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156 Swaying Pine Ct
D+ Composite 46.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

156 Swaying Pine Ct · Crestview, FL 32539
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Townhouse public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1982 4,356 sqft lot Est $186k · at est. $35/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Experience Refined Living & Investment Excellence in Crestview Discover a rare opportunity to own a sophisticated 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom residence in the esteemed Rolling Hills enclave. This meticulously maintained townhome seamlessly blends modern elegance with unparalleled versatility, making it a premier choice for a high-end primary residence or a curated short-term rental portfolio. The main level invites you into an expansive, light-filled open-concept living suite, perfectly designed for entertaining. A gourmet-inspired kitchen, complete with a generous pantry, flows effortlessly into the dining area. For ultimate convenience, the first floor also features a private 1-car garage with expanded storage and a designer powder room. Ascend to the upper level to find a palatial master retreat featuring soaring vaulted ceilings, a spa-like ensuite with an oversized vanity and soaking tub, and a grand walk-in closet. Two additional guest chambers and a dedicated laundry suite complete the interior. Step outside to a private terrace, offering an elegant setting for alfresco dining. For those seeking an effortless transition into the short-term rental market, high-end furnishings are negotiable, offering true turnkey potential. Minutes from premier medical hubs and local amenities—this is the pinnacle of Crestview living.

Key facts

  • Open patio
  • Walk-in closet
  • Large pantry

Tags

FULLY EQUIPPED KITCHENLARGE PANTRY1 CAR GARAGEPRIVATE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETOPEN PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $80 ($955/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (5.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $174k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.4% in Crestview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,858 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 521 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $174,164 (5.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.84%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,760
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
182 Swaying Pine Ct 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,440 (0%) 10mo $185,000 $128 87
361 Crooked Pine Trl 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,356 (-6%) 1mo $175,000 $129 87
151 Swaying Pine Ct 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,356 (-6%) 1mo $180,000 $133 86
122 Swaying Pine Ct 0.08mi 3/2.5 1,356 (-6%) 2mo $175,000 $129 83
363 Crooked Pine Trl 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,356 (-6%) 11mo $164,000 $121 78
222 Swaying Pine Ct 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,356 (-6%) 6mo $180,000 $133 77
314 Crooked Pine Trl 0.12mi 3/2.5 1,356 (-6%) 8mo $182,000 $134 76
178 Swaying Pine Ct 0.04mi 3/2.5 1,562 (+8%) 8mo $163,500 $105 76
151 E Iron Horse Dr 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,554 (+8%) 4mo $215,000 $138 74
180 Swaying Pine Ct 0.04mi 3/2.5 1,564 (+9%) 18mo $198,000 $127 66
114 E Iron Horse Dr 0.19mi 3/2.5 1,551 (+8%) 16mo $225,000 $145 63
293 Swaying Pine Ct 0.19mi 3/2.5 1,562 (+8%) 20mo $128,501 $82 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-29,776
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
-14.9%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-38,253
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32539

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
521
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,742 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$214 /mo · $2,569/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$35
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$366
Net cashflow
$80

