1206 Via Felice · Santa Maria, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.65%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here's your opportunity to preview this completely updated Double Wide Mobile Home. Interior redone from top to bottom. New Dual Pane Windows, new Laminated Flooring, Fresh Paint, new Cabinets, new Stove and overhead Hood. Both Bathrooms have been updated, one has a Tub, and one has a Walk-in Shower. The Exterior was repainted and new steps off the Car Port and Front Entrance were added. Plus, you can also enjoy the added Sunroom. The covered Car Port can accommodate a couple of Cars and there is a Storage Bldg. You really should take a look at this one...
Key facts
- New stove
- Fresh paint
- New cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area sourced from public records; Located within Casa Del Rio Mobile Home Park
- Financial info: Land lease: $1,254
- HOA & community: Senior community; Community includes a park
Exterior
- Parking: Located in Casa Del Rio Mobile Home Park
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Mobile home model: Kingswood; Single-story; Entry at level 1
- Construction: Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approximately 24 ft by 48 ft; Year built source: public records
- Exterior features: Community pool; Corner lot; Level-with-street lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: One-level entry; Single-story home
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area located in the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 3.5% in Santa Maria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#202 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools F, crime F, cost of living F.
- Santa Maria-Bonita (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #1,023 of 1,400 in CA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 719 units permitted in Santa Barbara County in 2024 (217 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Barbara County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 260 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 17 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $165k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 260 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.30%
- DSCR
- 2.30
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $129,024
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1205 Via Hielo | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 15mo | $65,000 | $52 | 66 |
| 1204 Via Felice | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-12%) | 8mo | $113,000 | $112 | 63 |
| 1632 Via Undoso | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (+15%) | 8mo | $149,000 | $113 | 60 |
| 1608 Via Undoso | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,284 (+12%) | 16mo | $134,000 | $104 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $45,869
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 32.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.93×
- Total profit
- $135,577
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93454
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,818 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$164 /mo · $1,973/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$592
- Net cashflow
- $1,128
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1124 N Suey Rd Santa Maria, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,500 | $1.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 230 N Suey Rd Unit B Santa Maria, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 799 | $2,799 | $3.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 914 E El Camino St Santa Maria, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $3,400 | $2.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| Lynne Dr Santa Maria, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1264 | $3,000 | $2.37 | 13d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 259 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 254 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-05-22status Active
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Here's your opportunity to preview this completely updated Double Wide Mobile Home. Interior redone from top to bottom. New Dual Pane Windows, new Laminated Flooring, Fresh Paint, new Cabinets, new Stove and overhead Hood. Both Bathrooms have been updated, one has a Tub, and one has a Walk-in Shower. The Exterior was repainted and new steps off the Car Port and Front Entrance were added. Plus, you can also enjoy the added Sunroom. The covered Car Port can accommodate a couple of Cars and there is a Storage Bldg. You really should take a look at this one...
-
2026-05-22status Active 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Here's your opportunity to preview this completely updated Double Wide Mobile Home. Interior redone from top to bottom. New Dual Pane Windows, new Laminated Flooring, Fresh Paint, new Cabinets, new Stove and overhead Hood. Both Bathrooms have been updated, one has a Tub, and one has a Walk-in Shower. The Exterior was repainted and new steps off the Car Port and Front Entrance were added. Plus, you can also enjoy the added Sunroom. The covered Car Port can accommodate a couple of Cars and there is a Storage Bldg. You really should take a look at this one...
-
2026-05-12historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Here's your opportunity to preview this completely updated Double Wide Mobile Home. Interior redone from top to bottom. New Dual Pane Windows, new Laminated Flooring, Fresh Paint, new Cabinets, new Stove and overhead Hood. Both Bathrooms have been updated, one has a Tub, and one has a Walk-in Shower. The Exterior was repainted and new steps off the Car Port and Front Entrance were added. Plus, you can also enjoy the added Sunroom. The covered Car Port can accommodate a couple of Cars and there is a Storage Bldg. You really should take a look at this one...
-
2026-05-12historical Active Under Contract 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Here's your opportunity to preview this completely updated Double Wide Mobile Home. Interior redone from top to bottom. New Dual Pane Windows, new Laminated Flooring, Fresh Paint, new Cabinets, new Stove and overhead Hood. Both Bathrooms have been updated, one has a Tub, and one has a Walk-in Shower. The Exterior was repainted and new steps off the Car Port and Front Entrance were added. Plus, you can also enjoy the added Sunroom. The covered Car Port can accommodate a couple of Cars and there is a Storage Bldg. You really should take a look at this one...
-
2025-12-05price $165,000
-
2025-10-10price $165,000 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Here's your opportunity to preview this completely updated Double Wide Mobile Home. Interior redone from top to bottom. New Dual Pane Windows, new Laminated Flooring, Fresh Paint, new Cabinets, new Stove and overhead Hood. Both Bathrooms have been updated, one has a Tub, and one has a Walk-in Shower. The Exterior was repainted and new steps off the Car Port and Front Entrance were added. Plus, you can also enjoy the added Sunroom. The covered Car Port can accommodate a couple of Cars and there is a Storage Bldg. You really should take a look at this one...
