1881 Beverly Ct · Pocono Springs, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, this updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath chalet offers the perfect blend of comfort and community living. A perfect option for a primary residence, vacation home, or investment. Located in an amenity filled community in a prime location in the Poconos.
Key facts
- Updated
- Cul-de-sac
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee (listed annually); Community amenities include clubhouse, dog park, playground, tennis courts, basketball court and pool
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; 4 open parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Private sewer
- Home design: Residential single-family home
- Construction: Crawl space basement
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s); Cul-de-sac lot; Paved road; Private maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating (electric); Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Furnished; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in common area on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (6.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (19.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $193k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#560 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; list at $239k implies a 77% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.58%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,481
- List price
- $239,000
- Delta
- 4.15%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1302 Winding Way | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-4%) | 14mo | $163,000 | $189 | 64 |
| 2638 Foxledge Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,021 (+13%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $186 | 56 |
| 1259 Winding Way | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,026 (+14%) | 6mo | $184,900 | $180 | 54 |
| 1105 Knollwood Dr | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 | 1,010 (+12%) | 16mo | $175,800 | $174 | 49 |
| 1575 Black Birch Way | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,032 (+14%) | 15mo | $212,000 | $205 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $15,165
- Equity at exit
- $98,915
- IRR
- 7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.08×
- Total profit
- $72,137
- Equity at exit
- $146,098
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18466
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,932 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax from tax record
- −$112 /mo · $1,345/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$149
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $-88
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $47 | -5% $-20 | +0% $-88 | +5% $-155 | +10% $-223 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-240 | -5% $-164 | +0% $-88 | +5% $-12 | +10% $65 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $33 | -0.5pp $-27 | base $-88 | +0.5pp $-150 | +1.0pp $-213 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2846 Fairhaven Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,950 | $1.90 | 15d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1763 Rolling Hills Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,800 | $1.79 | 9d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 9026 Idlewild Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,300 | $2.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $149 · $1,788/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 277-char remark
-
2026-04-17$239,000 Active 277-char remark
-
2026-01-24$255,000 Active
-
2024-08-23historical $1,900
-
2024-07-10$1,900
-
2021-08-04soldstatus $135,000
-
2021-08-02soldstatus $135,000
-
2021-05-28$139,000
-
2019-05-18$69,927
-
2018-06-01soldstatus $31,900
-
2018-05-12$39,900
-
2015-03-12soldstatus $19,000
-
2015-02-03$19,900
-
2006-12-15soldstatus $150,000
-
2005-11-14soldstatus $105,894
-
2005-11-08soldstatus $105,894
-
2005-09-01$99,900
-
1999-09-29soldstatus $42,106
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,345 · $112/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,560 · $213/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,216/yr (+$101/mo · 90.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,182
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$1,345
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,855
- − Management
- −$1,855
- − HOA
- −$1,788
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable loss
- −$5,195
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,247
- After-tax cash flow
- $193/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pocono Springs
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #560
- US rank
- #5263
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,997
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 202.4134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+467.6% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-04-17 Listed $239,000 PMAR
- 2026-01-24 Listed $255,000 PMAR
- 2024-08-23 Rental Removed $1,900 Avail
- 2024-07-10 Listed for Rent $1,900 Avail
- 2021-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-02 Sold (MLS) $135,000 PMAR
- 2021-05-28 Listed $139,000 PMAR
- 2019-05-18 Listed $69,927 PMAR
- 2018-06-01 Sold (MLS) $31,900 PMAR
- 2018-05-12 Listed $39,900 PMAR
- 2015-03-12 Sold (MLS) $19,000 PMAR
- 2015-02-03 Listed $19,900 PMAR
- 2006-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $105,894 Public Records
- 2005-11-08 Sold (MLS) $105,894 PMAR
- 2005-09-01 Listed $99,900 PMAR
- 1999-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $42,106 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.4%/yrLatest (2026): $1,345 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…