Duplex
2429 W Burnham St Unit 2429A · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$127,110
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
This is a tax foreclosed property. Owner Occupants will be prioritized.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Built 1910
- Listed 52 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $127k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $549/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $127k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 55 active listings in the ZIP; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,502/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 2357% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($878 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.03%
- DSCR
- 2.65
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $213,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1800 S 29th St #1802 | 0.28mi | 6/2.0 | 2,112 (-6%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $95 | 76 |
| 3109 W Lapham St #3113 | 0.50mi | 6/2.0 | 2,300 (+2%) | 0mo | $248,000 | $108 | 72 |
| 2149 S 24th St #2151 | 0.32mi | 6/2.0 | 2,360 (+5%) | 7mo | $215,000 | $91 | 71 |
| 2053 S 25th St | 0.20mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,095 (-7%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $143 | 70 |
| 2343 W Becher St #2345 | 0.27mi | 6/2.0 | 2,424 (+8%) | 6mo | $154,000 | $64 | 70 |
| 1633 S 30th St | 0.42mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,303 (+2%) | 6mo | $126,467 | $55 | 67 |
| 1939 S Winona Ln #1941 | 0.49mi | 7/2.5 (+1) | 2,286 (+2%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $96 | 66 |
| 2400 W Scott St | 0.63mi | 6/2.0 | 2,128 (-5%) | 6mo | $192,000 | $90 | 57 |
| 1835 W Becher St Unit 1835A | 0.49mi | 6/2.0 | 2,024 (-10%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $89 | 56 |
| 2034 S 15th St Unit 2034A | 0.73mi | 6/2.0 | 2,146 (-4%) | 6mo | $217,900 | $102 | 53 |
| 1321 S 22nd St #1323 | 0.55mi | 7/3.0 (+1) | 2,112 (-6%) | 4mo | $279,000 | $132 | 52 |
| 1600 S Muskego Ave | 0.50mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,910 (-15%) | 3mo | $140,140 | $73 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 2.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.84×
- Total profit
- $136,714
- Equity at exit
- $114,511
- IRR
- 45.3%
- Equity multiple
- 10.63×
- Total profit
- $342,820
- Equity at exit
- $246,947
Cash invested: $35,591 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53204
- Home prices YoY
- 19.0%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,502 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$667
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$159 /mo · $1,907/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $1,098
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,502 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,251 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,251 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,502 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,778
- Closing costs
- $3,813
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2025-11-22status Pending
-
2025-09-30historical 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
This is a tax foreclosed property. Owner Occupants will be prioritized.
-
2025-09-30$127,110 Active
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
This is a tax foreclosed property. Owner Occupants will be prioritized.
-
2025-08-29$127,110 Active 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
This is a tax foreclosed property. Owner Occupants will be prioritized.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,024
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,120
- − Property taxes
- −$1,907
- − Insurance
- −$636
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,402
- − Management
- −$2,402
- − Depreciation
- −$3,698
- Taxable income
- $11,860
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,846
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,331/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,996
- Household income
- $45,934
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2357.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 68% Two or more races 35% White 15% Black 11% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 51% Puerto Rican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 35% English-only · Spanish 61% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 64.27%
- Current HPI
- 403.236
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.00%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-22 Pending — METROMLS
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — METROMLS
- 2025-09-30 Listed $127,110 METROMLS
- 2025-08-29 Listed $127,110 METROMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…