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312 W Front St
B+ Composite 76.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

312 W Front St · Heber Springs, AR 72543
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,250 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 1956 0.43 ac lot $64/sqft · 42% below area Est $137k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Freshly updated and move-in ready, this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,250 square feet of comfortable living space. Inside, you’ll find kitchen and living areas flow nicely, making everyday living and entertaining easy. Each bedroom provides ample space and natural light, perfect for families, guests, or a home office setup. Step out back to enjoy a small deck—ideal for morning coffee, grilling, or relaxing at the end of the day. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a solid affordable investment, this home checks all the boxes with its updates, functionality, and charm.

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Small deck
  • Bright layout

Tags

MOVE-IN READYBRIGHT LAYOUTSMALL DECKDETACHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $363 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 2.1% in Heber Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#329 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Heber Springs School District (town): math 50% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #19 of 238 in AR (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 287 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 13 units permitted in Cleburne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cleburne County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $80k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,106 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
12.75%
Cash-on-cash
23.06%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$137,080
List price
$79,900
Delta
-41.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
507 W North St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 1mo $132,000 $98 78
706 W Pne 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,210 (-3%) 2mo $171,000 $141 74
402 Case Rd 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,390 (+11%) 1mo $158,000 $114 63
411 N 3rd St 0.24mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,096 (-12%) 2mo $90,000 $82 60
502 E Clinton St 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,140 (-9%) 1mo $169,500 $149 57
1304 Ridgefield Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+4%) 10mo $175,000 $135 54
705 N Park St 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,080 (-14%) 4mo $162,000 $150 52
601 Searcy 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,225 (-2%) 16mo $79,000 $64 48
427 Lee St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+8%) 12mo $220,000 $164 48
1409 Terrace Dr 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,408 (+13%) 10mo $164,000 $116 42
1615 N Broadway St 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,325 (+6%) 19mo $179,900 $136 41
104 W Spring St 0.45mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,392 (+11%) 19mo $110,000 $79 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$10,222
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$38,804
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72543

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Active inventory
287
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,173 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $534/yr
Insurance
$33
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$363

Break-even live

Break-even rent $713
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $409 -5% $386 +0% $363 +5% $341 +10% $318
Rent -10% $271 -5% $317 +0% $363 +5% $410 +10% $456
Rate -1.0pp $404 -0.5pp $384 base $363 +0.5pp $343 +1.0pp $322

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
313 N High St Unit A Heber Springs, AR 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,299 $0.96 24d 1 0.37mi
205 Trailwood Dr Heber Springs, AR 3.0 1.0 1025 $880 $0.86 24d 1 0.77mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $79,900 Under Contract 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Take Backups 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Take Backups 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Take Backups 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Take Backups 59 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,900 Take Backups 58 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,900 Take Backups 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $79,900 Take Backups 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $79,900 Take Backups 53 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Take Backups 52 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $79,900 Take Backups 51 DOM
  12. 2026-05-13
    price $79,900 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    Freshly updated and move-in ready, this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,250 square feet of comfortable living space. Inside, you’ll find kitchen and living areas flow nicely, making everyday living and entertaining easy. Each bedroom provides ample space and natural light, perfect for families, guests, or a home office setup. Step out back to enjoy a small deck—ideal for morning coffee, grilling, or relaxing at the end of the day. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a solid affordable investment, this home checks all the boxes with its updates, functionality, and charm.

  13. 2026-04-27
    price $99,900 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    Freshly updated and move-in ready, this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,250 square feet of comfortable living space. Inside, you’ll find kitchen and living areas flow nicely, making everyday living and entertaining easy. Each bedroom provides ample space and natural light, perfect for families, guests, or a home office setup. Step out back to enjoy a small deck—ideal for morning coffee, grilling, or relaxing at the end of the day. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a solid affordable investment, this home checks all the boxes with its updates, functionality, and charm.

  14. 2026-04-08
    listed $104,900 New Listing 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    Freshly updated and move-in ready, this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,250 square feet of comfortable living space. Inside, you’ll find kitchen and living areas flow nicely, making everyday living and entertaining easy. Each bedroom provides ample space and natural light, perfect for families, guests, or a home office setup. Step out back to enjoy a small deck—ideal for morning coffee, grilling, or relaxing at the end of the day. Whether you’re a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a solid affordable investment, this home checks all the boxes with its updates, functionality, and charm.

  15. 2025-01-22
    historical
  16. 2025-01-03
    listed $44,500 New Listing
  17. 2023-10-26
    soldstatus $38,500 Sold
  18. 2023-10-10
    status Under Contract
  19. 2023-10-04
    listed $50,000 New Listing
  20. 2023-03-19
    historical
  21. 2023-03-16
    listed $50,000 New Listing
  22. 1994-03-31
    soldstatus $25,000
  23. 1988-05-01
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$534 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$534 · $45/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,076
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$534
− Insurance
−$1,197
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,126
− Management
−$1,126
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,293
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$790
After-tax cash flow
$3,571/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Heber Springs School District
NCES district ID
0507560
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$39,577
Composite
41.39/100
National rank
#3478
State rank
#19 of 238 in AR

Livability — Heber Springs

Score
58/100
State rank
#329
US rank
#21491

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Heber Springs, AR
Population (ZIP)
12,642

Population outlook (Cleburne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,198 people
By 2030
23,324 · -3.6%
By 2040
21,566 · -10.9%
By 2050
19,916 · -17.7%
By 2075
16,744 · -30.8%
By 2100
13,303 · -45.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cleburne

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.2% · R 83.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.7pp toward R · 2008: -44.2pp · 2024: -67.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.9 2020: R+65.8 2016: R+61.4 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+44.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.45%
Current HPI
215.4322
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+343.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $79,900 CARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $99,900 CARMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $104,900 CARMLS
  • 2025-01-22 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2025-01-03 Listed $44,500 CARMLS
  • 2023-10-26 Sold (MLS) $38,500 CARMLS
  • 2023-10-10 Pending CARMLS
  • 2023-10-04 Listed $50,000 CARMLS
  • 2023-03-19 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2023-03-16 Listed $50,000 CARMLS
  • 1994-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1988-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $534 · +10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…