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202 4th Ave SW
B- Composite 69.37
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$68,000

202 4th Ave SW · Jamestown, ND 58401
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 915 sqft · Other · 60 Days on market
Built 1925 3,600 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Brick fireplace
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Unfinished basement

Tags

CORNER LOTBRICK FIREPLACESPACIOUS KITCHENDINING ROOMMUDROOMUNFINISHED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 car), garage faces side, concrete surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Residential property; Corner, level, rectangular lot; Roads are paved/asphalt
  • Construction: Wood siding; Shingle/asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Basement: concrete, unfinished with storage space
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room wood-burning fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($917 rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.2% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#35 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Jamestown 1 (town): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #14 of 53 in ND (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Jamestown High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #33 of 144 statewide, top 32%, 777 students, 21% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Stutsman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stutsman County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $65,960 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
10.66%
Cash-on-cash
15.58%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.2%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$5,376
Equity at exit
$10,139
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
2.45×
Total profit
$27,655
Equity at exit
$5,879

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58401

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$917 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,103/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$192
Net cashflow
$247

Break-even live

Break-even rent $604
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $68,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $68,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $68,000 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $68,000 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $68,000 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $68,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $68,000 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $68,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $68,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $68,000 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $68,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $68,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $68,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $68,000 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,000 Active 41 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $68,000 Active 40 DOM
  17. 2026-04-20
    listed $68,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,103 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,103 · $92/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,999
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$1,103
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$880
− Management
−$880
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$2,008
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$482
After-tax cash flow
$2,485/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jamestown 1
NCES district ID
3800021
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$48,557
Composite
41.38/100
National rank
#3487
State rank
#14 of 53 in ND

Livability — Jamestown

Score
73/100
State rank
#35
US rank
#5212

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jamestown, ND
County
Stutsman County · 17,189 people
City population
17,189
Metro
Jamestown, ND
Population (ZIP)
17,189
Household income
$60,228
Rent vs Own
41.5% rent · 58.5% own
Severe rent burden
964.0

Population outlook (Stutsman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,104 people
By 2030
21,292 · +0.9%
By 2040
21,485 · +1.8%
By 2050
21,960 · +4.1%
By 2075
25,753 · +22.0%
By 2100
29,779 · +41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 17% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stutsman

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.6) · D 26.7% · R 71.3% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-29.9pp toward R · 2008: -14.7pp · 2024: -44.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.6 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+42.5 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+14.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -171.65%
Current HPI
123.841
Rent YoY
▲ 3.68%
Metro
Jamestown, ND
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $68,000 GNMLS

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,103 · +81.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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