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4849 Springle St
D Composite 42.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$4,500

4849 Springle St · Detroit, MI 48215
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,824 sqft · Townhouse public records · 139 Days on market
Built 1926 4,792 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * * FINAL PROPOSALS DUE BY 7/27/19 * * * Subject address is included as part of a 4 Property Bundle Sale Totaling $18,000. Each deed shall represent a sale price of $4,500/property. HOMES ARE NOT BEING SOLD INDIVIDUALLY, NO EXCEPTIONS. Addresses included: 4800 Springle, 4811 Springle, 4826 Springle and 4849 Springle. All offers must be supported by Proof of Funds for both the Purchase Price, as well as the construction costs. The sale of said property is open to homeowners, investors and developers. The Seller will consider a rehab proposal. Seller Addendum's to be provided upon acceptance of qualifying offer. This sale is contingent upon Buyer & Seller execution of a Development Agreement. Contact agent with additional questions. See attachments for Offer Requirements. BTVAI

Key facts

  • 4,792 sq ft lot
  • Built 1926
  • Listed 139 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $4k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $4k).
  • Recommended offer: $4k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 287.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $31 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $135 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($4k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $3,960 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
30.54%
Cap rate
287.49%
Cash-on-cash
1004.27%
DSCR
45.68
GRM
0.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
53.74×
Total profit
$66,452
Equity at exit
$671
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
115.63×
Total profit
$144,430
Equity at exit
$389

Cash invested: $1,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48215

Home prices YoY
-24.1%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
0.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,374 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$24
Tax est. 1.5%
$6 /mo · $68/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$1,054

Break-even live

Break-even rent $39
Max offer price $4,500
Occupancy floor 18%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,125
Closing costs
$135
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1366 $1,500 $1.10 24d 1 0.76mi
3937 Beniteau St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1250 $900 $0.72 43d 1 0.97mi
4251 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1326 $1,650 $1.24 43d 1 0.98mi
5045 Fairview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1303 $1,200 $0.92 43d 1 1.01mi
5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,473 $1.12 43d 1 1.12mi
2174 Springle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2256 $1,150 $0.51 1d 1 1.16mi
4487 French Rd Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1280 $1,800 $1.41 43d 1 1.19mi
4510 Harding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2394 $1,500 $0.63 17d 1 1.22mi
9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,300 $1.02 20d 1 1.28mi
5791 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1660 $1,400 $0.84 17d 1 1.33mi
9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 5d 1 1.36mi
1334 Maryland St Grosse Pointe Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1786 $1,200 $0.67 18d 1 1.42mi
9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,400 $0.93 3d 1 1.48mi
11806 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 4.0 3.0 2000 $1,600 $0.80 24d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2025-06-27
    status Pending
  2. 2025-03-25
    historical
  3. 2024-12-17
    status Pending
  4. 2021-10-15
    status Pending
  5. 2021-10-12
    historical
  6. 2021-09-20
    status Pending
  7. 2021-09-14
    historical
  8. 2021-03-05
    status Pending
  9. 2021-03-02
    historical
  10. 2020-05-08
    status Pending
  11. 2020-05-05
    historical
  12. 2020-02-14
    status Pending
  13. 2020-02-13
    historical
  14. 2019-11-11
    status Pending 801-char remark
    Show marketing remark (801 chars)

    * * * FINAL PROPOSALS DUE BY 7/27/19 * * * Subject address is included as part of a 4 Property Bundle Sale Totaling $18,000. Each deed shall represent a sale price of $4,500/property. HOMES ARE NOT BEING SOLD INDIVIDUALLY, NO EXCEPTIONS. Addresses included: 4800 Springle, 4811 Springle, 4826 Springle and 4849 Springle. All offers must be supported by Proof of Funds for both the Purchase Price, as well as the construction costs. The sale of said property is open to homeowners, investors and developers. The Seller will consider a rehab proposal. Seller Addendum's to be provided upon acceptance of qualifying offer. This sale is contingent upon Buyer & Seller execution of a Development Agreement. Contact agent with additional questions. See attachments for Offer Requirements. BTVAI

  15. 2019-11-11
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (801 chars)

