5303 Fannin Crane · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$272,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Franklin plan is one of our two-story homes featured in Stonehill in San Antonio, TX. This new home layout offers 2 classic front exteriors, 5 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, 2 car-garage and 1891 square feet of comfortable living. Step inside The Franklin to find an elongated foyer opening to an open concept living room, kitchen, and dining area. The gourmet kitchen faces the living area so you don't miss a thing while cooking and includes quartz counter tops, stainless steel appliances and shaker style cabinetry. The main bedroom is located toward the front of the home on the second story and features an attractive attached bathroom with a walk-in shower, quartz countertops, a grand walk-in closet and plenty of storage space. The second story includes all secondary bedrooms, and two full bathrooms. You'll have carpeted floors in every bedroom and sheet vinyl flooring in your bathrooms and utility room. Additional features include sheet vinyl flooring in entry, living room, and all wet areas, quartz counter tops in all bathrooms and HOME IS CONNECTED base package. Using one central hub that talks to all the devices in your home, you can control the lights, thermostat and locks, all from your cellular device. Contact us today and find your home in Stonehill by clicking the text with us button or the request information button.
Key facts
- Gourmet kitchen
- Walk-in shower
- Grand walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $273k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-266 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (14.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (21.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $214k (21.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Medina Valley ISD (rural): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #148 of 826 in TX (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 1133 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($265k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.18%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $316,450
- List price
- $272,950
- Delta
- -13.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5707 Bailey Downs | 0.46mi | 5/2.5 | 1,892 (0%) | 3mo | $270,950 | $143 | 76 |
| 5721 Bailey Downs | 0.48mi | 5/2.5 | 1,892 (0%) | 2mo | $270,950 | $143 | 76 |
| 5733 Bailey Downs | 0.50mi | 5/2.5 | 1,892 (0%) | 2mo | $273,950 | $145 | 75 |
| 14731 Armstrong Fld | 0.53mi | 5/2.5 | 1,892 (0%) | 1mo | $272,295 | $144 | 75 |
| 14719 Armstrong Fld | 0.54mi | 5/2.5 | 1,892 (0%) | 2mo | $270,950 | $143 | 74 |
| 5312 Hartley Home | 0.23mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,042 (+8%) | 1mo | $315,950 | $155 | 71 |
| 14716 Crosby Rusk | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,901 (+0%) | 2mo | $339,500 | $179 | 69 |
| 14739 Childress Fls | 0.62mi | 5/2.5 | 1,892 (0%) | 4mo | $269,295 | $142 | 68 |
| 14747 Childress Fls | 0.62mi | 5/2.5 | 1,892 (0%) | 4mo | $272,295 | $144 | 68 |
| 5910 Hartley Home | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,952 (+3%) | 2mo | $305,595 | $157 | 59 |
| 14703 Donley Run | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,703 (-10%) | 3mo | $316,950 | $186 | 57 |
| 14708 Crosby Rusk | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,703 (-10%) | 2mo | $317,950 | $187 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-67,375
- Equity at exit
- $40,698
- IRR
- -40.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.37×
- Total profit
- $-104,437
- Equity at exit
- $23,600
Cash invested: $76,426 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78245
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Rents YoY
- -3.0%
- Active inventory
- 1133
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,142 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,431
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$341 /mo · $4,094/yr
- Insurance
- −$114
- HOA
- −$72
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$450
- Net cashflow
- $-266
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,238
- Closing costs
- $8,188
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5721 Bailey Downs San Antonio, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1895 | $1,900 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5923 Hartley Home San Antonio, TX | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2492 | $2,400 | $0.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3651 Millbrook Way San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 14103 Chemtou Trl San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1606 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 14739 Sycamore Xing San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1734 | $2,300 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 1.36mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $72 · $864/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $272,950 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $272,950 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $272,950 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $272,950 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $272,950 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $272,950 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $272,950 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $272,950 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $272,950 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $272,950 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $272,950 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $272,950 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $272,950 Active 40 DOM
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2026-05-09$272,950 Active 1341-char remark
Show marketing remark (1341 chars)
The Franklin plan is one of our two-story homes featured in Stonehill in San Antonio, TX. This new home layout offers 2 classic front exteriors, 5 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, 2 car-garage and 1891 square feet of comfortable living. Step inside The Franklin to find an elongated foyer opening to an open concept living room, kitchen, and dining area. The gourmet kitchen faces the living area so you don't miss a thing while cooking and includes quartz counter tops, stainless steel appliances and shaker style cabinetry. The main bedroom is located toward the front of the home on the second story and features an attractive attached bathroom with a walk-in shower, quartz countertops, a grand walk-in closet and plenty of storage space. The second story includes all secondary bedrooms, and two full bathrooms. You'll have carpeted floors in every bedroom and sheet vinyl flooring in your bathrooms and utility room. Additional features include sheet vinyl flooring in entry, living room, and all wet areas, quartz counter tops in all bathrooms and HOME IS CONNECTED base package. Using one central hub that talks to all the devices in your home, you can control the lights, thermostat and locks, all from your cellular device. Contact us today and find your home in Stonehill by clicking the text with us button or the request information button.
