6871 W Woodlynn Ln · Homosassa Springs, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Best Buy in Homosassa! Bring your cash and unlock the potential of this charming older mobile home situated on just over an acre of land. Clean, well cared for, and ready for its next chapter, this property offers a great opportunity for a buyer looking for affordable country living. Enjoy the spacious lot with over an acre of land, a detached garage, and an additional carport. Recent updates include a newer well pump, newer A/C compressor, and newer septic tank, providing added value and peace of mind. Whether you're looking for a winter retreat, investment opportunity, or a place to make your own, this property has plenty to offer. The Nature coast has world class recreation with freshwater Springs within minutes of this darling retreat. No owner financing. Easy to show—schedule your tour today!
Key facts
- Additional carport
- Newer septic tank
- Spacious lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential mobile home (LDRMH zoning); Furnished; Living area approximately 1,104 square feet
- HOA & community: No HOA association indicated; Pets allowed: cats and dogs
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Driveway parking; Ground-level access; Boat parking available; 2-car garage; 2-car carport
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewage; Electricity connected; Water connected; Cable available
- Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); Attached property; One level; East-facing entry
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Roof over; Crawlspace foundation; Completed condition; Built on 1.02-acre parcel
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Level lot; Asphalt road access; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features throughout; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen and family room combined
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($843/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 5.9% in Homosassa Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#391 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rock Crusher Elementary School (math 70% / reading 56%, grade B, #582 of 2,144 statewide, top 28%, 665 students, 68% FRL); Crystal River High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 1,249 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 307 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,938/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 113% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $125k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.32%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $177,744
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2181 S Sunwood Pt | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+4%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $161 | 63 |
| 6594 W Grant St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+4%) | 9mo | $184,000 | $160 | 59 |
| 2012 S Moonlit Pt | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+4%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $195 | 55 |
| 6394 W Beaumont Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,153 (+4%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $173 | 51 |
| 2170 S Sunwood Pt | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (+12%) | 20mo | $165,000 | $134 | 42 |
| 7059 W Jackson Ln | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,204 (+9%) | 18mo | $199,000 | $165 | 38 |
| 7151 W Vantage Ln | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 948 (-14%) | 20mo | $135,000 | $142 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-21,189
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-11,684
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34448
- Home prices YoY
- -26.1%
- Active inventory
- 307
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,938 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,548/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $70
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3844 S Swan Ter Homosassa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,800 | $1.54 | 20d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $159,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$159,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,548 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,548 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,255
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$1,548
- − Insurance
- −$5,918
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,860
- − Management
- −$1,860
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable loss
- −$1,540
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$370
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,213/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Homosassa Springs
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #391
- US rank
- #6877
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- County
- Citrus County · 111,314 people
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,817
- Household income
- $45,916
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 113.0
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.27%
- Current HPI
- 312.4302
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Homosassa Springs, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+461.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $159,900 RACC
- 2026-06-16 Listed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 1985-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,548 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…