21 Via Rosal #21 · Camarillo, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
FAMILY PARK MOBILE HOME-This beautiful mobile home features 2 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and a bonus room. Notable updates include newer windows, a recently remodeled kitchen and bathrooms, and a patio converted into additional living quarters. The property also offers a laundry area, an upgraded front and back yard, and a stunning pergola. Perfectly located for first-time buyers or those looking to downsize, the home is just minutes freeways, shopping, parks, and restaurants.
Key facts
- Laundry area
- Remodeled kitchen
- Upgraded front yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot features indicate no sprinklers
- Financial info: Land lease of $2,225 per month (seller-reported)
- HOA & community: Community features include biking paths and a park; Manager approval required
Exterior
- Parking: Has parking; Located in Lamplighter Camarillo park
- Utilities: Public/District water; Sewer: Other
- Home design: Mobile home (12' x 60'); Mobile home remains on site; Located in Lamplighter MHP community
- Construction: Year built source: Public records
- Exterior features: Patio; Fence; Community pool; Private pool
Interior
- Kitchen: No built-in appliances listed
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central cooling
- Interior features: One-level home; Spa
- Laundry & utility: Laundry available in carport; Outdoor laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 2.5% in Camarillo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#72 in CA, #2,776 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Pleasant Valley (urban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #119 of 517 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.85%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $90,950
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227 Calle de La Rosa #227 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (-1%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $107 | 90 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $46,421
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 30.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $122,149
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93012
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,125 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$656
- Net cashflow
- $1,260
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,381 | -5% $1,320 | +0% $1,260 | +5% $1,199 | +10% $1,139 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,013 | -5% $1,136 | +0% $1,260 | +5% $1,383 | +10% $1,507 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,348 | -0.5pp $1,304 | base $1,260 | +0.5pp $1,214 | +1.0pp $1,168 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Riverdale Ct #715 Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,800 | $3.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 313 Westpark Ct Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 838 | $3,225 | $3.85 | 2d | 2 | 0.79mi |
| 3065 Village At the Park Dr Camarillo, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 753 | $3,095 | $4.11 | 2d | 4 | 0.82mi |
| 5176 Verdugo Way Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 844 | $4,077 | $4.83 | 2d | 221 | 0.93mi |
| 1571 Flynn Rd Camarillo, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1081 | $3,475 | $3.21 | 2d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1157 Via Montoya Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,950 | $2.66 | 2d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1149 Via Montoya Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $3,195 | $3.21 | 2d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1123 Via Montoya Unit 1123 Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $2,650 | $2.67 | 11d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2400 Pickwick Dr Camarillo, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $2,850 | $3.45 | 2d | 2 | 1.32mi |
| 7208 Village 7 Unit 7 Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $3,000 | $2.71 | 11d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5240 Corte Bocina Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $3,090 | $3.18 | 2d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 482-char remark
-
2026-06-10$175,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,505
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,000
- − Management
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $13,111
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,147
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,970/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained mobile home features updated kitchens and bathrooms, a clean exterior, and a landscaped yard with a patio. It is in good condition and ready for a new owner.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping and patio furniture — enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space
- Both painting interior walls — refreshes the home's appearance
- Both upgrading kitchen appliances — modernizes the kitchen and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping and patio furniture — enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space ↑
- Both painting interior walls — refreshes the home's appearance ↑
- Both upgrading kitchen appliances — modernizes the kitchen and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pleasant Valley
- NCES district ID
- 0630990
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $87,342
- Composite
- 46.3/100
- National rank
- #2476
- State rank
- #119 of 517 in CA
Livability — Camarillo
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #2776
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Camarillo, CA
- County
- Ventura County · 829,955 people
- City population
- 82,539
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,791
- Household income
- $135,217
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1204.0
Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 895,754 people
- By 2030
- 912,134 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 931,454 · +4.0%
- By 2050
- 934,609 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 924,899 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 864,712 · -3.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 16% Asian 13% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ventura
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -517.29%
- Current HPI
- 276.7695
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.22%
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $175,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…