921 N 27 1/2 St · McAllen, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 3 bedroom 1 bathroom property is located in a prime location, close to Schools, Restaurants, HEB and South Texas College. Excellent opportunity to own a great home in a well established neighborhood. Home is in solid condition featuring a functional layout, spacious bedrooms and living area, granite countertop in both kitchen and restroom. New AC unit installed in 2025. The large sized fenced backyard is great for outdoor gatherings with family or friends. There is also a 12x8 concrete slab for an AUD, perfect to build or install a shed. Property Selling "as is".
Key facts
- Granite countertop
- Fenced backyard
- 6,760 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6 ($68/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (9.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $149k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.7% in McAllen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#119 in TX, #3,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Mcallen ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #440 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 172 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 172 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.14%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $184,606
- List price
- $169,000
- Delta
- -8.45%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 N 35th St | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,733 (+2%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $124 | 59 |
| 5109 Pecan Ave | 0.47mi | 3/3.0 | 1,927 (+14%) | 0mo | $461,000 | $239 | 51 |
| 317 N 35th Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,744 (+3%) | 14mo | $235,000 | $135 | 51 |
| 2524 Fir Ave | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,872 (+10%) | 19mo | $159,900 | $85 | 49 |
| 1120 N 27 1/2 St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,464 (-14%) | 23mo | $185,000 | $126 | 49 |
| 1600 N 29th St | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 | 1,443 (-15%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $159 | 49 |
| 1107 N 19th St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,872 (+10%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $59 | 47 |
| 2901 Gumwood Ave | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,483 (-12%) | 18mo | $240,000 | $162 | 46 |
| 3620 Gumwood Ave #18 | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,522 (-10%) | 20mo | $189,900 | $125 | 30 |
| 2712 Upas Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,914 (+13%) | 21mo | $195,000 | $102 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-28,831
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-31,871
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78501
- Home prices YoY
- -23.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 385
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,524 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$241 /mo · $2,897/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $6
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2604 Quince Ln McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,450 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2616 Quince Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,450 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2120 Date Palm Ave Unit B McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 18d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3501 N 23rd Ln McAllen, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1179 | $1,100 | $0.93 | 43d | 2 | 0.63mi |
| 3600 Cedar Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1854 | $1,700 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2421 Vine Ave Unit C McAllen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $800 | $0.76 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 419 N 17th St Unit 2 McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 609 N 15th St McAllen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1900 | $1,700 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2419 N 28th Ln McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2419 N 28th Ln McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2419 N 28th Ln McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1601 Redwood Ave McAllen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1292 | $1,100 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3501 Westway Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2716 N 27th Ln McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1458 | $1,750 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1203 Jasmine Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1588 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2114 Galveston Ave W Unit 3 McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2108 Galveston Ave W Unit 5 McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1064 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2108 Galveston Ave W Unit 4 McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1064 | $1,500 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1900 La Vista Ave McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $2,400 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1516 Walnut Ave McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2188 | $1,495 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1024 Laurel Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $1,600 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1808 N Broadway St McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2900 N 24th St McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2009 | $1,900 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1016 Laurel Ave McAllen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,425 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3800 Westway Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,950 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3800 Westway Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,775 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1013 N 47th St McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $1,650 | $0.99 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3101 N 25 1/2 St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $1,600 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2912 N 36th St McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,200 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4608 W Ivy Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1655 | $1,900 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 813 S Bicentennial Blvd McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $2,000 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4704 Date Palm Ave McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2120 | $2,200 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4305 Walnut Ave Unit 1 McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1515 W Houston Ave McAllen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,800 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1515 S 16th St McAllen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $975 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2816 Gardenia Cir McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $3,600 | $2.64 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1313 N 48th St Unit 4 McAllen, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1172 | $1,295 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $169,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,000 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $169,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-03-24price $169,000 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
This charming 3 bedroom 1 bathroom property is located in a prime location, close to Schools, Restaurants, HEB and South Texas College. Excellent opportunity to own a great home in a well established neighborhood. Home is in solid condition featuring a functional layout, spacious bedrooms and living area, granite countertop in both kitchen and restroom. New AC unit installed in 2025. The large sized fenced backyard is great for outdoor gatherings with family or friends. There is also a 12x8 concrete slab for an AUD, perfect to build or install a shed. Property Selling "as is".
-
2026-01-08price $174,500 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
This charming 3 bedroom 1 bathroom property is located in a prime location, close to Schools, Restaurants, HEB and South Texas College. Excellent opportunity to own a great home in a well established neighborhood. Home is in solid condition featuring a functional layout, spacious bedrooms and living area, granite countertop in both kitchen and restroom. New AC unit installed in 2025. The large sized fenced backyard is great for outdoor gatherings with family or friends. There is also a 12x8 concrete slab for an AUD, perfect to build or install a shed. Property Selling "as is".
-
2025-12-28$179,000 Active 594-char remark
Show marketing remark (594 chars)
This charming 3 bedroom 1 bathroom property is located in a prime location, close to Schools, Restaurants, HEB and South Texas College. Excellent opportunity to own a great home in a well established neighborhood. Home is in solid condition featuring a functional layout, spacious bedrooms and living area, granite countertop in both kitchen and restroom. New AC unit installed in 2025. The large sized fenced backyard is great for outdoor gatherings with family or friends. There is also a 12x8 concrete slab for an AUD, perfect to build or install a shed. Property Selling "as is".
-
2025-11-18soldstatus
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2025-09-05soldstatus
-
2025-06-06soldstatus
-
2025-06-06soldstatus
-
2020-03-23soldstatus
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1992-11-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,897 · $241/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,093 · $258/mo
- Expected delta
- +$196/yr (+$16/mo · 6.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,285
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$2,897
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,463
- − Management
- −$1,463
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable loss
- −$2,766
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$664
- After-tax cash flow
- $732/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcallen ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4829670
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,805
- Composite
- 33.16/100
- National rank
- #5551
- State rank
- #440 of 826 in TX
Livability — McAllen
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #119
- US rank
- #3771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McAllen, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
- City population
- 144,650
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,935
- Household income
- $48,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3043.0
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 89% Two or more races 32% White 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 85%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 22% English-only · Spanish 76%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.99%
- Current HPI
- 230.0213
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.78%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-5.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $169,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $174,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-12-28 Listed $179,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-11-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-09-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-06-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-06-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-03-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1992-11-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,897 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…