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414 Empire Ter
B- Composite 67.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$44,900

414 Empire Ter · Montgomery, AL 36110
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,102 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 127 Days on market
Built 1987 7,405 sqft lot $21/sqft · 53% below area ↓ 31% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home nestled in the established North Montgomery area! This property offers a wonderful opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for space, convenience, and value. Step inside to discover a functional floor plan with comfortable living areas and natural light throughout. The spacious yard provides room for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or simply relaxing after a long day. Whether you’re looking to make this your primary residence or add to your investment portfolio, this property offers great potential. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Montgomery, major highways, shopping, dining, and schools, this home combines accessibility with neighborhood charm. If you’re searching for an affordable opportunity with upside potential in Montgomery, this one is worth a look! SoldAS

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1987

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $737 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 26.0% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $39,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.90%
Cap rate
25.99%
Cash-on-cash
70.34%
DSCR
4.13
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$96,220
List price
$44,900
Delta
-53.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
423 Brookview Dr 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,890 (-10%) 17mo $95,000 $50 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
69.9%
Equity multiple
4.15×
Total profit
$39,664
Equity at exit
$6,695
10-year hold
IRR
73.9%
Equity multiple
8.56×
Total profit
$95,004
Equity at exit
$3,882

Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36110

Home prices YoY
-34.8%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,302 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$235
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $447/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$737

Break-even live

Break-even rent $369
Max offer price $44,900
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,225
Closing costs
$1,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3452 Harris St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,150 $0.82 20d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $44,900 Active 127 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $44,900 Active 126 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $44,900 Active 125 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $44,900 Active 124 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $44,900 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $44,900 Active 121 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $44,900 Active 119 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $44,900 Active 118 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $44,900 Active 117 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,900 Active 116 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $44,900 Active 112 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $44,900 Active 111 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $44,900 Active 110 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,900 Active 109 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    pricedays on market $44,900 Active 108 DOM
  16. 2026-04-24
    price $54,900 824-char remark
    Show marketing remark (824 chars)

    Welcome home nestled in the established North Montgomery area! This property offers a wonderful opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for space, convenience, and value. Step inside to discover a functional floor plan with comfortable living areas and natural light throughout. The spacious yard provides room for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or simply relaxing after a long day. Whether you’re looking to make this your primary residence or add to your investment portfolio, this property offers great potential. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Montgomery, major highways, shopping, dining, and schools, this home combines accessibility with neighborhood charm. If you’re searching for an affordable opportunity with upside potential in Montgomery, this one is worth a look! SoldAS

  17. 2026-03-24
    price $69,900 824-char remark
    Show marketing remark (824 chars)

    Welcome home nestled in the established North Montgomery area! This property offers a wonderful opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for space, convenience, and value. Step inside to discover a functional floor plan with comfortable living areas and natural light throughout. The spacious yard provides room for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or simply relaxing after a long day. Whether you’re looking to make this your primary residence or add to your investment portfolio, this property offers great potential. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Montgomery, major highways, shopping, dining, and schools, this home combines accessibility with neighborhood charm. If you’re searching for an affordable opportunity with upside potential in Montgomery, this one is worth a look! SoldAS

  18. 2026-02-11
    listed $79,900 Active 824-char remark
    Show marketing remark (824 chars)

    Welcome home nestled in the established North Montgomery area! This property offers a wonderful opportunity for homeowners or investors looking for space, convenience, and value. Step inside to discover a functional floor plan with comfortable living areas and natural light throughout. The spacious yard provides room for outdoor entertaining, gardening, or simply relaxing after a long day. Whether you’re looking to make this your primary residence or add to your investment portfolio, this property offers great potential. Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Montgomery, major highways, shopping, dining, and schools, this home combines accessibility with neighborhood charm. If you’re searching for an affordable opportunity with upside potential in Montgomery, this one is worth a look! SoldAS

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$447 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$447 · $37/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,620
− Mortgage interest
−$2,515
− Property taxes
−$447
− Insurance
−$224
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,250
− Management
−$1,250
− Depreciation
−$1,306
Taxable income
$8,628
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,071
After-tax cash flow
$6,772/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
12,102
Household income
$47,315
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
753.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (83%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 83% White 11% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China, Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.37%
Current HPI
66.3114
Rent YoY
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-31.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $54,900 MAAR
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $69,900 MAAR
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $79,900 MAAR

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $447 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…