19 Armadillo Trl · Lake Placid, FL 33852

$19,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured · 341 Days on market

Built 1972 ↓ 13% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Affordable home in lifestyle park with many amenities. Located on Lake Huntley known for good fishing and water sports. Park amenities includes water and sewer, trash pickup twice weekly in front of the home, yard irrigation and lawn care. Enjoy 2 screen rooms, shed/workshop with laundry and an extended room that opens up the living room. The park is pet friendly!

Key facts

• Good fishing
• Yard irrigation
• Lawn care

Tags

• LAKE HUNTLEY
• GOOD FISHING
• WATER SPORTS
• YARD IRRIGATION
• LAWN CARE

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located in Lakeside Village park (Park name: Lakeside Village)
• Financial info: Land is leased (land lease amount listed separately)
• HOA & community: Clubhouse; Pool; Powered boats allowed; Senior community

Exterior

• Parking: Carport (2 spaces)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
• Home design: Manufactured in park (mobile home); Single-wide; One level
• Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof
• Exterior features: Screened porch; Side porch; Waterfront access; Community pool

Interior

• Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
• Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
• Flooring: Laminate; Simulated wood
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; High-speed internet; Blinds; Drapes; Furnished
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $20k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $928 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
• Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 62.3% vs local median 3.7% in Lake Placid — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#525 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Highlands (other): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 1488 active listings in the ZIP; 980 units permitted in Highlands County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $597 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 341 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $17,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 341 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 6.78% ✓
• Cap rate: 62.27%
• Cash-on-cash: 199.92%
• DSCR: 9.90
• GRM: 1.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $10,080
• Comps found: 7

Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
74 Pine Aire Cir	0.16mi	2/1.5	672 (0%)	1mo	$7,000	$10	90
68 Pine Aire Cir	0.14mi	2/1.0	672 (0%)	6mo	$5,000	$7	88
29 Pine Aire Cir	0.16mi	2/1.0	672 (0%)	6mo	$8,000	$12	87
25 Armadillo Trl	0.03mi	1/1.0 (-1)	703 (+5%)	2mo	$10,500	$15	85
54 Pine Aire Cir	0.13mi	2/1.0	672 (0%)	19mo	$39,900	$59	78
31 Pine Aire Cir	0.17mi	2/1.5	672 (0%)	16mo	$22,500	$33	77
21 Ranch Rd	0.07mi	2/2.0	624 (-7%)	17mo	$28,000	$45	67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 10.52×
• Total profit: $53,024
• Equity at exit: $2,967

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 20.92×
• Total profit: $111,011
• Equity at exit: $1,721

Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33852

• Rents YoY: 0.8%
• Active inventory: 1488
• Price-to-rent: 1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,349 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$104
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$25 /mo · $298/yr
• Insurance: −$8
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$283
• Net cashflow: $928

Break-even live

Break-even rent $174

Max offer price $19,900

Occupancy floor 26%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $4,975
• Closing costs: $597
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $19,900 Active 341 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $19,900 Active 340 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $19,900 Active 339 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $19,900 Active 338 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $19,900 Active 337 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $19,900 Active 335 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $19,900 Active 332 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $19,900 Active 331 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $19,900 Active 330 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $19,900 Active 329 DOM
11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $19,900 Active 324 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $19,900 Active 323 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $19,900 Active 322 DOM
14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $19,900 Active 321 DOM
15. 2026-01-11
    price $19,900
16. 2025-07-11
    listed $23,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,190
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,115
• − Property taxes: −$298
• − Insurance: −$100
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,295
• − Management: −$1,295
• − Depreciation: −$579
• Taxable income: $11,508
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,762
• After-tax cash flow: $8,378/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Highlands
• NCES district ID: 1200840
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $35,276
• Composite: 36.42/100
• National rank: #4672
• State rank: #54 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lake Placid

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #525
• US rank: #9813

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Highlands County · 98,898 people
• City population: 22,600
• Metro: Sebring-Avon Park, FL
• Population (ZIP): 22,600
• Household income: $54,284
• Rent vs Own: 18.6% rent · 81.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 439.0

Population outlook (Highlands County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 99,674 people
• By 2030: 99,615 · -0.1%
• By 2040: 99,342 · -0.3%
• By 2050: 98,242 · -1.4%
• By 2075: 93,291 · -6.4%
• By 2100: 79,894 · -19.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 68% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 14% · Canada, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 19% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Highlands

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+40.8) · D 29.3% · R 70.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -40.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+40.8 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+32.0 2012: R+23.0 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -203.31%
• Current HPI: 224.8693
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.82%
• Metro: Sebring-Avon Park, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

-13.5% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-11 Price Changed $19,900 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2025-07-11 Listed $23,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID