CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
281 Linwood Dr
B Composite 74.71
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$98,000

281 Linwood Dr · Richlands, VA 24641
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 10,316 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 209 Days on market
Built 1973 0.34 ac lot $9/sqft · 81% below area ↓ 57% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FULL RENOVATION NEEDED - Discover the incredible potential of this spacious home located in the desirable Hidden Valley Subdivision in the Town of Richlands. Situated on 0.34 acres, this 4-bedroom, 4-full-bath property offers a generous 7,936 sq ft of total living space and is ready for a full renovation to restore its charm and functionality. Inside, you'll find large rooms with built-in displays, offering endless opportunities to create stunning, customized spaces. The expansive family room features three ceiling fans and a fireplace, making it the perfect gathering spot once restored. The oversized kitchen includes an island and a cozy breakfast nook—ready to be transformed into a show-stopping culinary space. The basement level provides exceptional square footage, including 2,380 sq ft of finished area and 1,599 sq ft of unfinished space, ideal for storage, workshops, or future expansion. This level also includes three garage bays, ensuring ample parking and workspace. The exterior features brick construction, a shingle roof, town water and sewer, an open deck, and a covered porch, offering multiple spots to enjoy the outdoors. This home presents a rare chance to bring your vision to life in a sought-after subdivision. Property is being sold AS-IS.

Key facts

  • Three ceiling fans
  • Large rooms
  • Built-in displays

Tags

0.34 ACRESLARGE ROOMSBUILT-IN DISPLAYSEXPANSIVE FAMILY ROOMTHREE CEILING FANSFIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 4.4% in Richlands — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#314 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, schools B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tazewell County Public School District (town): math 67% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #21 of 131 in VA (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Tazewell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tazewell County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $98k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.38%
Cap rate
11.13%
Cash-on-cash
17.29%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$401,591
List price
$98,000
Delta
-75.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$14,032
Equity at exit
$19,620
10-year hold
IRR
19.2%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$48,952
Equity at exit
$17,331

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24641

Home prices YoY
-1.3%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,355 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$514
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,443/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $854
Max offer price $98,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $451 -5% $423 +0% $395 +5% $368 +10% $340
Rent -10% $288 -5% $342 +0% $395 +5% $449 +10% $502
Rate -1.0pp $445 -0.5pp $420 base $395 +0.5pp $370 +1.0pp $344

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,500
Closing costs
$2,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $98,000 Active 209 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $98,000 Active 207 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $98,000 Active 206 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $98,000 Active 205 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $98,000 Active 204 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $98,000 Active 203 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $98,000 Active 201 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $98,000 Active 200 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $98,000 Active 197 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $98,000 Active 196 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $98,000 Active 195 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $98,000 Active 191 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $98,000 Active 190 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $98,000 Active 189 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $98,000 Active 188 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $98,000 Active 187 DOM
  17. 2026-04-10
    price $109,000 1278-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1278 chars)

    FULL RENOVATION NEEDED - Discover the incredible potential of this spacious home located in the desirable Hidden Valley Subdivision in the Town of Richlands. Situated on 0.34 acres, this 4-bedroom, 4-full-bath property offers a generous 7,936 sq ft of total living space and is ready for a full renovation to restore its charm and functionality. Inside, you'll find large rooms with built-in displays, offering endless opportunities to create stunning, customized spaces. The expansive family room features three ceiling fans and a fireplace, making it the perfect gathering spot once restored. The oversized kitchen includes an island and a cozy breakfast nook—ready to be transformed into a show-stopping culinary space. The basement level provides exceptional square footage, including 2,380 sq ft of finished area and 1,599 sq ft of unfinished space, ideal for storage, workshops, or future expansion. This level also includes three garage bays, ensuring ample parking and workspace. The exterior features brick construction, a shingle roof, town water and sewer, an open deck, and a covered porch, offering multiple spots to enjoy the outdoors. This home presents a rare chance to bring your vision to life in a sought-after subdivision. Property is being sold AS-IS.