-
2025-10-01$169,000 Active
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2025-09-30$169,000 Active 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Here's your opportunity to preview this completely updated Double Wide Mobile Home. Interior redone from top to bottom. New Dual Pane Windows, new Laminated Flooring, Fresh Paint, new Cabinets, new Stove and overhead Hood. Both Bathrooms have been updated, one has a Tub, and one has a Walk-in Shower. The Exterior was repainted and new steps off the Car Port and Front Entrance were added. Plus, you can also enjoy the added Sunroom. The covered Car Port can accommodate a couple of Cars and there is a Storage Bldg. You really should take a look at this one...
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2025-09-29historical
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2025-09-27historical
-
2025-08-19status Active
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2025-08-19status Active
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2025-06-27historical Active Under Contract
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2025-06-27historical Active Under Contract
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2025-03-20status Active
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2025-03-20status Active
-
2025-03-14status Pending Sale
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2025-03-14status Pending
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2025-03-08price $169,000
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2025-03-07price $169,000
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2024-08-30price $180,000
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2024-08-30price $180,000
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2024-06-07$199,999 Active
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2024-06-07$199,999 Active
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2024-05-10soldstatus $48,000 Closed
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2024-05-10soldstatus $48,000 Closed Sale
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2024-03-12status Pending
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2024-03-12status Pending Sale
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2024-02-19$75,000 Active
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2024-02-16$75,000 Active
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2022-10-18soldstatus $40,000,000
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2017-04-07historical
-
2016-09-27soldstatus $64,000
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2016-06-25$68,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,973 · $164/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,973 · $164/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 65% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,822
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,973
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,706
- − Management
- −$2,706
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $11,569
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,777
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,761/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Maria-Bonita
- NCES district ID
- 0605580
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,959
- Composite
- 29.11/100
- National rank
- #11891
- State rank
- #1023 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Santa Maria
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #6519
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Santa Maria, CA
- County
- Santa Barbara County · 410,380 people
- City population
- 145,655
- Metro
- Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,896
- Household income
- $81,522
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1893.0
Population outlook (Santa Barbara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,679 people
- By 2030
- 505,323 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 545,783 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 584,263 · +20.5%
- By 2075
- 682,586 · +40.8%
- By 2100
- 723,188 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 73% Two or more races 37% White 20% Native American 3% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 69%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 52% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Barbara
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.7) · D 61.8% · R 35.1% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 26.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.7 2020: D+32.1 2016: D+28.2 2012: D+17.1 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -543.97%
- Current HPI
- 313.0849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.26%
- Metro
- Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+450.9% since first listed41 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — NSBCRMLS
- 2026-05-12 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2026-05-12 Contingent — NSBCRMLS
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $165,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $165,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2025-10-01 Listed $169,000 CRMLS
- 2025-09-30 Listed $169,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2025-09-29 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-09-27 Listing Removed — NSBCRMLS
- 2025-08-19 Relisted — NSBCRMLS
- 2025-08-19 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-06-27 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2025-06-27 Contingent — NSBCRMLS
- 2025-03-20 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-03-20 Relisted — NSBCRMLS
- 2025-03-14 Pending — CRMLS
- 2025-03-14 Pending — NSBCRMLS
- 2025-03-08 Price Changed $169,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2025-03-07 Price Changed $169,000 CRMLS
- 2024-08-30 Price Changed $180,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2024-08-30 Price Changed $180,000 CRMLS
- 2024-06-07 Listed $199,999 CRMLS
- 2024-06-07 Listed $199,999 NSBCRMLS
- 2024-05-10 Sold (MLS) $48,000 CRMLS
- 2024-05-10 Sold (MLS) $48,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2024-03-12 Pending — NSBCRMLS
- 2024-03-12 Pending — CRMLS
- 2024-02-19 Listed $75,000 CRMLS
- 2024-02-16 Listed $75,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2022-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $40,000,000 Public Records
- 2017-04-07 Listing Removed — NSBCRMLS
- 2016-09-27 Sold (MLS) $64,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2016-06-25 Listed $68,000 NSBCRMLS
- 2003-08-20 Sold (MLS) $72,900 NSBCRMLS
- 2003-05-16 Listed $72,900 NSBCRMLS
- 1999-02-22 Sold (MLS) $26,990 NSBCRMLS
- 1998-12-04 Listed $26,990 NSBCRMLS
- 1997-07-10 Listed $29,900 NSBCRMLS
- 1996-02-28 Sold (MLS) $29,000 NSBCRMLS
- 1996-01-17 Listed $29,950 NSBCRMLS
Property tax history
+20.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,973 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…