. This newly constructed and fully renovated residence is set in an extremely private location while still providing easy access to town. The home has been completely updated with all new electrical, plumbing, septic system, water supply, and major mechanical systems, offering peace of mind and modern efficiency. The property features five spacious bedrooms, one of which includes a private en-suite, along with three full bathrooms and two kitchen areas. The main kitchen is designed for both everyday living and entertaining, featuring a large island and abundant cabinetry, making it ideal for gatherings, entertaining, and culinary enthusiasts. This layout is well-suited for extended family living, guests, or flexible living arrangements. Additional highlights include a two-car garage with finished tile flooring, as well as parking for more than ten vehicles. The property also includes a separate finished structure on the premises, offering additional space and versatility. Situated on a very large lot, The exterior has been beautifully updated with new wolf portrait siding, spray foam insulation, a new roof and new windows. The home also boasts a fully finished basement with a separate entrance and egress windows, providing additional living space and versatility. This is a rare opportunity to own a move-in-ready property in one of East Hampton’s most desirable locations, combining privacy, space, and modern upgrades. Driveway will be covered in stone gravel

  17. 2026-03-30
    listed $2,599,000 Active 1711-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1711 chars)

    Located in the highly sought-after East Hampton, New York, this exceptional property is just a five-minute drive to the North Main Street shopping district and Wells Beach, offering both convenience and coastal living. This newly constructed and fully renovated residence is set in an extremely private location while still providing easy access to town. The home has been completely updated with all new electrical, plumbing, septic system, water supply, and major mechanical systems, offering peace of mind and modern efficiency. The property features five spacious bedrooms, one of which includes a private en-suite, along with three full bathrooms and two kitchen areas. The main kitchen is designed for both everyday living and entertaining, featuring a large island and abundant cabinetry, making it ideal for gatherings, entertaining, and culinary enthusiasts. This layout is well-suited for extended family living, guests, or flexible living arrangements. Additional highlights include a two-car garage with finished tile flooring, as well as parking for more than ten vehicles. The property also includes a separate finished structure on the premises, offering additional space and versatility. Situated on a very large lot, The exterior has been beautifully updated with new wolf portrait siding, spray foam insulation, a new roof and new windows. The home also boasts a fully finished basement with a separate entrance and egress windows, providing additional living space and versatility. This is a rare opportunity to own a move-in-ready property in one of East Hampton’s most desirable locations, combining privacy, space, and modern upgrades. Driveway will be covered in stone gravel

  18. 2022-07-06
    soldstatus $400,000
  19. 2004-01-07
    soldstatus $400,000
  20. 2000-03-21
    soldstatus $55,000
  21. 1999-12-22
    soldstatus $17,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$7,582 · $632/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$23,217 · $1,935/mo
Expected delta
+$15,636/yr (+$1,303/mo · 206.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$305,403
− Mortgage interest
−$128,780
− Property taxes
−$7,582
− Insurance
−$11,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$24,432
− Management
−$24,432
− Depreciation
−$66,880
Taxable income
$41,802
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$10,032
After-tax cash flow
$67,484/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Hampton Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3609660
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$86,309
Composite
57.85/100
National rank
#1046
State rank
#159 of 590 in NY

Livability — East Hampton North

Score
59/100
State rank
#1013
US rank
#19706

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing D- Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Hampton North, NY
County
Suffolk County · 679,920 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
21,882
Household income
$129,883
Rent vs Own
23.1% rent · 76.9% own
Severe rent burden
896.0

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 23% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Guatemala, Jamaica
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -285.21%
Current HPI
444.1499
Rent YoY
▲ 12.28%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13037.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $2,299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $2,499,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $2,599,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $400,000 Public Records
  • 2004-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $400,000 Public Records
  • 2000-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 1999-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,582 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…