2100 N Trekell Rd #366 · Casa Grande, AZ
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -5.4
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This beautifully and thoughtfully designed 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in Casa Verde Estates 55+ offers one of the largest floor plans in the community on a spacious corner lot. With new blinds throughout, fresh exterior paint, a large screened-in Arizona room, a fireplace, a formal dining room, a wet bar, ample storage, and spacious bedrooms, this home will not disappoint! Come and see this beautiful home for yourself and enjoy the Arizona sunshine year round. Casa Verde Estates offers all the trending amenities, plus more. Your new home awaits you!
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Wet bar
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 3.9% in Casa Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#220 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453) (suburban): math 14% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #193 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Cholla Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #752 of 1,109 statewide, top 70%, 510 students, 73% FRL); Cactus Middle School (math 11% / reading 19%, grade F, #156 of 218 statewide, top 72%, 779 students, 63% FRL); Casa Grande Union High School (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #217 of 381 statewide, top 57%, 2,132 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 901 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 172 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 172 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.19%
- DSCR
- 2.03
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $118,750
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -16.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2100 N Trekell Rd #36 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (0%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $89 | 85 |
| 2100 N Trekell Rd #131 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-5%) | 7mo | $92,000 | $58 | 81 |
| 2100 N Trekell Rd #254 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (-7%) | 6mo | $92,500 | $59 | 78 |
| 2100 N Trekell Rd #239 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (-7%) | 7mo | $75,900 | $48 | 78 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #60 | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,680 (0%) | 7mo | $238,370 | $142 | 70 |
| 2100 N Trekell Rd #143 | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,456 (-13%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $45 | 67 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #93 | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (0%) | 14mo | $140,000 | $83 | 59 |
| 2263 N Trekell Rd #141 | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,508 (-10%) | 2mo | $149,900 | $99 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $16,439
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $63,773
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 3 active · 2 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $169,000 ($94/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 105 d
- This list price
- 33% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -25.1% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 85122
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 901
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,544 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $469
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $538 | -5% $504 | +0% $469 | +5% $435 | +10% $401 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $347 | -5% $408 | +0% $469 | +5% $530 | +10% $591 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $519 | -0.5pp $495 | base $469 | +0.5pp $444 | +1.0pp $418 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1139 E Yucca St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 120d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1979 N Vista Ln Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $1,995 | $1.22 | 89d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1979 N Vista Ln Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 120d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1266 E Kingman St Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1878 | $2,100 | $1.12 | 54d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1265 E Kingman St Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1874 | $1,825 | $0.97 | 32d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1265 E Kingman St Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1874 | $2,099 | $1.12 | 100d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1936 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1033 | $1,953 | $1.89 | 0d | 32 | 0.50mi |
| 1225 E Prickly Pear St Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1902 | $1,795 | $0.94 | 7d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1185 E Avila Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $1,550 | $1.12 | 120d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1377 E Prickly Pear Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $1,750 | $1.01 | 10d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1201 E Barcelona Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1803 | $1,875 | $1.04 | 89d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1359 E Racine Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2151 | $2,000 | $0.93 | 46d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 670 E Palo Verde St Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1791 | $1,695 | $0.95 | 19d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1256 E Jahns Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2094 | $2,199 | $1.05 | 100d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1225 E Jahns Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2095 | $2,300 | $1.10 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1251 E Jahns Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $1,995 | $1.10 | 94d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1904 N Colorado St Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1163 | $2,129 | $1.83 | 0d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1275 E Jahns Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1172 E Cordova Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1671 | $1,750 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1920 N Palo Verde Ct Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2187 | $3,500 | $1.60 | 32d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1920 N Palo Verde Ct Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2187 | $2,200 | $1.01 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 976 E White Wing Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1808 | $2,000 | $1.11 | 64d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1153 E Gabrilla Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $1,795 | $1.06 | 115d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 532 E Judi Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1525 | $1,550 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 520 E Judi Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1561 | $1,650 | $1.06 | 60d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1122 E Viola Ct Unit Na Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 62d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1122 E Viola Ct Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $1,800 | $1.07 | 49d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1775 N Terrace Cir Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,625 | $1.00 | 88d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 948 E Wiley Way Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 74d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1255 E Irene St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,795 | $1.16 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2528 N Coolidge Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1351 | $1,625 | $1.20 | 10d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 855 E Viola St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $1,565 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1161 E O'Neil Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 5d | 11 | 1.02mi |
| 1150 E Tyler Ln Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1716 | $1,699 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1846 N Princeton Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,750 | $0.98 | 100d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2547 N Kenna Pl Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $1,795 | $1.17 | 54d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2547 N Kenna Pl Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $1,750 | $1.14 | 30d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2547 N Kenna Pl Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $1,695 | $1.10 | 18d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1620 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1090 | $2,515 | $2.31 | 0d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1636 E Jardin Pl Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1411 | $1,799 | $1.27 | 74d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Lot size source: AssessorBuilding area source: AssessorDirections: From Kortsen North on Trekell, East on Casa Verde Estates to Park entrance.
- HOA & community
- Land lease: $525 monthlyAssociation pays grounds and street maintenanceCommunity poolCommunity spa (heated)Pickleball courtsCommunity laundryBiking/walking paths
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 covered parking spaces2-car carport
- Security
- Gated community
- Utilities
- Private water companyPublic sewer (see remarks)
- Home design
- Manufactured/mobile homeLeasehold property
- Construction
- Wood siding and wood frame constructionPainted exteriorComposition roof
- Exterior features
- Screened-in patio(s)Exterior storageSprinklers in frontDesert landscaping front and backGravel/stone front and backDirt front with auto-timer front irrigationPrivate maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen
- Laminate countersReverse osmosisRefrigeratorDishwasherKitchen islandPantry
- Bedrooms
- Up to 4 possible bedrooms
- Flooring
- Tile flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Heat pump and electric heatingCentral airCeiling fans
- Interior features
- High-speed internetEat-in kitchenNo interior stepsVaulted ceilingsWet barKitchen islandPantry3/4 bath in master bedroom
- Laundry & utility
- Indoor laundry
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $99,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $99,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $99,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $99,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $99,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $99,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $99,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $99,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $99,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $99,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $99,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $99,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $99,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $99,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $99,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $99,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $99,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $99,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $99,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $99,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $99,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $99,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $99,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $99,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $99,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $99,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $99,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $99,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $99,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $99,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $99,000 Active 135 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $99,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $99,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $99,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $99,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $99,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $99,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $99,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $99,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $99,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $99,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $99,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $99,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $99,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $99,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $99,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $99,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $99,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $99,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $99,000 Active 111 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,531
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$1,292
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,482
- − Management
- −$1,482
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $4,363
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,047
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,585/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home in Casa Verde Estates 55+ is move-in ready with fresh exterior paint and new blinds, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace blinds — New blinds improve light control and aesthetics ↑
- Both Upgrade flooring — Modern flooring can increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453)
- NCES district ID
- 0401740
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,373
- Composite
- 15.38/100
- National rank
- #9319
- State rank
- #193 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Casa Grande
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #21534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Casa Grande, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 437,574 people
- City population
- 69,701
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,624
- Household income
- $68,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 15% of renters
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 42% Two or more races 21% Black 4% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.32%
- Current HPI
- 233.148
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
-40.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2026-05-27 Pending — ARMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $99,000 ARMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $135,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $148,500 ARMLS
- 2025-10-18 Listed $150,000 ARMLS
- 2025-09-23 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-06-25 Price Changed $158,500 ARMLS
- 2025-04-27 Price Changed $160,000 ARMLS
- 2025-03-22 Listed $165,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…