    * * * FINAL PROPOSALS DUE BY 7/27/19 * * * Subject address is included as part of a 4 Property Bundle Sale Totaling $18,000. Each deed shall represent a sale price of $4,500/property. HOMES ARE NOT BEING SOLD INDIVIDUALLY, NO EXCEPTIONS. Addresses included: 4800 Springle, 4811 Springle, 4826 Springle and 4849 Springle. All offers must be supported by Proof of Funds for both the Purchase Price, as well as the construction costs. The sale of said property is open to homeowners, investors and developers. The Seller will consider a rehab proposal. Seller Addendum's to be provided upon acceptance of qualifying offer. This sale is contingent upon Buyer & Seller execution of a Development Agreement. Contact agent with additional questions. See attachments for Offer Requirements. BTVAI

  16. 2019-06-25
    listed $4,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (801 chars)

    * * * FINAL PROPOSALS DUE BY 7/27/19 * * * Subject address is included as part of a 4 Property Bundle Sale Totaling $18,000. Each deed shall represent a sale price of $4,500/property. HOMES ARE NOT BEING SOLD INDIVIDUALLY, NO EXCEPTIONS. Addresses included: 4800 Springle, 4811 Springle, 4826 Springle and 4849 Springle. All offers must be supported by Proof of Funds for both the Purchase Price, as well as the construction costs. The sale of said property is open to homeowners, investors and developers. The Seller will consider a rehab proposal. Seller Addendum's to be provided upon acceptance of qualifying offer. This sale is contingent upon Buyer & Seller execution of a Development Agreement. Contact agent with additional questions. See attachments for Offer Requirements. BTVAI

  17. 2019-06-25
    listed $4,500 Active 801-char remark
    Show marketing remark (801 chars)

    * * * FINAL PROPOSALS DUE BY 7/27/19 * * * Subject address is included as part of a 4 Property Bundle Sale Totaling $18,000. Each deed shall represent a sale price of $4,500/property. HOMES ARE NOT BEING SOLD INDIVIDUALLY, NO EXCEPTIONS. Addresses included: 4800 Springle, 4811 Springle, 4826 Springle and 4849 Springle. All offers must be supported by Proof of Funds for both the Purchase Price, as well as the construction costs. The sale of said property is open to homeowners, investors and developers. The Seller will consider a rehab proposal. Seller Addendum's to be provided upon acceptance of qualifying offer. This sale is contingent upon Buyer & Seller execution of a Development Agreement. Contact agent with additional questions. See attachments for Offer Requirements. BTVAI

  18. 2003-03-04
    soldstatus $26,000 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    ALL CLEAN AND FRESHLY PAINTED TWO FAMILY HOME. TWO BEDROOMS EACH. DINING ROOMS. ALL CITY CERTS ARE COMPLETED. BUYER IS TO SIGN A LETTER OF COMPLIANCE WITH THE CITY OF DETROIT TO COMPLETE REPAIRS. MUST SELL !! MAKE AN OFFER !!!!

  19. 2003-02-14
    historical 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    ALL CLEAN AND FRESHLY PAINTED TWO FAMILY HOME. TWO BEDROOMS EACH. DINING ROOMS. ALL CITY CERTS ARE COMPLETED. BUYER IS TO SIGN A LETTER OF COMPLIANCE WITH THE CITY OF DETROIT TO COMPLETE REPAIRS. MUST SELL !! MAKE AN OFFER !!!!

  20. 2002-06-26
    listed $32,000 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    ALL CLEAN AND FRESHLY PAINTED TWO FAMILY HOME. TWO BEDROOMS EACH. DINING ROOMS. ALL CITY CERTS ARE COMPLETED. BUYER IS TO SIGN A LETTER OF COMPLIANCE WITH THE CITY OF DETROIT TO COMPLETE REPAIRS. MUST SELL !! MAKE AN OFFER !!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,490
− Mortgage interest
−$252
− Property taxes
−$68
− Insurance
−$22
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,319
− Management
−$1,319
− Depreciation
−$131
Taxable income
$13,379
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,211
After-tax cash flow
$9,443/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
City population
572,865
Population (ZIP)
10,238

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (87%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 87% White 9% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.84%
Current HPI
191.0405
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-85.9% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2025-06-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-17 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-10-15 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-10-12 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-09-20 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-09-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-05 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-05-08 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-05-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-02-14 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2020-02-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2019-11-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-11-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2019-06-25 Listed $4,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-06-25 Listed $4,500 REALCOMP
  • 2003-03-04 Sold (MLS) $26,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2003-02-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-06-26 Listed $32,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-47.7%/yr

Latest (2016): $340 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…