43 Corman Ct · Decatur, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$15,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Near park. Sold as is. Cash or rehab loan offers only. Large lot! Shed. Dead end street to park/walking trail. Near schools. 3 Bedroom. Converted garage. Dining room. Covered porch. Patio. Room sizes are estimated. Needs TLC. This property is subject to a 3 day First Look Period. Seller will negotiate offers after the period expires. Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. City condemned (see door notice in Docs). FOIA response from city in Docs. Buyer's side will need to contact city for all condemnation issues and takes
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Shed
- Large lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property assessed/size information sourced from assessor
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Space for 4 vehicles; Gravel off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
- Construction: Wood siding; Estimated age 51–60 years
- Exterior features: Patio; Mature trees on the lot; Lot dimensions approximately 121 x 173
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (12 x 10)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom on the main level (10 x 10); Second bedroom on the main level (10 x 10); Third bedroom on the main level (10 x 10)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: 6 rooms total; Other room (20 x 10)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
- Cap rate 84.3% vs local median 7.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Stephen Decatur Middle School (math 0% / reading 5%, grade F, #658 of 665 statewide, top 99%, 459 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 9.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 84.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 278.74%
- DSCR
- 13.40
- GRM
- 0.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.22×
- Total profit
- $59,726
- Equity at exit
- $2,237
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 32.45×
- Total profit
- $132,102
- Equity at exit
- $1,297
Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62521
- Home prices YoY
- -9.0%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 0.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,366 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$79
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$19 /mo · $225/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $976
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,750
- Closing costs
- $450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4802 S Baker Woods Ct Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $15,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $15,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17days on market $15,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $15,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 689-char remark
-
2026-06-15days on market $15,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 483-char remark
-
2026-06-14days on market $15,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $15,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $15,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 225-char remark
-
2026-06-09$15,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,394
- − Mortgage interest
- −$840
- − Property taxes
- −$225
- − Insurance
- −$75
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,311
- − Management
- −$1,311
- − Depreciation
- −$436
- Taxable income
- $12,194
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,927
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,780/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur SD 61
- NCES district ID
- 1711850
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,864
- Composite
- 3.99/100
- National rank
- #10059
- State rank
- #605 of 620 in IL
Livability — Decatur
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1076
- US rank
- #20533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decatur, IL
- County
- Macon County · 78,333 people
- City population
- 78,333
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,665
- Household income
- $66,337
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 640.0
Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,568 people
- By 2030
- 94,973 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 85,250 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 75,920 · -23.8%
- By 2075
- 55,962 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 36,468 · -63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 17% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Macon
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -17.96%
- Current HPI
- 180.9274
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $15,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2024): $1,528 · +11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…