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5303 Fannin Crane
D Composite 40.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$272,950

5303 Fannin Crane · San Antonio, TX 78245
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,892 sqft · SingleFamily · 58 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 5,227 sqft lot $144/sqft · 14% below area Est $316k · 14% under $72/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Franklin plan is one of our two-story homes featured in Stonehill in San Antonio, TX. This new home layout offers 2 classic front exteriors, 5 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, 2 car-garage and 1891 square feet of comfortable living. Step inside The Franklin to find an elongated foyer opening to an open concept living room, kitchen, and dining area. The gourmet kitchen faces the living area so you don't miss a thing while cooking and includes quartz counter tops, stainless steel appliances and shaker style cabinetry. The main bedroom is located toward the front of the home on the second story and features an attractive attached bathroom with a walk-in shower, quartz countertops, a grand walk-in closet and plenty of storage space. The second story includes all secondary bedrooms, and two full bathrooms. You'll have carpeted floors in every bedroom and sheet vinyl flooring in your bathrooms and utility room. Additional features include sheet vinyl flooring in entry, living room, and all wet areas, quartz counter tops in all bathrooms and HOME IS CONNECTED base package. Using one central hub that talks to all the devices in your home, you can control the lights, thermostat and locks, all from your cellular device. Contact us today and find your home in Stonehill by clicking the text with us button or the request information button.

Key facts

  • Gourmet kitchen
  • Walk-in shower
  • Grand walk-in closet

Tags

GOURMET KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTER TOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESSHAKER STYLE CABINETRYWALK-IN SHOWERGRAND WALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $273k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-266 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (14.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (21.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $214k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Medina Valley ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #148 of 826 in TX (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 1133 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($265k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $214,209 (21.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.12%
Cash-on-cash
-4.18%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$316,450
List price
$272,950
Delta
-13.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5707 Bailey Downs 0.46mi 5/2.5 1,892 (0%) 3mo $270,950 $143 76
5721 Bailey Downs 0.48mi 5/2.5 1,892 (0%) 2mo $270,950 $143 76
5733 Bailey Downs 0.50mi 5/2.5 1,892 (0%) 2mo $273,950 $145 75
14731 Armstrong Fld 0.53mi 5/2.5 1,892 (0%) 1mo $272,295 $144 75
14719 Armstrong Fld 0.54mi 5/2.5 1,892 (0%) 2mo $270,950 $143 74
5312 Hartley Home 0.23mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,042 (+8%) 1mo $315,950 $155 71
14716 Crosby Rusk 0.46mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,901 (+0%) 2mo $339,500 $179 69
14739 Childress Fls 0.62mi 5/2.5 1,892 (0%) 4mo $269,295 $142 68
14747 Childress Fls 0.62mi 5/2.5 1,892 (0%) 4mo $272,295 $144 68
5910 Hartley Home 0.63mi 4/2.5 (-1) 1,952 (+3%) 2mo $305,595 $157 59
14703 Donley Run 0.36mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,703 (-10%) 3mo $316,950 $186 57
14708 Crosby Rusk 0.48mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,703 (-10%) 2mo $317,950 $187 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.9%
Equity multiple
0.12×
Total profit
$-67,375
Equity at exit
$40,698
10-year hold
IRR
-40.4%
Equity multiple
-0.37×
Total profit
$-104,437
Equity at exit
$23,600

Cash invested: $76,426 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78245

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Rents YoY
-3.0%
Active inventory
1133
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,142 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,431
Tax est. 1.5%
$341 /mo · $4,094/yr
Insurance
$114
HOA
$72
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$450
Net cashflow
$-266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,479
Max offer price $234,453
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,238
Closing costs
$8,188
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5721 Bailey Downs San Antonio, TX 5.0 2.5 1895 $1,900 $1.00 24d 1 0.47mi
5923 Hartley Home San Antonio, TX 5.0 3.5 2492 $2,400 $0.96 22d 1 0.66mi
3651 Millbrook Way San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 24d 1 1.20mi
14103 Chemtou Trl San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1606 $2,000 $1.25 24d 1 1.28mi
14739 Sycamore Xing San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1734 $2,300 $1.33 4d 1 1.36mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$72 · $864/yr
Likely covers
security

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $272,950 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $272,950 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $272,950 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $272,950 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $272,950 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $272,950 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $272,950 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $272,950 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $272,950 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $272,950 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $272,950 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $272,950 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $272,950 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-05-09
    listed $272,950 Active 1341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1341 chars)

