14134 Wilden Dr · Urbandale, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Cash flow +3.0/30.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
As good as new! Step into this stunning Caliber townhome in Calusa at Timberline Village that effortlessly combines style, sophistication, and functionality. The open-concept kitchen shines with quartz countertops, custom cabinetry, stainless steel appliances and a walk-in pantry. The living area features 9’ ceilings, large windows, a half bath and drop zone off the oversized two-car garage. Upstairs, the primary suite offers a spa-like bath with double quartz vanities, a tiled walk-in shower, and a spacious walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms and a laundry room add functionality and style. Upscale finishes like luxury vinyl plank flooring, custom trim, and upgraded carpets complement this home’s modern design. Located in a prime location with convenient access to all area amenities!
Key facts
- Custom cabinetry
- Quartz countertops
- Half bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (46.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (44.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $165k (46.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in IA, #69 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: commute F.
- Urbandale Community School District (suburban): math 67% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #116 of 289 in IA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 378 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 12% of the median local income ($176k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 416 days — a 12% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 416 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 47% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.84%
- DSCR
- 0.38
- GRM
- 14.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $339,152
- List price
- $310,000
- Delta
- -8.60%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14130 Wilden Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,495 (+2%) | 8mo | $325,000 | $217 | 90 |
| 14142 Wilden Dr | 0.02mi | 3/2.5 | 1,467 (0%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $222 | 89 |
| 14162 Wilden Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 | 1,467 (0%) | 14mo | $320,000 | $218 | 86 |
| 14140 Wilden Dr | 0.01mi | 3/2.5 | 1,495 (+2%) | 13mo | $335,000 | $224 | 85 |
| 14154 Wilden Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 | 1,482 (+1%) | 15mo | $320,000 | $216 | 83 |
| 14170 Wilden Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 | 1,513 (+3%) | 22mo | $330,000 | $218 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.81% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $4,466
- Equity at exit
- $172,058
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $70,633
- Equity at exit
- $294,001
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50323
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 378
- Price-to-rent
- 14.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,730 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$388 /mo · $4,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$225
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $-1,001
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4454 142nd St Urbandale, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $1,384 | $1.46 | 14d | 6 | 1.00mi |
| 4015 154th St Urbandale, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $2,295 | $1.61 | 19d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4315 152nd Ct Urbandale, IA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1240 | $1,495 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4304 153rd Pl Urbandale, IA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1240 | $1,450 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 15211 Greenbelt Dr Urbandale, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,450 | $1.37 | 19d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 15221 Alpine Dr Urbandale, IA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,550 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 4307 154th St Urbandale, IA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1445 | $1,850 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $225 · $2,700/yr
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $310,000 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $310,000 Active 415 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $310,000 Active 414 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $310,000 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $310,000 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $310,000 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $310,000 Active 408 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $310,000 Active 407 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $310,000 Active 406 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $310,000 Active 405 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $310,000 Active 402 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $310,000 Active 401 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $310,000 Active 400 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $310,000 Active 399 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $310,000 Active 398 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $310,000 Active 397 DOM
-
2025-10-27price $310,000 810-char remark
Show marketing remark (810 chars)
As good as new! Step into this stunning Caliber townhome in Calusa at Timberline Village that effortlessly combines style, sophistication, and functionality. The open-concept kitchen shines with quartz countertops, custom cabinetry, stainless steel appliances and a walk-in pantry. The living area features 9’ ceilings, large windows, a half bath and drop zone off the oversized two-car garage. Upstairs, the primary suite offers a spa-like bath with double quartz vanities, a tiled walk-in shower, and a spacious walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms and a laundry room add functionality and style. Upscale finishes like luxury vinyl plank flooring, custom trim, and upgraded carpets complement this home’s modern design. Located in a prime location with convenient access to all area amenities!
-
2025-08-05price $315,000 810-char remark
Show marketing remark (810 chars)
As good as new! Step into this stunning Caliber townhome in Calusa at Timberline Village that effortlessly combines style, sophistication, and functionality. The open-concept kitchen shines with quartz countertops, custom cabinetry, stainless steel appliances and a walk-in pantry. The living area features 9’ ceilings, large windows, a half bath and drop zone off the oversized two-car garage. Upstairs, the primary suite offers a spa-like bath with double quartz vanities, a tiled walk-in shower, and a spacious walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms and a laundry room add functionality and style. Upscale finishes like luxury vinyl plank flooring, custom trim, and upgraded carpets complement this home’s modern design. Located in a prime location with convenient access to all area amenities!
-
2025-04-28$325,000 Active 810-char remark
Show marketing remark (810 chars)
As good as new! Step into this stunning Caliber townhome in Calusa at Timberline Village that effortlessly combines style, sophistication, and functionality. The open-concept kitchen shines with quartz countertops, custom cabinetry, stainless steel appliances and a walk-in pantry. The living area features 9’ ceilings, large windows, a half bath and drop zone off the oversized two-car garage. Upstairs, the primary suite offers a spa-like bath with double quartz vanities, a tiled walk-in shower, and a spacious walk-in closet. Two additional bedrooms and a laundry room add functionality and style. Upscale finishes like luxury vinyl plank flooring, custom trim, and upgraded carpets complement this home’s modern design. Located in a prime location with convenient access to all area amenities!
-
2023-01-20soldstatus $295,000 Closed
-
2023-01-20soldstatus $2,420,000
-
2022-04-15status Pending
-
2022-04-15$295,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,755
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$4,650
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,660
- − Management
- −$1,660
- − HOA
- −$2,700
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable loss
- −$17,848
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,284
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,728/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Urbandale Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1928680
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,098
- Composite
- 60.95/100
- National rank
- #807
- State rank
- #116 of 289 in IA
Livability — Urbandale
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #69
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Urbandale, IA
- County
- Polk County · 453,298 people
- City population
- 49,196
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,265
- Household income
- $175,944
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 63.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 548,042 people
- By 2030
- 588,557 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 670,629 · +22.4%
- By 2050
- 752,830 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 955,069 · +74.3%
- By 2100
- 1,115,436 · +103.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Asian 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Iranian 5% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.81%
- Current HPI
- 199.789
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+5.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $310,000 DMMLS
- 2025-08-05 Price Changed $315,000 DMMLS
- 2025-04-28 Listed $325,000 DMMLS
- 2023-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $2,420,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-20 Sold (MLS) $295,000 DMMLS
- 2022-04-15 Pending — DMMLS
- 2022-04-15 Listed $295,000 DMMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…