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1422 Chatham Dr
C- Composite 54.35
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

1422 Chatham Dr · Saginaw, MI 48601
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1971 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tucked away on a quiet, low-traffic cul-de-sac, 1422 Chatham offers a fantastic opportunity with incredible flexibility for its next owner! Currently occupied by a tenant with no long-term lease in place, this home is ideal for an investor looking to set new market-rent terms, or an owner-occupant wanting to move in after closing (subject to local tenant notice laws). The property boasts a functional, spacious layout with great natural light, well-proportioned rooms, and an inviting atmosphere. Its premier cul-de-sac positioning provides an extra layer of privacy and peace of mind, all while being situated in a desirable neighborhood close to local shopping, dining, schools, and major commuter routes. Whether you are looking for immediate rental flexibility or planning your next personal move, this cul-de-sac gem provides the perfect blank canvas.

Key facts

  • Dining
  • Schools
  • Local shopping

Tags

CUL-DE-SAC POSITIONINGDESIRABLE NEIGHBORHOODLOCAL SHOPPINGDININGSCHOOLSMAJOR COMMUTER ROUTES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Residential zoning
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: City lot on a cul-de-sac; Paved, public-maintained road

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Unfinished block basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $140 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($800 rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $74,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.53%
Cash-on-cash
8.00%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$31,104
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3805 S Washington Rd 0.29mi 2/1.0 836 (-3%) 23mo $57,000 $68 62
1417 Bloomfield Blvd 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 913 (+6%) 15mo $22,000 $24 60
3925 S Washington Rd 0.24mi 2/1.0 929 (+8%) 21mo $27,500 $30 59
3212 Lowell Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 864 (0%) 10mo $13,000 $15 58
3730 York Dr 0.18mi 3/1.0 (+1) 980 (+13%) 20mo $35,000 $36 47
3353 Drexel Dr 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 975 (+13%) 11mo $11,250 $12 35
1906 Banner Rd 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (+11%) 21mo $129,900 $135 32
2626 Hampshire St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 975 (+13%) 8mo $35,000 $36 32
3520 East Rd 0.69mi 2/2.0 974 (+13%) 18mo $100,000 $103 28
11 Woodward 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 988 (+14%) 24mo $125,000 $127 16

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-3,236
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$8,633
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48601

Home prices YoY
-32.1%
Active inventory
199
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $818/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$168
Net cashflow
$140

Break-even live

Break-even rent $623
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
113 Parkside Ct Saginaw, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 808 $800 $0.99 43d 1 0.75mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $74,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $74,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$818 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$986 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$168/yr (+$14/mo · 20.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,600
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$818
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$768
− Management
−$768
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$497
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$119
After-tax cash flow
$1,558/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
City population
54,884
Population (ZIP)
32,069

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.46%
Current HPI
197.3359
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-06-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2005-06-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-10-18 Listed $57,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-10-18 Listed $57,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $818 · -13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…