    The Franklin plan is one of our two-story homes featured in Stonehill in San Antonio, TX. This new home layout offers 2 classic front exteriors, 5 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, 2 car-garage and 1891 square feet of comfortable living. Step inside The Franklin to find an elongated foyer opening to an open concept living room, kitchen, and dining area. The gourmet kitchen faces the living area so you don't miss a thing while cooking and includes quartz counter tops, stainless steel appliances and shaker style cabinetry. The main bedroom is located toward the front of the home on the second story and features an attractive attached bathroom with a walk-in shower, quartz countertops, a grand walk-in closet and plenty of storage space. The second story includes all secondary bedrooms, and two full bathrooms. You'll have carpeted floors in every bedroom and sheet vinyl flooring in your bathrooms and utility room. Additional features include sheet vinyl flooring in entry, living room, and all wet areas, quartz counter tops in all bathrooms and HOME IS CONNECTED base package. Using one central hub that talks to all the devices in your home, you can control the lights, thermostat and locks, all from your cellular device. Contact us today and find your home in Stonehill by clicking the text with us button or the request information button.

  15. 2026-05-07
    price $272,950 1245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1245 chars)

    The Franklin plan is one of our two-story homes featured in Stonehill in San Antonio, TX. This new home layout offers 2 classic front exteriors, 5 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, 2 car-garage and 1891 square feet of comfortable living. Step inside The Franklin to find an elongated foyer opening to an open concept living room, kitchen, and dining area. The gourmet kitchen faces the living area so you don't miss a thing while cooking and includes quartz counter tops, stainless steel appliances and shaker style cabinetry. The main bedroom is located toward the front of the home on the second story and features an attractive attached bathroom with a walk-in shower, quartz countertops, a grand walk-in closet and plenty of storage space. The second story includes all secondary bedrooms, and two full bathrooms. You'll have carpeted floors in every bedroom and sheet vinyl flooring in your bathrooms and utility room. Additional features include sheet vinyl flooring in entry, living room, and all wet areas, quartz counter tops in all bathrooms and HOME IS CONNECTED base package. Using one central hub that talks to all the devices in your home, you can control the lights, thermostat and locks, all from your cellular device.

  16. 2026-04-21
    listed $273,795 New 1245-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1245 chars)

    The Franklin plan is one of our two-story homes featured in Stonehill in San Antonio, TX. This new home layout offers 2 classic front exteriors, 5 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, 2 car-garage and 1891 square feet of comfortable living. Step inside The Franklin to find an elongated foyer opening to an open concept living room, kitchen, and dining area. The gourmet kitchen faces the living area so you don't miss a thing while cooking and includes quartz counter tops, stainless steel appliances and shaker style cabinetry. The main bedroom is located toward the front of the home on the second story and features an attractive attached bathroom with a walk-in shower, quartz countertops, a grand walk-in closet and plenty of storage space. The second story includes all secondary bedrooms, and two full bathrooms. You'll have carpeted floors in every bedroom and sheet vinyl flooring in your bathrooms and utility room. Additional features include sheet vinyl flooring in entry, living room, and all wet areas, quartz counter tops in all bathrooms and HOME IS CONNECTED base package. Using one central hub that talks to all the devices in your home, you can control the lights, thermostat and locks, all from your cellular device.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,705
− Mortgage interest
−$15,289
− Property taxes
−$4,094
− Insurance
−$1,365
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,056
− Management
−$2,056
− HOA
−$864
− Depreciation
−$7,940
Taxable loss
−$7,961
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,911
After-tax cash flow
$-1,282/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in excellent condition with a fresh, modern aesthetic. It is move-in ready and would benefit from minor updates to further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental appeal.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen backsplash — A backsplash can add visual interest and value to the kitchen.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental appeal.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen backsplash — A backsplash can add visual interest and value to the kitchen.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Medina Valley ISD
NCES district ID
4830060
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$60,596
Composite
44.2/100
National rank
#2851
State rank
#148 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
96,015
Household income
$90,029
Rent vs Own
31.3% rent · 68.7% own
Severe rent burden
2466.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 27% White 20% Black 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 53% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 30% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.31%
Current HPI
234.7931
Rent YoY
▼ -3.02%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $272,950 Zillow
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $272,950 LERA
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $273,795 LERA

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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