138 Bazile Dr · Belle Chasse, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wide-open space, elevated peace of mind, and move-in ready comfort – this raised 3-bed/2-bath home sits high on concrete pilings with an enormous fully fenced backyard, storage shed, and tons of covered parking and hang-out space below. The bright interior features durable wood-look floors throughout, a modern kitchen with navy shaker cabinets and farmhouse sink, separate dining that flows into a spacious living room, a true laundry/pantry room, and fresh bedrooms with great natural light. Outside, enjoy grilling or morning coffee on the elevated deck while you take in the huge yard, plus easy access to stash boats, toys, or tools under the house and in the shed. Whether you love entertaining, tinkering with projects, or just having room to breathe, this property gives you the space and flexibility to do it all.
Key facts
- Covered parking
- Storage shed
- Laundry pantry room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($65/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.0% in Belle Chasse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#66 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 88 units permitted in Plaquemines Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Plaquemines County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $170k implies a 750% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.90%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $290,945
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- -41.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
0.78% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $2,004
- Equity at exit
- $56,072
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $33,074
- Equity at exit
- $73,045
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70040
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,033 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$212 /mo · $2,548/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$427
- Net cashflow
- $5
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $123 | -5% $64 | +0% $5 | +5% $-53 | +10% $-112 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-155 | -5% $-75 | +0% $5 | +5% $86 | +10% $166 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $91 | -0.5pp $49 | base $5 | +0.5pp $-39 | +1.0pp $-83 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $169,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-02-11$169,900 Active 829-char remark
Show marketing remark (823 chars)
Wide-open space, elevated peace of mind, and move-in ready comfort - this raised 3-bed/2-bath home sits high on concrete pilings with an enormous fully fenced backyard, storage shed, and tons of covered parking and hang-out space below. The bright interior features durable wood-look floors throughout, a modern kitchen with navy shaker cabinets and farmhouse sink, separate dining that flows into a spacious living room, a true laundry/pantry room, and fresh bedrooms with great natural light. Outside, enjoy grilling or morning coffee on the elevated deck while you take in the huge yard, plus easy access to stash boats, toys, or tools under the house and in the shed. Whether you love entertaining, tinkering with projects, or just having room to breathe, this property gives you the space and flexibility to do it all.
-
2026-02-11$169,900 Active 823-char remark
Show marketing remark (823 chars)
Wide-open space, elevated peace of mind, and move-in ready comfort - this raised 3-bed/2-bath home sits high on concrete pilings with an enormous fully fenced backyard, storage shed, and tons of covered parking and hang-out space below. The bright interior features durable wood-look floors throughout, a modern kitchen with navy shaker cabinets and farmhouse sink, separate dining that flows into a spacious living room, a true laundry/pantry room, and fresh bedrooms with great natural light. Outside, enjoy grilling or morning coffee on the elevated deck while you take in the huge yard, plus easy access to stash boats, toys, or tools under the house and in the shed. Whether you love entertaining, tinkering with projects, or just having room to breathe, this property gives you the space and flexibility to do it all.
-
2014-08-01soldstatus $20,000
-
2006-09-21soldstatus $3,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,397
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$2,548
- − Insurance
- −$5,968
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,952
- − Management
- −$1,952
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$2,483
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$596
- After-tax cash flow
- $661/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Belle Chasse
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #8280
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 16,639
- Population (ZIP)
- 978
Population outlook (Plaquemines County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,526 people
- By 2030
- 24,843 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 25,441 · +3.7%
- By 2050
- 26,074 · +6.3%
- By 2075
- 28,300 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 30,195 · +23.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 17% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Plaquemines
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.0) · D 30.4% · R 68.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.6pp · 2024: -38.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.0 2020: R+36.3 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+28.1 2008: R+33.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.78%
- Current HPI
- 89.222
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+5563.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-11 Listed $169,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-11 Listed $169,900 GSREIN
- 2014-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2006-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $3,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+61.4%/yrLatest (2025): $194 · -3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…