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,641
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
365 Crooked Pine Trl Crestview, FL 3.0 2.5 1356 $1,350 $1.00 13d 1 0.02mi
347 Crooked Pine Trl Crestview, FL 3.0 2.5 1356 $1,500 $1.11 13d 1 0.03mi
147 Swaying Pine Ct Crestview, FL 3.0 2.5 1309 $1,395 $1.07 21d 1 0.03mi
143 Swaying Pine Ct Crestview, FL 3.0 2.5 1440 $1,450 $1.01 21d 1 0.04mi
343 Crooked Pine Trl Unit 1 Crestview, FL 3.0 2.5 1415 $1,350 $0.95 13d 1 0.04mi
163 Swaying Pine Ct Crestview, FL 3.0 2.5 1356 $1,300 $0.96 43d 1 0.04mi
111 Swaying Pine Ct Crestview, FL 3.0 2.5 1440 $1,300 $0.90 43d 1 0.09mi
295 Limestone Cir Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1107 $1,625 $1.47 43d 1 0.15mi
177 Iron Horse Dr E Crestview, FL 3.0 2.5 1551 $1,700 $1.10 43d 1 0.15mi
234 Swaying Pine Ct Crestview, FL 3.0 2.5 1440 $1,350 $0.94 43d 1 0.18mi
240 Swaying Pine Ct Crestview, FL 3.0 2.5 1356 $1,400 $1.03 43d 1 0.20mi
124 Sandstone Trl Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1748 $1,900 $1.09 13d 1 0.21mi
2500 E Redstone Ave Crestview, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1428 $1,952 $1.37 13d 6 0.26mi
648 Alysheba Dr Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1341 $1,800 $1.34 21d 1 0.32mi
4 Holly Rd Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1165 $1,725 $1.48 21d 1 0.38mi
4 Holly Rd Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1165 $1,725 $1.48 13d 1 0.38mi
111 Steeplechase Dr Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1637 $1,795 $1.10 43d 1 0.46mi
114 Blooming Cv Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1712 $2,095 $1.22 21d 1 0.52mi
812 Moorhen Way Crestview, FL 4.0 2.0 1830 $2,195 $1.20 43d 1 0.58mi
210 Lyla Ln Crestview, FL 4.0 2.0 1815 $2,295 $1.26 43d 1 0.59mi
301 E Redstone Ave Crestview, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1100 $2,202 $2.00 13d 20 0.62mi
157 Blooming Cv Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1727 $1,995 $1.16 43d 1 0.62mi
916 Merganser Way Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1631 $1,950 $1.20 21d 1 0.62mi
201 Lyla Ln Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1727 $1,999 $1.16 21d 1 0.63mi
201 Lyla Ln Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1727 $2,095 $1.21 13d 1 0.63mi
14 Flora Cv Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,750 $1.29 21d 1 0.65mi
833 Moorhen Way Crestview, FL 4.0 2.0 1830 $2,100 $1.15 44d 1 0.70mi
833 Moorhen Way Crestview, FL 4.0 2.0 1830 $2,000 $1.09 21d 1 0.70mi
4821 Acorn Dr Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1705 $1,930 $1.13 13d 1 0.72mi
4821 Acorn Dr Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1705 $1,930 $1.13 21d 1 0.72mi
661 Brookmeade Dr Crestview, FL 4.0 2.0 1637 $2,200 $1.34 13d 1 0.72mi
3016 Aplin Rd Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,400 $1.09 43d 1 0.73mi
1035 Limpkin St Crestview, FL 4.0 2.0 1830 $2,300 $1.26 43d 1 0.76mi
475 Aplin Rd Crestview, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 764 $999 $1.31 43d 5 0.78mi
727 Quintana St Crestview, FL 4.0 2.0 1768 $2,300 $1.30 13d 1 0.82mi
719 Quintana St Crestview, FL 4.0 2.0 1768 $2,000 $1.13 43d 1 0.82mi
107 Trenton Ave Crestview, FL 4.0 3.0 1799 $2,150 $1.20 43d 1 0.96mi
413 Scarborough St Crestview, FL 4.0 2.0 1768 $2,100 $1.19 13d 1 1.02mi
440 Scarborough St Crestview, FL 4.0 2.0 1387 $2,100 $1.51 43d 1 1.05mi
4799 Coronado Cir Crestview, FL 3.0 2.0 1476 $2,200 $1.49 13d 1 1.11mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$35 · $420/yr

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $185,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $185,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $185,000 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $185,000 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-04-20
    status Active 1354-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1354 chars)

    Experience Refined Living & Investment Excellence in Crestview Discover a rare opportunity to own a sophisticated 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom residence in the esteemed Rolling Hills enclave. This meticulously maintained townhome seamlessly blends modern elegance with unparalleled versatility, making it a premier choice for a high-end primary residence or a curated short-term rental portfolio. The main level invites you into an expansive, light-filled open-concept living suite, perfectly designed for entertaining. A gourmet-inspired kitchen, complete with a generous pantry, flows effortlessly into the dining area. For ultimate convenience, the first floor also features a private 1-car garage with expanded storage and a designer powder room. Ascend to the upper level to find a palatial master retreat featuring soaring vaulted ceilings, a spa-like ensuite with an oversized vanity and soaking tub, and a grand walk-in closet. Two additional guest chambers and a dedicated laundry suite complete the interior. Step outside to a private terrace, offering an elegant setting for alfresco dining. For those seeking an effortless transition into the short-term rental market, high-end furnishings are negotiable, offering true turnkey potential. Minutes from premier medical hubs and local amenities—this is the pinnacle of Crestview living.

