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205 Lester Ln
C+ Composite 62.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$107,000

205 Lester Ln · Cleveland, OK 74020
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,138 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1970 9,522 sqft lot Est $139k · 23% under ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Nestled in a peaceful cul-de-sac, this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a wonderful opportunity for those seeking space, privacy, and potential. The property boasts a generous yard for gardening and plenty of space for kids to play. Come take a look! Selling as is.

Key facts

  • Generous yard
  • Cul-de-sac
  • 9,522 sq ft lot

Tags

CUL-DE-SACGENEROUS YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 space
  • Security: Owned security system; No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Power/utilities unknown
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces west; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick and concrete construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built (per public records)
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Covered patio and porch; Partial fencing; Located on a cul-de-sac

Interior

  • Kitchen: Double oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Range
  • Bedrooms: Three first-floor bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with bathtub (hall bath)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Aluminum window frames; Ceramic counters; High-speed internet available; Gas range and gas oven connections
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Inside utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $107k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (11.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#93 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools D-.
  • Cleveland (town): math 21% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #169 of 270 in OK (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3 units permitted in Pawnee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($740 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Pawnee County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,000 (11.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.31%
Cash-on-cash
3.64%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$138,836
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
321 N Gilbert Ave 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,238 (+9%) 3mo $170,000 $137 67
1306 Jodebo Rd 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+11%) 11mo $175,000 $139 67
702 W Wichita St 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,176 (+3%) 13mo $165,900 $141 65
601 W Wichita Ave W 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,227 (+8%) 6mo $48,000 $39 59
1004 W Delaware St 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,260 (+11%) 14mo $135,000 $107 56
409 S Gilbert St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-5%) 17mo $65,000 $60 55
603 Hickory Dr 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,092 (-4%) 15mo $150,000 $137 54
700 Cedar Ct 0.72mi 3/1.5 1,104 (-3%) 6mo $129,900 $118 54
710 W Osage St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,024 (-10%) 2mo $25,000 $24 53
100 Birch Ct 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,200 (+5%) 12mo $146,000 $122 52
1201 W Pawnee St 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 968 (-15%) 15mo $118,500 $122 51
310 W Delaware St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,068 (-6%) 14mo $85,000 $80 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
3.14×
Total profit
$64,029
Equity at exit
$96,394
10-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
7.14×
Total profit
$183,933
Equity at exit
$207,877

Cash invested: $29,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74020

Home prices YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$561
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $647/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $835
Max offer price $107,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,750
Closing costs
$3,210
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
803 W Cherokee St Cleveland, OK 2.0 1.0 768 $950 $1.24 3d 1 0.43mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $107,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $107,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $107,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    remarks 266-char remark
  5. 2026-06-01
    listed $107,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$647 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$963 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$316/yr (+$26/mo · 48.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,400
− Mortgage interest
−$5,994
− Property taxes
−$647
− Insurance
−$535
− Repairs & maintenance
−$912
− Management
−$912
− Depreciation
−$3,113
Taxable loss
−$712
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$171
After-tax cash flow
$1,262/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cleveland
NCES district ID
4008040
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$45,642
Composite
17.52/100
National rank
#9049
State rank
#169 of 270 in OK

Livability — Cleveland

Score
67/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#10844

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cleveland, OK
Population (ZIP)
7,365

Population outlook (Pawnee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,219 people
By 2030
16,028 · -1.2%
By 2040
15,724 · -3.1%
By 2050
15,563 · -4.0%
By 2075
15,905 · -1.9%
By 2100
16,058 · -1.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Two or more races 12% Native American 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pawnee

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.9) · D 19.7% · R 78.6% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-21.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -58.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.9 2020: R+57.5 2016: R+53.2 2012: R+40.0 2008: R+37.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.01%
Current HPI
218.04
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Listed $107,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-05-13 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $107,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-01-16 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-12-08 Price Changed $119,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-05-13 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-05-13 Listed $129,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-03-10 Price Changed $129,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-01-10 Listed $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $647 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…