-
2026-05-07price $272,950 1245-char remark
Show marketing remark (1245 chars)
The Franklin plan is one of our two-story homes featured in Stonehill in San Antonio, TX. This new home layout offers 2 classic front exteriors, 5 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, 2 car-garage and 1891 square feet of comfortable living. Step inside The Franklin to find an elongated foyer opening to an open concept living room, kitchen, and dining area. The gourmet kitchen faces the living area so you don't miss a thing while cooking and includes quartz counter tops, stainless steel appliances and shaker style cabinetry. The main bedroom is located toward the front of the home on the second story and features an attractive attached bathroom with a walk-in shower, quartz countertops, a grand walk-in closet and plenty of storage space. The second story includes all secondary bedrooms, and two full bathrooms. You'll have carpeted floors in every bedroom and sheet vinyl flooring in your bathrooms and utility room. Additional features include sheet vinyl flooring in entry, living room, and all wet areas, quartz counter tops in all bathrooms and HOME IS CONNECTED base package. Using one central hub that talks to all the devices in your home, you can control the lights, thermostat and locks, all from your cellular device.
-
2026-04-21$273,795 New 1245-char remark
Show marketing remark (1245 chars)
The Franklin plan is one of our two-story homes featured in Stonehill in San Antonio, TX. This new home layout offers 2 classic front exteriors, 5 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, 2 car-garage and 1891 square feet of comfortable living. Step inside The Franklin to find an elongated foyer opening to an open concept living room, kitchen, and dining area. The gourmet kitchen faces the living area so you don't miss a thing while cooking and includes quartz counter tops, stainless steel appliances and shaker style cabinetry. The main bedroom is located toward the front of the home on the second story and features an attractive attached bathroom with a walk-in shower, quartz countertops, a grand walk-in closet and plenty of storage space. The second story includes all secondary bedrooms, and two full bathrooms. You'll have carpeted floors in every bedroom and sheet vinyl flooring in your bathrooms and utility room. Additional features include sheet vinyl flooring in entry, living room, and all wet areas, quartz counter tops in all bathrooms and HOME IS CONNECTED base package. Using one central hub that talks to all the devices in your home, you can control the lights, thermostat and locks, all from your cellular device.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,705
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,289
- − Property taxes
- −$4,094
- − Insurance
- −$1,365
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,056
- − Management
- −$2,056
- − HOA
- −$864
- − Depreciation
- −$7,940
- Taxable loss
- −$7,961
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,911
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in excellent condition with a fresh, modern aesthetic. It is move-in ready and would benefit from minor updates to further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental appeal.
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen backsplash — A backsplash can add visual interest and value to the kitchen.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental appeal. ↑
- Resale Upgrading the kitchen backsplash — A backsplash can add visual interest and value to the kitchen. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Medina Valley ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830060
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,596
- Composite
- 44.2/100
- National rank
- #2851
- State rank
- #148 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 96,015
- Household income
- $90,029
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2466.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 27% White 20% Black 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 53% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 30% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.31%
- Current HPI
- 234.7931
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.02%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-0.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Listed $272,950 Zillow
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $272,950 LERA
- 2026-04-21 Listed $273,795 LERA
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…