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40 Northampton Rd
C- Composite 52.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$183,000

40 Northampton Rd · Amsterdam, NY 12010
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 139 Days on market
Built 1930 7,405 sqft lot $109/sqft · 37% below area Est $292k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 40 N Hampton Rd—a great opportunity at an excellent price point. This home offers solid value and won't last long at this price. Whether you're a first-time buyer or an investor, this is one you'll want to see quickly. Schedule your showing today—this one won't wait!

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1930

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $183k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-166 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (16.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (23.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#247 in NY, #3,884 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
  • Amsterdam City School District (town): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #546 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 164 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 210 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Montgomery County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($161k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $145k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,926 (23.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.59%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$291,780
List price
$183,000
Delta
-37.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Coolidge Rd 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,663 (-1%) 4mo $300,000 $180 75
7 Grant Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,680 (0%) 1mo $210,000 $125 70
44 Fairmont Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,610 (-4%) 2mo $280,000 $174 64
47 Mcclellan Ave 0.31mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,813 (+8%) 1mo $235,000 $130 60
30 Lindbergh Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,750 (+4%) 8mo $370,000 $211 57
17 Trinity Pl 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,634 (-3%) 12mo $210,000 $129 54
45 Coolidge Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,536 (-9%) 6mo $289,000 $188 52
35 Mcclellan Ave 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,500 (-11%) 8mo $180,000 $120 51
27 Van Dyke Ave 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,842 (+10%) 11mo $375,000 $204 50
16 Caroline St 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,538 (-8%) 9mo $100,000 $65 47
10 Thomas St 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,772 (+6%) 8mo $110,000 $62 47
27 Trinity Pl 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,480 (-12%) 6mo $170,000 $115 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$89,129
Equity at exit
$164,861
10-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
6.29×
Total profit
$270,841
Equity at exit
$355,529

Cash invested: $51,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12010

Home prices YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
164
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,409 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$960
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,253/yr
Insurance
$76
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$-166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,619
Max offer price $153,689
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,750
Closing costs
$5,490
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
62 Glen Ave Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,550 $1.39 23d 1 0.33mi
265 W Main St Unit 1 Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 14d 1 0.46mi
18 Garden St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1180 $1,300 $1.10 19d 1 0.52mi
214 Market St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,300 $0.87 23d 1 0.53mi
214 Market St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,450 $0.97 43d 1 0.53mi
70 Wall St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1098 $1,300 $1.18 19d 1 0.59mi
49 Elizabeth St Amsterdam, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 21d 1 0.70mi
17 Grand St Amsterdam, NY 4.0 1.0 1098 $1,400 $1.28 23d 1 0.87mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $183,000 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $183,000 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $183,000 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $183,000 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $183,000 Active 134 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $183,000 Active 133 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $183,000 Active 131 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $183,000 Active 130 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $183,000 Active 129 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $183,000 Active 128 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $183,000 Active 124 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $183,000 Active 123 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $183,000 Active 122 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $183,000 Active 121 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $183,000 Active 120 DOM
  16. 2026-01-30
    listed $183,000 Active 290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (290 chars)

    Welcome to 40 N Hampton Rd—a great opportunity at an excellent price point. This home offers solid value and won't last long at this price. Whether you're a first-time buyer or an investor, this is one you'll want to see quickly. Schedule your showing today—this one won't wait!

  17. 2016-06-17
    soldstatus $145,000
  18. 2014-11-03
    soldstatus $135,680
  19. 2014-10-31
    soldstatus $135,680 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Must see to believe! Total remodel of everything. 3 bedroom, 3 bath, large living room, kitchen with eating area. Master bedroom and living room with Bamboo flooring. All other rooms have hardwood. Master has bath & walk-in closet. All new SS appliances. 2 other rooms can be a dining room, den, office or whatever you choose. Large deck in a secluded back yard. Washer/dryer negotiable. Cent air. Solar panel inoperable. Close to schools and shopping. Taxes without exemptions. 39.15-4-68.2 included. Excellent Condition

  20. 2014-07-31
    historical 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Must see to believe! Total remodel of everything. 3 bedroom, 3 bath, large living room, kitchen with eating area. Master bedroom and living room with Bamboo flooring. All other rooms have hardwood. Master has bath & walk-in closet. All new SS appliances. 2 other rooms can be a dining room, den, office or whatever you choose. Large deck in a secluded back yard. Washer/dryer negotiable. Cent air. Solar panel inoperable. Close to schools and shopping. Taxes without exemptions. 39.15-4-68.2 included. Excellent Condition

  21. 2014-06-01
    listed $137,900 527-char remark
    Show marketing remark (527 chars)

    Must see to believe! Total remodel of everything. 3 bedroom, 3 bath, large living room, kitchen with eating area. Master bedroom and living room with Bamboo flooring. All other rooms have hardwood. Master has bath & walk-in closet. All new SS appliances. 2 other rooms can be a dining room, den, office or whatever you choose. Large deck in a secluded back yard. Washer/dryer negotiable. Cent air. Solar panel inoperable. Close to schools and shopping. Taxes without exemptions. 39.15-4-68.2 included. Excellent Condition

  22. 2011-03-29
    soldstatus $21,000
  23. 2011-03-23
    soldstatus $21,000
  24. 2011-02-20
    historical
  25. 2010-08-19
    listed $32,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,253 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,673 · $223/mo
Expected delta
+$420/yr (+$35/mo · 18.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,911
− Mortgage interest
−$10,251
− Property taxes
−$2,253
− Insurance
−$1,582
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,353
− Management
−$1,353
− Depreciation
−$5,324
Taxable loss
−$5,204
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,249
After-tax cash flow
$-742/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Amsterdam City School District
NCES district ID
3602970
Math proficiency
35% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$41,735
Composite
32.03/100
National rank
#5824
State rank
#546 of 590 in NY

Livability — Amsterdam

Score
75/100
State rank
#247
US rank
#3884

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Amsterdam, NY
City population
27,339
Population (ZIP)
27,339

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,683 people
By 2030
47,785 · -1.8%
By 2040
45,492 · -6.6%
By 2050
43,161 · -11.3%
By 2075
38,134 · -21.7%
By 2100
32,337 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 18%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.7) · D 35.6% · R 64.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.1pp · 2024: -28.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.7 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+26.5 2012: R+4.4 2008: R+8.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 12.12%
Current HPI
312.4966
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+463.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $183,000 Global MLS
  • 2016-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
  • 2014-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $135,680 Public Records
  • 2014-10-31 Sold (MLS) $135,680 Global MLS
  • 2014-07-31 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2014-06-01 Listed $137,900 Global MLS
  • 2011-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
  • 2011-03-23 Sold (MLS) $21,000 Global MLS
  • 2011-02-20 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2010-08-19 Listed $32,500 Global MLS

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,253 · -5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…