77 Eldred St · Battle Creek, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into this charming two bedroom home, a perfect canvas for your personal touch! This home fetures a full basement with potential for expanded living or storage. While its just a bit of paint needed to refresh its charm the homes inherent potential is undeniable. Call David Censke for viewings269.209.3529
Key facts
- Storage
- Full basement
- Expanded living
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $489 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 5.2% in Battle Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#198 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Battle Creek Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 540 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $442 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.81% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.74%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,479
- List price
- $64,000
- Delta
- -48.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 268 Battle Creek Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 774 (+4%) | 6mo | $79,000 | $102 | 73 |
| 324 Goguac St W | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-4%) | 9mo | $65,000 | $90 | 69 |
| 539 Iroquois Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-3%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $213 | 64 |
| 136 Wiltshire Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-4%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $229 | 63 |
| 236 W Burnham St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 829 (+11%) | 7mo | $110,000 | $133 | 63 |
| 171 Goguac St W | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 834 (+12%) | 8mo | $69,500 | $83 | 62 |
| 100 Wiltshire Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 721 (-4%) | 2mo | $118,500 | $164 | 59 |
| 345 Orleans Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+12%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $177 | 58 |
| 105 N Woodrow Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-4%) | 3mo | $143,000 | $199 | 57 |
| 97 Carl Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-4%) | 9mo | $139,900 | $194 | 55 |
| 112 Wiltshire Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (-12%) | 2mo | $149,900 | $227 | 50 |
| 133 Harris St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 651 (-13%) | 7mo | $22,000 | $34 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $26,894
- Equity at exit
- $9,543
- IRR
- 42.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.10×
- Total profit
- $91,400
- Equity at exit
- $5,534
Cash invested: $17,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49015
- Rents YoY
- 11.1%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,158 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$336
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $765/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $489
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,000
- Closing costs
- $1,920
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130 Riverside Dr Battle Creek, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $935 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 226 Taft Ct Battle Creek, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $985 | $1.29 | 44d | 8 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $64,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $64,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $64,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $64,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-05-05price $64,000 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Step into this charming two bedroom home, a perfect canvas for your personal touch! This home fetures a full basement with potential for expanded living or storage. While its just a bit of paint needed to refresh its charm the homes inherent potential is undeniable. Call David Censke for viewings269.209.3529
-
2026-05-04price $64,000 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Step into this charming two bedroom home, a perfect canvas for your personal touch! This home fetures a full basement with potential for expanded living or storage. While its just a bit of paint needed to refresh its charm the homes inherent potential is undeniable. Call David Censke for viewings269.209.3529
-
2026-05-04price $64,000
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Step into this charming two bedroom home, a perfect canvas for your personal touch! This home fetures a full basement with potential for expanded living or storage. While its just a bit of paint needed to refresh its charm the homes inherent potential is undeniable. Call David Censke for viewings269.209.3529
-
2026-02-11$69,000 Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Step into this charming two bedroom home, a perfect canvas for your personal touch! This home fetures a full basement with potential for expanded living or storage. While its just a bit of paint needed to refresh its charm the homes inherent potential is undeniable. Call David Censke for viewings269.209.3529
-
2026-02-09$69,000 Active 309-char remark
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Step into this charming two bedroom home, a perfect canvas for your personal touch! This home fetures a full basement with potential for expanded living or storage. While its just a bit of paint needed to refresh its charm the homes inherent potential is undeniable. Call David Censke for viewings269.209.3529
-
2026-02-09$69,000 Active
Show marketing remark (309 chars)
Step into this charming two bedroom home, a perfect canvas for your personal touch! This home fetures a full basement with potential for expanded living or storage. While its just a bit of paint needed to refresh its charm the homes inherent potential is undeniable. Call David Censke for viewings269.209.3529
-
2019-10-19historical
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2019-08-20historical
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2019-08-20$649,999
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2019-08-20historical
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2019-08-20historical
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2019-04-16$650,000
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2019-04-16$650,000 Active
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2019-04-16$650,000
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2008-03-13historical
-
2008-03-13historical
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2007-08-16$54,900
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2007-08-16$54,900
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2005-09-12historical
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2005-09-12historical
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2005-08-15$64,900
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2005-08-15$64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $765 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $875 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- +$110/yr (+$9/mo · 14.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,897
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,585
- − Property taxes
- −$765
- − Insurance
- −$320
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,112
- − Management
- −$1,112
- − Depreciation
- −$1,862
- Taxable income
- $5,142
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,234
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,632/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Battle Creek Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2600005
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,697
- Composite
- 10.73/100
- National rank
- #9769
- State rank
- #510 of 540 in MI
Livability — Battle Creek
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #198
- US rank
- #5031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Battle Creek, MI
- County
- Calhoun County · 91,590 people
- City population
- 91,590
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,765
- Household income
- $68,821
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 755.0
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,157 people
- By 2030
- 126,691 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 118,517 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 109,855 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 90,486 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 70,766 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 7% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 7% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.20%
- Current HPI
- 206.7754
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.13%
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-1.4% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $64,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $64,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $64,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-02-11 Listed $69,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-09 Listed $69,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-02-09 Listed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-10-19 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-20 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2019-08-20 Listed $649,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-08-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-04-16 Listed $650,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-16 Listed $650,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2019-04-16 Listed $650,000 REALCOMP
- 2008-03-13 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2008-03-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-08-16 Listed $54,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2007-08-16 Listed $54,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-09-12 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2005-09-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-08-15 Listed $64,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2005-08-15 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $765 · -31.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…