  17. 2026-04-18
    historical 1354-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1354 chars)

    Experience Refined Living & Investment Excellence in Crestview Discover a rare opportunity to own a sophisticated 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom residence in the esteemed Rolling Hills enclave. This meticulously maintained townhome seamlessly blends modern elegance with unparalleled versatility, making it a premier choice for a high-end primary residence or a curated short-term rental portfolio. The main level invites you into an expansive, light-filled open-concept living suite, perfectly designed for entertaining. A gourmet-inspired kitchen, complete with a generous pantry, flows effortlessly into the dining area. For ultimate convenience, the first floor also features a private 1-car garage with expanded storage and a designer powder room. Ascend to the upper level to find a palatial master retreat featuring soaring vaulted ceilings, a spa-like ensuite with an oversized vanity and soaking tub, and a grand walk-in closet. Two additional guest chambers and a dedicated laundry suite complete the interior. Step outside to a private terrace, offering an elegant setting for alfresco dining. For those seeking an effortless transition into the short-term rental market, high-end furnishings are negotiable, offering true turnkey potential. Minutes from premier medical hubs and local amenities—this is the pinnacle of Crestview living.

  18. 2026-04-17
    listed $185,000 Active 1354-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1354 chars)

    Experience Refined Living & Investment Excellence in Crestview Discover a rare opportunity to own a sophisticated 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom residence in the esteemed Rolling Hills enclave. This meticulously maintained townhome seamlessly blends modern elegance with unparalleled versatility, making it a premier choice for a high-end primary residence or a curated short-term rental portfolio. The main level invites you into an expansive, light-filled open-concept living suite, perfectly designed for entertaining. A gourmet-inspired kitchen, complete with a generous pantry, flows effortlessly into the dining area. For ultimate convenience, the first floor also features a private 1-car garage with expanded storage and a designer powder room. Ascend to the upper level to find a palatial master retreat featuring soaring vaulted ceilings, a spa-like ensuite with an oversized vanity and soaking tub, and a grand walk-in closet. Two additional guest chambers and a dedicated laundry suite complete the interior. Step outside to a private terrace, offering an elegant setting for alfresco dining. For those seeking an effortless transition into the short-term rental market, high-end furnishings are negotiable, offering true turnkey potential. Minutes from premier medical hubs and local amenities—this is the pinnacle of Crestview living.

  19. 2026-04-15
    historical
  20. 2026-03-16
    listed $185,000 Active
  21. 2022-03-14
    soldstatus $161,900
  22. 2006-06-28
    soldstatus $127,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,569 · $214/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,569 · $214/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,900
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,569
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,672
− Management
−$1,672
− HOA
−$420
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$2,103
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$505
After-tax cash flow
$1,460/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okaloosa
NCES district ID
1201380
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$55,601
Composite
51.62/100
National rank
#1705
State rank
#12 of 73 in FL

Livability — Crestview

Score
75/100
State rank
#252
US rank
#3858

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crestview, FL
County
Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
City population
58,889
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,290
Household income
$74,369
Rent vs Own
21.7% rent · 78.3% own
Severe rent burden
371.0

Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
235,133 people
By 2030
253,483 · +7.8%
By 2040
289,537 · +23.1%
By 2050
322,954 · +37.3%
By 2075
399,624 · +70.0%
By 2100
425,311 · +80.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.52%
Current HPI
261.1557
Rent YoY
▲ 0.12%
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+44.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted PARMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $185,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listing Removed PARMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $185,000 PARMLS
  • 2022-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $161,900 Public Records
  • 2006-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $127,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,569 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…