126 Ridgewood Mnr · Mount Joy, PA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1995 Imperial singlewide (2 bed, 2 bath) with ramp access. Situated in Ridgewood Manor $700 mo lot rent. Conveniently located near the Amtrak station and 25 minutes from Harrisburg International Airport on 283. see 35 pics.
Key facts
- Near amtrak station
- Ramp access
- Built 1995
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a federal flood zone; Pets allowed (cats and dogs OK); Annual ground rent listed under income/expense
- Financial info: Ground rent $700 per month (rented lot); Ownership interest: Ground Rent
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Water from community source; Community septic tank; Electric hot water
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide, Imperial make); Entry located at main level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Includes a shed
- Exterior features: Paved driveway; Rented lot (ground rent exists, paid monthly)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil fuel); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Ramp to main level (accessibility feature); No basement; Finished above-grade area approximately 980 (per assessor)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Cap rate 27.7% vs local median 2.6% in Mount Joy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#59 in PA, #410 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D.
- Manheim Central SD (suburban): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #242 of 539 in PA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Manheim Central Ms (math 27% / reading 49%, grade F, #283 of 512 statewide, top 57%, 848 students, 42% FRL); Manheim Central Shs (math 77% / reading 24%, grade D+, #125 of 437 statewide, top 30%, 935 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,093 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lancaster County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 76.61%
- DSCR
- 4.41
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $22,993
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- 160.52%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 76.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.49×
- Total profit
- $58,493
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 80.2%
- Equity multiple
- 9.27×
- Total profit
- $138,748
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17545
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,820 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $334/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $1,071
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,105 | -5% $1,088 | +0% $1,071 | +5% $1,054 | +10% $1,037 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $927 | -5% $999 | +0% $1,071 | +5% $1,143 | +10% $1,215 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,101 | -0.5pp $1,086 | base $1,071 | +0.5pp $1,055 | +1.0pp $1,039 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Crestwyck Cir Mount Joy, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1029 | $2,481 | $2.41 | 15d | 6 | 0.90mi |
| 74 Lancaster Est Mount Joy, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,295 | $1.74 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-02status Pending 224-char remark
-
2026-04-25$59,900 Active 224-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $334 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $640 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$306/yr (+$26/mo · 91.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,838
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$334
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,747
- − Management
- −$1,747
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $12,613
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,027
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,823/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manheim Central SD
- NCES district ID
- 4214550
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,723
- Composite
- 40.02/100
- National rank
- #3825
- State rank
- #242 of 539 in PA
Livability — Mount Joy
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #410
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lancaster County · 390,309 people
- City population
- 19,761
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,556
- Household income
- $84,704
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 342.0
Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 561,011 people
- By 2030
- 570,969 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 585,929 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 591,056 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 594,747 · +6.0%
- By 2100
- 558,850 · -0.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.9) · D 41.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -15.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.9 2020: R+15.8 2016: R+19.7 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.46%
- Current HPI
- 263.1172
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lancaster, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-8.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-02 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $59,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-3.7%/yrLatest (2026): $334 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…