205 Lester Ln · Cleveland, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$107,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in a peaceful cul-de-sac, this 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offers a wonderful opportunity for those seeking space, privacy, and potential. The property boasts a generous yard for gardening and plenty of space for kids to play. Come take a look! Selling as is.
Key facts
- Generous yard
- Cul-de-sac
- 9,522 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 space
- Security: Owned security system; No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Power/utilities unknown
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces west; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick and concrete construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built (per public records)
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Covered patio and porch; Partial fencing; Located on a cul-de-sac
Interior
- Kitchen: Double oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Range
- Bedrooms: Three first-floor bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with bathtub (hall bath)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Aluminum window frames; Ceramic counters; High-speed internet available; Gas range and gas oven connections
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Inside utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $107k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (11.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $95k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#93 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, schools D-.
- Cleveland (town): math 21% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #169 of 270 in OK (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3 units permitted in Pawnee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($740 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Pawnee County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.64%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $138,836
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321 N Gilbert Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,238 (+9%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $137 | 67 |
| 1306 Jodebo Rd | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (+11%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $139 | 67 |
| 702 W Wichita St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 | 1,176 (+3%) | 13mo | $165,900 | $141 | 65 |
| 601 W Wichita Ave W | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,227 (+8%) | 6mo | $48,000 | $39 | 59 |
| 1004 W Delaware St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (+11%) | 14mo | $135,000 | $107 | 56 |
| 409 S Gilbert St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-5%) | 17mo | $65,000 | $60 | 55 |
| 603 Hickory Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,092 (-4%) | 15mo | $150,000 | $137 | 54 |
| 700 Cedar Ct | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (-3%) | 6mo | $129,900 | $118 | 54 |
| 710 W Osage St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,024 (-10%) | 2mo | $25,000 | $24 | 53 |
| 100 Birch Ct | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (+5%) | 12mo | $146,000 | $122 | 52 |
| 1201 W Pawnee St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 968 (-15%) | 15mo | $118,500 | $122 | 51 |
| 310 W Delaware St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,068 (-6%) | 14mo | $85,000 | $80 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.14×
- Total profit
- $64,029
- Equity at exit
- $96,394
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.14×
- Total profit
- $183,933
- Equity at exit
- $207,877
Cash invested: $29,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74020
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $950 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$561
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $647/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $91
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,750
- Closing costs
- $3,210
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 803 W Cherokee St Cleveland, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $950 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 0.43mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $107,000 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $107,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $107,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 266-char remark
-
2026-06-01$107,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $647 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $963 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$316/yr (+$26/mo · 48.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,994
- − Property taxes
- −$647
- − Insurance
- −$535
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$912
- − Management
- −$912
- − Depreciation
- −$3,113
- Taxable loss
- −$712
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$171
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,262/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cleveland
- NCES district ID
- 4008040
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,642
- Composite
- 17.52/100
- National rank
- #9049
- State rank
- #169 of 270 in OK
Livability — Cleveland
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #10844
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cleveland, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,365
Population outlook (Pawnee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,219 people
- By 2030
- 16,028 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 15,724 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 15,563 · -4.0%
- By 2075
- 15,905 · -1.9%
- By 2100
- 16,058 · -1.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 12% Native American 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pawnee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.9) · D 19.7% · R 78.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -58.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+57.5 2016: R+53.2 2012: R+40.0 2008: R+37.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.01%
- Current HPI
- 218.04
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-23.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $107,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-05-13 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-06 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $107,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-01-16 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $119,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-05-13 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-05-13 Listed $129,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-03-10 Price Changed $129,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-01-10 Listed $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $647 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…