2100 N Trekell Rd #366 · Casa Grande, AZ 85122

$99,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Manufactured · 78 Days on market

Built 1989 Good condition Est $99k · at est. ↓ 40% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.6/15.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +3.7/5.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This beautifully and thoughtfully designed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in Casa Verde Estates 55+ offers one of the largest floor plans in the community on a spacious corner lot. With new blinds throughout, fresh exterior paint, a large screened-in Arizona room, a fireplace, a formal dining room, a wet bar, ample storage, and spacious bedrooms, this home will not disappoint! Come and see this beautiful home for yourself and enjoy the Arizona sunshine year round. Casa Verde Estates offers all the trending amenities, plus more. Your new home awaits you!

Key facts

• Formal dining room
• Wet bar
• Corner lot

Tags

• CORNER LOT
• SCREENED IN ARIZONA ROOM
• FORMAL DINING ROOM
• WET BAR
• AMPLE STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Spa is heated
• HOA & community: Land lease of $525 per month; Association covers grounds maintenance and street maintenance; Community pool; Community spa (heated); Pickleball courts; Community laundry; Biking/walking paths

Exterior

• Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
• Security: Gated community
• Utilities: Private water company; Public sewer (see remarks)
• Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold ownership
• Construction: Wood siding and wood frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof
• Exterior features: Screened-in patio(s); Outdoor storage; Front and back gravel/stone landscaping; Desert front and back landscaping; Sprinklers in front with auto timer; Dirt front; Private maintained road

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen island; Laminate counters; Pantry; Reverse osmosis water system; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
• Bedrooms: Up to 4 bedrooms
• Flooring: Tile flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: High-speed internet; Eat-in kitchen; No interior steps; Vaulted ceilings; Wet bar; Kitchen island; Pantry; 3/4 bath in master bedroom; Laminate counters; Living room fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $981 ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
• Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 4.0% in Casa Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#220 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, schools F.
• Casa Grande Union High School District (4453) (suburban): math 14% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #193 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 633 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $93,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.13% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.18%
• Cash-on-cash: 42.46%
• DSCR: 2.89
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $99,120
• Comps found: 7

Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2100 N Trekell Rd #36	0.00mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,680 (0%)	8mo	$150,000	$89	88
2100 N Trekell Rd #131	0.00mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,600 (-5%)	4mo	$92,000	$58	84
2100 N Trekell Rd #254	0.00mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,560 (-7%)	2mo	$92,500	$59	81
2100 N Trekell Rd #239	0.00mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,568 (-7%)	4mo	$75,900	$48	81
2263 N Trekell Rd #60	0.32mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,680 (0%)	4mo	$238,370	$142	72
2100 N Trekell Rd #143	0.00mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,456 (-13%)	2mo	$65,000	$45	70
2263 N Trekell Rd #93	0.52mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,680 (0%)	11mo	$140,000	$83	62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 41.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.80×
• Total profit: $49,899
• Equity at exit: $14,761

10-year hold

• IRR: 48.0%
• Equity multiple: 6.00×
• Total profit: $138,623
• Equity at exit: $8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85122

• Home prices YoY: -22.4%
• Rents YoY: 4.6%
• Active inventory: 633
• Price-to-rent: 3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,107 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$519
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
• Insurance: −$41
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$443
• Net cashflow: $981

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866

Max offer price $99,000

Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,049	-5% $1,015	+0% $981	+5% $947	+10% $912
Rent	-10% $814	-5% $897	+0% $981	+5% $1,064	+10% $1,147
Rate	-1.0pp $1,031	-0.5pp $1,006	base $981	+0.5pp $955	+1.0pp $929

