Champion 42 Cedarcrest Village Plan · Vineland, NJ 08360

$205,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,792 sqft · Manufactured · 33 Days on market

Poor condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.9/30.0
• DSCR +8.1/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.5/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Condition / age +1.0/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Beautiful new 4-bedroom home with 2 full bathrooms and a spacious open layout. This home offers modern comfort, generous living space, and a welcoming atmosphere for family and friends.

Key facts

• Listed 33 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $205,000

Exterior

• Utilities: Central air (electric cooling)
• Home design: New construction plan: Champion 42 Cedarcrest Village; Single-family home (plan)
• Construction: Living area approximately 1792; Built as part of a 2026 plan
• Exterior features: Property located at 1976 N East Ave, Vineland, NJ 08360

Interior

• Kitchen: Plan includes standard kitchen (appliances not specified)
• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Open plan living area

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $205k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $438 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $205k).
• Recommended offer: $199k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.5% in Vineland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#363 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
• Vineland Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #418 of 472 in NJ (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $198,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.15% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.86%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.16%
• DSCR: 1.41
• GRM: 7.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -2.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.91×
• Total profit: $-5,285
• Equity at exit: $30,566

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.55×
• Total profit: $31,466
• Equity at exit: $17,725

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 21 Tenant-Leaning
• State New Jersey: 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 08360

• Active inventory: 175
• Price-to-rent: 7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,348 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,075
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$256 /mo · $3,075/yr
• Insurance: −$85
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$493
• Net cashflow: $438

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,793

Max offer price $205,000

Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $580	-5% $509	+0% $438	+5% $367	+10% $296
Rent	-10% $253	-5% $345	+0% $438	+5% $531	+10% $624
Rate	-1.0pp $541	-0.5pp $490	base $438	+0.5pp $385	+1.0pp $331

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $51,250
• Closing costs: $6,150
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $205,000 Active 33 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $205,000 Active 31 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $205,000 Active 30 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $205,000 Active 29 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $205,000 Active 28 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $205,000 Active 27 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $205,000 Active 25 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $205,000 Active 24 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $205,000 Active 22 DOM
10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $205,000 Active 21 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $205,000 Active 20 DOM
12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $205,000 Active 19 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $205,000 Active 15 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $205,000 Active 14 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $205,000 Active 13 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $205,000 Active 12 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $205,000 Active 11 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,173
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,483
• − Property taxes: −$3,075
• − Insurance: −$1,025
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,254
• − Management: −$2,254
• − Depreciation: −$5,964
• Taxable income: $2,119
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$509
• After-tax cash flow: $4,748/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This manufactured home requires extensive repairs and updates across all systems and areas, significantly impacting its value. Significant investment is needed to bring it up to a livable condition.

Repairs flagged

• Major kitchen — No photos of kitchen
• Major bathrooms — No photos of bathrooms
• Major roof — No photos of roof
• Major exterior — No photos of exterior
• Major flooring — No photos of flooring
• Major interior walls/paint — No photos of interior walls/paint
• Major windows — No photos of windows
• Major foundation/structure — No photos of foundation/structure
• Major HVAC/mechanicals — No photos of HVAC/mechanicals
• Major landscaping/curb appeal — No photos of landscaping/curb appeal

Value-add opportunities

• Both exterior painting and landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and overall aesthetic
• Both kitchen and bathroom renovations — Updates essential living spaces
• Both roof and HVAC replacement — Improves structural integrity and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
kitchen · No photos of kitchen	Major	$15,000–50,000
bathrooms · No photos of bathrooms	Major	$15,000–50,000
roof · No photos of roof	Major	$15,000–50,000
exterior · No photos of exterior	Major	$15,000–50,000
flooring · No photos of flooring	Major	$15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · No photos of interior walls/paint	Major	$15,000–50,000
windows · No photos of windows	Major	$15,000–50,000
foundation/structure · No photos of foundation/structure	Major	$15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · No photos of HVAC/mechanicals	Major	$15,000–50,000
landscaping/curb appeal · No photos of landscaping/curb appeal	Major	$15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 10 items		$150,000–500,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both exterior painting and landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and overall aesthetic ↑
• Both kitchen and bathroom renovations — Updates essential living spaces ↑
• Both roof and HVAC replacement — Improves structural integrity and energy efficiency ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Vineland Public School District
• NCES district ID: 3416800
• Math proficiency: 9% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 34% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $51,168
• Composite: 19.17/100
• National rank: #8819
• State rank: #418 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Vineland

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #363
• US rank: #12180

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Vineland, NJ
• County: Cumberland County · 80,266 people
• City population: 45,038
• Metro: Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
• Population (ZIP): 45,038
• Household income: $65,359
• Rent vs Own: 34.7% rent · 65.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1328.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 152,743 people
• By 2030: 150,373 · -1.6%
• By 2040: 146,881 · -3.8%
• By 2050: 142,653 · -6.6%
• By 2075: 129,468 · -15.2%
• By 2100: 107,456 · -29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 51% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 11% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 33% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 59% English-only · Spanish 37% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -320.06%
• Current HPI: 278.786
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.05%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Consumer Goods	3	$31B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$153B
▸Technology	2	$21B
▸Insurance	2	$20B
▸Healthcare	2	$19B
▸Financial Services	1	$70B