  18. 2026-03-06
    price $119,000 1278-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1278 chars)

    FULL RENOVATION NEEDED - Discover the incredible potential of this spacious home located in the desirable Hidden Valley Subdivision in the Town of Richlands. Situated on 0.34 acres, this 4-bedroom, 4-full-bath property offers a generous 7,936 sq ft of total living space and is ready for a full renovation to restore its charm and functionality. Inside, you'll find large rooms with built-in displays, offering endless opportunities to create stunning, customized spaces. The expansive family room features three ceiling fans and a fireplace, making it the perfect gathering spot once restored. The oversized kitchen includes an island and a cozy breakfast nook—ready to be transformed into a show-stopping culinary space. The basement level provides exceptional square footage, including 2,380 sq ft of finished area and 1,599 sq ft of unfinished space, ideal for storage, workshops, or future expansion. This level also includes three garage bays, ensuring ample parking and workspace. The exterior features brick construction, a shingle roof, town water and sewer, an open deck, and a covered porch, offering multiple spots to enjoy the outdoors. This home presents a rare chance to bring your vision to life in a sought-after subdivision. Property is being sold AS-IS.

  19. 2025-11-24
    listed $129,700 Active 1278-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1278 chars)

    FULL RENOVATION NEEDED - Discover the incredible potential of this spacious home located in the desirable Hidden Valley Subdivision in the Town of Richlands. Situated on 0.34 acres, this 4-bedroom, 4-full-bath property offers a generous 7,936 sq ft of total living space and is ready for a full renovation to restore its charm and functionality. Inside, you'll find large rooms with built-in displays, offering endless opportunities to create stunning, customized spaces. The expansive family room features three ceiling fans and a fireplace, making it the perfect gathering spot once restored. The oversized kitchen includes an island and a cozy breakfast nook—ready to be transformed into a show-stopping culinary space. The basement level provides exceptional square footage, including 2,380 sq ft of finished area and 1,599 sq ft of unfinished space, ideal for storage, workshops, or future expansion. This level also includes three garage bays, ensuring ample parking and workspace. The exterior features brick construction, a shingle roof, town water and sewer, an open deck, and a covered porch, offering multiple spots to enjoy the outdoors. This home presents a rare chance to bring your vision to life in a sought-after subdivision. Property is being sold AS-IS.

  20. 2025-07-24
    price $149,000
  21. 2025-06-05
    price $159,000
  22. 2025-04-08
    price $169,000
  23. 2024-11-19
    price $189,000
  24. 2019-03-01
    listed $55,000
  25. 2018-12-19
    soldstatus $30,000
  26. 2018-03-15
    listed $62,500
  27. 2018-01-17
    soldstatus $229,500
  28. 2016-06-09
    listed $255,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,443 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,443 · $120/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,260
− Mortgage interest
−$5,490
− Property taxes
−$1,443
− Insurance
−$490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,301
− Management
−$1,301
− Depreciation
−$2,851
Taxable income
$3,385
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$812
After-tax cash flow
$3,933/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tazewell County Public School District
NCES district ID
5103810
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,003
Composite
60.16/100
National rank
#865
State rank
#21 of 131 in VA

Livability — Richlands

Score
66/100
State rank
#314
US rank
#11229

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A- Health & safety C+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richlands, VA
Population (ZIP)
5,417

Population outlook (Tazewell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,275 people
By 2030
35,719 · -6.7%
By 2040
30,875 · -19.3%
By 2050
26,798 · -30.0%
By 2075
19,286 · -49.6%
By 2100
13,631 · -64.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tazewell

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.9) · D 15.3% · R 84.2%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -32.9pp · 2024: -68.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.9 2020: R+67.2 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+32.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.87%
Current HPI
141.9823
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-57.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $109,000 SWVAR
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $119,000 SWVAR
  • 2025-11-24 Listed $129,700 SWVAR
  • 2025-07-24 Price Changed $149,000 SWVAR
  • 2025-06-05 Price Changed $159,000 SWVAR
  • 2025-04-08 Price Changed $169,000 SWVAR
  • 2024-11-19 Price Changed $189,000 SWVAR
  • 2019-03-01 Listed $55,000 SWVAR
  • 2018-12-19 Sold (MLS) $30,000 SWVAR
  • 2018-03-15 Listed $62,500 SWVAR
  • 2018-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $229,500 Public Records
  • 2016-06-09 Listed $255,000 SWVAR

Property tax history

-4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,443 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…