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,750
• Closing costs: $2,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 35 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1139 E Yucca St Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	3.0	1300	$1,800	$1.38	25d	1	0.23mi
1979 N Vista Ln Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1636	$2,200	$1.34	25d	1	0.42mi
1265 E Kingman St Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1874	$2,099	$1.12	0d	1	0.46mi
1265 E Kingman St Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1874	$2,099	$1.12	6d	1	0.46mi
1936 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ	1.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	1033	$1,953	$1.89	0d	31	0.50mi
1185 E Avila Ave Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1378	$1,550	$1.12	25d	1	0.69mi
1201 E Barcelona Ave Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1803	$1,900	$1.05	25d	1	0.74mi
1256 E Jahns Dr Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	3.0	2094	$2,199	$1.05	6d	1	0.76mi
1251 E Jahns Dr Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1810	$1,995	$1.10	0d	1	0.79mi
976 E White Wing Dr Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1808	$2,149	$1.19	0d	1	0.87mi
1153 E Gabrilla Dr Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1689	$1,795	$1.06	21d	1	0.90mi
1775 N Terrace Cir Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1628	$1,699	$1.04	16d	1	0.96mi
948 E Wiley Way Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1540	$1,900	$1.23	0d	1	0.97mi
1161 E O'Neil Dr Casa Grande, AZ	2.0–4.0	2.0	1144	$1,700	$1.49	0d	13	1.02mi
1846 N Princeton Ave Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1786	$1,750	$0.98	5d	1	1.04mi
2547 N Kenna Pl Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1539	$1,950	$1.27	0d	1	1.17mi
1636 E Jardin Pl Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1411	$1,999	$1.42	6d	1	1.21mi
1650 E Jardin Pl Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1411	$1,695	$1.20	25d	1	1.24mi
2575 N Lupita Pl Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1630	$1,595	$0.98	25d	1	1.26mi
1620 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.5	1090	$2,640	$2.42	0d	1	1.28mi
1620 E Silver Reef Dr Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1202	$1,575	$1.31	25d	1	1.30mi
1547 E Inouye Dr Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1571	$3,500	$2.23	25d	1	1.34mi
2094 N Sweetwater Dr Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1266	$1,700	$1.34	25d	1	1.34mi
2569 N Agave Ln Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1580	$1,750	$1.11	25d	1	1.37mi
1552 E Inouye Dr Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1560	$1,699	$1.09	16d	1	1.37mi
1552 E Inouye Dr Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1571	$1,699	$1.08	12d	1	1.37mi
1644 E Jahns St Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1402	$1,795	$1.28	14d	1	1.39mi
1536 E Demain Dr Casa Grande, AZ	4.0	2.0	1921	$1,850	$0.96	25d	1	1.41mi
1715 N Peart Rd Casa Grande, AZ	2.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	1221	$1,956	$1.60	0d	43	1.44mi
520 W Casa Mirage Ct Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1536	$1,600	$1.04	5d	1	1.45mi
1560 E Demain Dr Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1304	$1,595	$1.22	25d	1	1.46mi
1642 N Cameron St Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.5	1577	$3,250	$2.06	25d	1	1.47mi
1640 N Cameron St Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1577	$3,250	$2.06	25d	1	1.47mi
1640 N Cameron St Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.0	1577	$3,250	$2.06	23d	1	1.47mi
1640 N Cameron St Unit 1640 Casa Grande, AZ	3.0	2.5	1577	$3,250	$2.06	25d	1	1.47mi

Listing history 24 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $99,000 Active 78 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $99,000 Active 75 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $99,000 Active 74 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $99,000 Active 73 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $99,000 Active 72 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $99,000 Active 70 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $99,000 Active 69 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $99,000 Active 66 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $99,000 Active 65 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 64 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 61 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 59 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 58 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 57 DOM
16. 2026-04-02
    listed $99,000 Active
17. 2026-03-31
    historical
18. 2026-03-10
    price $135,000
19. 2026-01-08
    price $148,500
20. 2025-10-18
    listed $150,000 Active
21. 2025-09-23
    historical
22. 2025-06-25
    price $158,500
23. 2025-04-27
    price $160,000
24. 2025-03-22
    listed $165,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $25,289
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,546
• − Property taxes: −$1,485
• − Insurance: −$495
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,023
• − Management: −$2,023
• − Depreciation: −$2,880
• Taxable income: $10,838
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,601
• After-tax cash flow: $9,168/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in Casa Verde Estates 55+ is move-in ready with fresh exterior paint and new blinds, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Replace blinds — New blinds improve light control and aesthetics
• Both Upgrade flooring — Modern flooring can increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Replace blinds — New blinds improve light control and aesthetics ↑
• Both Upgrade flooring — Modern flooring can increase both resale and rental value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Casa Grande Union High School District (4453)
• NCES district ID: 0401740
• Math proficiency: 14% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $45,373
• Composite: 15.38/100
• National rank: #9319
• State rank: #193 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Casa Grande

• Score: 58/100
• State rank: #220
• US rank: #21534

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Casa Grande, AZ
• County: Pinal County · 399,947 people
• City population: 69,701
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 61,624
• Household income: $68,443
• Rent vs Own: 28.6% rent · 71.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 1250.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 437,574 people
• By 2030: 446,903 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 452,589 · +3.4%
• By 2050: 444,126 · +1.5%
• By 2075: 430,300 · -1.7%
• By 2100: 393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 44% White 42% Two or more races 21% Black 4% Native American 4% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 40%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 12% · Canada
• Languages at home: 75% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -67.32%
• Current HPI: 233.148
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.60%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

-40.0% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-02 Listed $99,000 ARMLS
• 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2026-03-10 Price Changed $135,000 ARMLS
• 2026-01-08 Price Changed $148,500 ARMLS
• 2025-10-18 Listed $150,000 ARMLS
• 2025-09-23 Listing Removed — ARMLS
• 2025-06-25 Price Changed $158,500 ARMLS
• 2025-04-27 Price Changed $160,000 ARMLS
• 2025-03-22 Listed $165,000 ARMLS