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2512 Bridge St
B- Composite 69.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

2512 Bridge St · Gatesville, TX 76528
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,502 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 157 Days on market
Built 1940 8,015 sqft lot $40/sqft · 67% below area ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity! Situated on a charming street, this property is full of potential and just needs a bit of TLC. Owner financing is available, making this an excellent option for investors or buyers looking to renovate and build equity. The home sits on an approximately 8,010 sq ft lot, offering ample space for outdoor living, storage, or future improvements. With its generous lot size and solid opportunity for customization, this property is ready to be transformed into something special. Enjoy small-town charm with convenient access to nearby services. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 8,015 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 157 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $616 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 3.9% in Gatesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#702 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Gatesville ISD (town): math 38% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #409 of 826 in TX (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 386 units permitted in Coryell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 157 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 50% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 157 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.48%
Cap rate
19.94%
Cash-on-cash
48.74%
DSCR
3.17
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$179,297
List price
$60,000
Delta
-66.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
124 Cottonwood Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,460 (-3%) 1mo $191,830 $131 75
104 Austin St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,462 (-3%) 17mo $139,000 $95 65
106 Dixon Dr 0.19mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,458 (-3%) 21mo $205,000 $141 60
217 Spindletop St 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,347 (-10%) 5mo $208,000 $154 49
120 N 29th St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,624 (+8%) 2mo $227,000 $140 47
101 Surrey Ln 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,386 (-8%) 12mo $187,000 $135 38
117 N 28th St 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,346 (-10%) 7mo $130,000 $97 38
2004 Saunders St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,416 (-6%) 20mo $100,000 $71 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
41.0%
Equity multiple
2.76×
Total profit
$29,620
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
47.3%
Equity multiple
5.57×
Total profit
$76,765
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76528

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,490 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$155 /mo · $1,862/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$616

Break-even live

Break-even rent $710
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
114 Oak Lane Dr Gatesville, TX 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,550 $1.32 13d 1 0.30mi
1315 Greens Private Dr Gatesville, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,350 $0.84 13d 1 0.75mi
204 S 34th St Apt A Gatesville, TX 3.0 2.0 1294 $1,300 $1.00 21d 1 0.91mi
204 S 34th St Apt B Gatesville, TX 3.0 2.0 1294 $1,300 $1.00 43d 1 0.91mi
248 Old Osage Rd Unit 410 Gatesville, TX 2.0 2.0 1218 $763 $0.63 13d 1 1.15mi
3506 Canyon Xing Gatesville, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 13d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $60,000 Pending 157 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $60,000 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 152 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $60,000 Active 149 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 148 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 147 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 146 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 145 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $60,000 Active 144 DOM
  12. 2026-01-06
    listed $70,000 Active 586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (586 chars)

    Great investment opportunity! Situated on a charming street, this property is full of potential and just needs a bit of TLC. Owner financing is available, making this an excellent option for investors or buyers looking to renovate and build equity. The home sits on an approximately 8,010 sq ft lot, offering ample space for outdoor living, storage, or future improvements. With its generous lot size and solid opportunity for customization, this property is ready to be transformed into something special. Enjoy small-town charm with convenient access to nearby services. Sold as-is.

  13. 2023-04-21
    historical
  14. 2023-03-28
    price $60,000
  15. 2023-03-02
    listed $85,000 Active
  16. 2020-12-08
    soldstatus
  17. 2007-07-24
    soldstatus
  18. 1999-08-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,862 · $155/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,862 · $155/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 50% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,881
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$1,862
− Insurance
−$1,098
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,431
− Management
−$1,431
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$6,955
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,669
After-tax cash flow
$5,722/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gatesville ISD
NCES district ID
4820500
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$47,114
Composite
34.21/100
National rank
#5264
State rank
#409 of 826 in TX

Livability — Gatesville

Score
65/100
State rank
#702
US rank
#13121

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gatesville, TX
County
Coryell County · 61,053 people
City population
18,935
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
Population (ZIP)
18,935
Household income
$70,558
Rent vs Own
29.5% rent · 70.5% own
Severe rent burden
243.0

Population outlook (Coryell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,485 people
By 2030
75,627 · +0.2%
By 2040
74,898 · -0.8%
By 2050
74,221 · -1.7%
By 2075
72,688 · -3.7%
By 2100
66,862 · -11.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coryell

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.8pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -40.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.7 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+36.6 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.18%
Current HPI
206.6876
Rent YoY
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $70,000 NTREIS
  • 2023-04-21 Listing Removed CTXMLS
  • 2023-03-28 Price Changed $60,000 CTXMLS
  • 2023-03-02 Listed $85,000 CTXMLS
  • 2020-12-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-07-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1999-08-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,862 · +80.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…