1147 Sargeant St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom townhouse in the desirable Pigtown/Washington Village neighborhood. Features include luxurious vinyl flooring throughout, a modern granite countertop in the kitchen, and a fenced-in rear yard for privacy and outdoor enjoyment. Conveniently located near M & T Bank Stadium, Camden Yards, Topgolf, and major routes 95 and 895, offering easy access to entertainment, shopping, and transportation. Perfect for comfortable urban living!
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- Fenced-in rear yard
- Granite countertop
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse
- Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Above-grade and below-grade structures; Ground rent paid annually; Located within city limits (Baltimore City)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $325 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $130k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.73%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $22,272
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 S Carrollton Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.5 | 800 (+4%) | 4mo | $83,000 | $104 | 75 |
| 1606 Lemmon St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-3%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $27 | 69 |
| 1608 Lemmon St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-3%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $27 | 69 |
| 1610 Lemmon St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-3%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $27 | 69 |
| 1612 Lemmon St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-3%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $27 | 69 |
| 1604 Lemmon St | 0.53mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 744 (-3%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $27 | 64 |
| 864 Carroll St | 0.17mi | 2/1.5 | 880 (+15%) | 3mo | $89,000 | $101 | 63 |
| 1613 Lemmon St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 686 (-11%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $29 | 57 |
| 1611 Lemmon St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 686 (-11%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $29 | 57 |
| 1609 Lemmon St | 0.53mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 686 (-11%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $29 | 52 |
| 1605 Lemmon St | 0.53mi | 2/3.0 | 686 (-11%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $29 | 49 |
| 209 Penn St | 0.50mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 682 (-11%) | 1mo | $183,000 | $268 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $7,280
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $67,307
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21223
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 425
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,596 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$200 /mo · $2,404/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $325
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $399 | -5% $362 | +0% $325 | +5% $288 | +10% $252 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $199 | -5% $262 | +0% $325 | +5% $388 | +10% $451 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $391 | -0.5pp $358 | base $325 | +0.5pp $292 | +1.0pp $257 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1160 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,575 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1163 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1012 | $1,700 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1127 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,275 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1142 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,601 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 1215 James St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 853 Reinhart St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 780 | $1,800 | $2.31 | 45d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 923 McHenry St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,625 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 847 McHenry St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $1,795 | $1.89 | 5d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 805 Washington Blvd Unit B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,650 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 805 Washington Blvd Unit A Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,650 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1432 Carroll St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 912 | $1,900 | $2.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 519 Scott St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $2,000 | $2.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 776 Washington Blvd Unit 3F Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 305 S Calhoun St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1125 Wicomico St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1068 | $1,955 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 48 S Carrollton Ave Unit 4 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,600 | $2.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 1324 W Lombard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 812 S Paca St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1324 W Lombard St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,860 | $1.70 | 5d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,950 | $1.78 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 121 S Fremont Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 582 | $2,100 | $3.61 | 21d | 5 | 0.47mi |
| 725 W Pratt St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 584 | $1,925 | $3.29 | 11d | 9 | 0.48mi |
| 638 S Paca St Unit 2404866494 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 657 Dover St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 653 Dover St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,500 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 101 N Schroeder St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1037 | $2,481 | $2.39 | 3d | 12 | 0.57mi |
| 28 N Norris St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,450 | $2.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1601 Frederick Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1712 W Lombard St #4 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $900 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 519 W Pratt St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,400 | $2.43 | 3d | 2 | 0.65mi |
| 410 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 611 | $1,995 | $3.26 | 3d | 4 | 0.76mi |
| 617 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $2,200 | $2.26 | 11d | 4 | 0.80mi |
| 301 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 499 | $1,775 | $3.56 | 3d | 30 | 0.81mi |
| 1918 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,375 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 11 S Eutaw St Baltimore, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $2,146 | $2.10 | 3d | 11 | 0.86mi |
| 1 S Eutaw St Unit 1BR Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,245 | $2.08 | 16d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 300 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 686 | $1,835 | $2.67 | 3d | 7 | 0.86mi |
| 300 W Redwood St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 565 | $2,400 | $4.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 311 W Baltimore St Unit 504 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,999 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 463-char remark
-
2026-06-07$129,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,404 · $200/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,404 · $200/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$2,404
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,532
- − Management
- −$1,532
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $1,979
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$475
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,427/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,572
- Household income
- $45,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1755.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.99%
- Current HPI
- 140.5836
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+182.4% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-17 Price Changed $159,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-03 Listed $169,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-02 Coming Soon — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-12-10 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-11-13 Price Changed $84,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-19 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-08-28 Sold (MLS) $47,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-12-10 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-11-27 Listed $10,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-08-31 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-07-24 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2007-06-12 Listed — MRIS
- 1988-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,404 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…