499 East Ave Ave · Berry, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- ARV discount +4.6/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming and move-in ready, this updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Berry, AL is located just seconds from town and offers the perfect blend of convenience and value. Sitting on a half-acre lot that’s partially fenced, this property features updates throughout and plenty of outdoor space to enjoy. Whether you’re looking for a great starter home or a smart investment opportunity, this one checks all the boxes—especially with new coal mines coming in just minutes away, adding strong potential for future growth and rental demand.
Key facts
- Half-acre lot
- Partially fenced
- Updated home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $229 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#115 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Fayette County (rural): math 17% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #71 of 129 in AL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
- Fayette County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $70k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.80%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,000
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- 6.38%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 499 East Ave Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (0%) | 0mo | $94,000 | $90 | 100 |
| 62 Cannon Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,187 (+14%) | 9mo | $145,000 | $122 | 50 |
| 170 Armory Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+11%) | 13mo | $50,000 | $43 | 40 |
| 339 Bowen Street St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (+4%) | 24mo | $60,000 | $56 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $19,841
- Equity at exit
- $37,798
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $59,026
- Equity at exit
- $53,194
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35546
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,056 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $472/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $229
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Berry, AL is located just seconds from town and offers the perfect blend of convenience and value. Sitting on a half-acre lot that’s partially fenced, this property features updates throughout and plenty of outdoor space to enjoy. Whether you’re looking for a great starter home or a smart investment opportunity, this one checks all the boxes—especially with new coal mines coming in just minutes away, adding strong potential for future growth and rental demand.
-
2026-04-14price $100,000 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Berry, AL is located just seconds from town and offers the perfect blend of convenience and value. Sitting on a half-acre lot that’s partially fenced, this property features updates throughout and plenty of outdoor space to enjoy. Whether you’re looking for a great starter home or a smart investment opportunity, this one checks all the boxes—especially with new coal mines coming in just minutes away, adding strong potential for future growth and rental demand.
-
2026-04-04status Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Berry, AL is located just seconds from town and offers the perfect blend of convenience and value. Sitting on a half-acre lot that’s partially fenced, this property features updates throughout and plenty of outdoor space to enjoy. Whether you’re looking for a great starter home or a smart investment opportunity, this one checks all the boxes—especially with new coal mines coming in just minutes away, adding strong potential for future growth and rental demand.
-
2026-03-13status Pending 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Berry, AL is located just seconds from town and offers the perfect blend of convenience and value. Sitting on a half-acre lot that’s partially fenced, this property features updates throughout and plenty of outdoor space to enjoy. Whether you’re looking for a great starter home or a smart investment opportunity, this one checks all the boxes—especially with new coal mines coming in just minutes away, adding strong potential for future growth and rental demand.
-
2026-03-07price $110,000 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Berry, AL is located just seconds from town and offers the perfect blend of convenience and value. Sitting on a half-acre lot that’s partially fenced, this property features updates throughout and plenty of outdoor space to enjoy. Whether you’re looking for a great starter home or a smart investment opportunity, this one checks all the boxes—especially with new coal mines coming in just minutes away, adding strong potential for future growth and rental demand.
-
2026-02-05$115,000 Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
Charming and move-in ready, this updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home in Berry, AL is located just seconds from town and offers the perfect blend of convenience and value. Sitting on a half-acre lot that’s partially fenced, this property features updates throughout and plenty of outdoor space to enjoy. Whether you’re looking for a great starter home or a smart investment opportunity, this one checks all the boxes—especially with new coal mines coming in just minutes away, adding strong potential for future growth and rental demand.
-
2024-10-25price $99,900
-
2024-09-20$112,000 Active
-
2023-04-29price $90,000
-
2023-04-12status Active
-
2023-04-05historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-03-28$95,000 Active
-
2022-04-22soldstatus $69,500
-
2022-04-21soldstatus $69,500
-
2022-03-07$69,900
-
2021-03-22$59,900
-
2015-11-24soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $472 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $472 · $39/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,671
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$472
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,014
- − Management
- −$1,014
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,160
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$278
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,466/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County
- NCES district ID
- 0101470
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,767
- Composite
- 25.06/100
- National rank
- #7540
- State rank
- #71 of 129 in AL
Livability — Berry
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #115
- US rank
- #12491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berry, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,157
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,631 people
- By 2030
- 14,975 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 13,604 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 12,302 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 9,599 · -38.6%
- By 2100
- 7,282 · -53.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.0) · D 13.7% · R 85.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.1pp toward R · 2008: -48.9pp · 2024: -72.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.0 2020: R+67.4 2016: R+65.2 2012: R+53.5 2008: R+48.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.69%
- Current HPI
- 184.6748
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+185.7% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — WAMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $100,000 WAMLS
- 2026-04-04 Relisted — WAMLS
- 2026-03-13 Pending — WAMLS
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $110,000 WAMLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $115,000 WAMLS
- 2024-10-25 Price Changed $99,900 WAMLS
- 2024-09-20 Listed $112,000 WAMLS
- 2023-04-29 Price Changed $90,000 Walker County Area MLS
- 2023-04-12 Relisted — Walker County Area MLS
- 2023-04-05 Contingent — Walker County Area MLS
- 2023-03-28 Listed $95,000 Walker County Area MLS
- 2022-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records
- 2022-04-21 Sold (MLS) $69,500 WAMLS
- 2022-03-07 Listed $69,900 WAMLS
- 2021-03-22 Listed $59,900 WAMLS
- 2015-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.4%/yrLatest (2025): $472 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…