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1337 Warrior Rd
B- Composite 65.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +3.4/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0

$73,500

1337 Warrior Rd · Birmingham, AL 35218
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 875 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1945 6,969 sqft lot Est $67k · 9% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Call all your investors. This home is vacant and ready to sell. Very nice lot. 2 car detached garage.

Key facts

  • 6,969 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1945

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property access via alley, paved road, and public road
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with front entry; Two garage spaces; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Gas and electric water heater options; Internet service available
  • Home design: Existing single-family residence; Crawl space foundation
  • Construction: Siding (other) exterior construction
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Porch; Interior, irregular lot with some trees; No pool; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate countertops
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors; Vinyl floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window-unit cooling
  • Interior features: Smooth ceilings; Hardwood and vinyl floors; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room with brick and tile details; No special built-in interior features noted
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry with washer hookup; Dryer hookups for both electric and gas

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($986 rent vs $74k).
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $508 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $74k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $73,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.82%
Cash-on-cash
16.16%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$67,375
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1428 35th St 0.15mi 2/1.0 930 (+6%) 13mo $75,061 $81 72
1529 30th St 0.48mi 2/1.0 843 (-4%) 1mo $65,000 $77 70
1105 Pike Rd 0.41mi 2/1.0 884 (+1%) 12mo $13,000 $15 69
1341 44th St 0.27mi 3/1.0 (+1) 892 (+2%) 13mo $88,052 $99 69
4813 Terrace M 0.57mi 2/1.0 842 (-4%) 12mo $80,000 $95 58
3015 Avenue H 0.70mi 2/1.0 880 (+1%) 11mo $65,000 $74 57
1541 30th Street Ensley 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 928 (+6%) 6mo $5,999 $6 57
940 47th St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 916 (+5%) 5mo $49,000 $53 57
4713 Avenue I 0.67mi 2/1.0 968 (+11%) 12mo $19,000 $20 41
705 40th St 0.74mi 2/1.0 788 (-10%) 11mo $25,000 $32 40
2600 Avenue L 0.70mi 2/1.0 988 (+13%) 12mo $82,750 $84 36
3300 Avenue H 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 986 (+13%) 13mo $89,495 $91 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$10,355
Equity at exit
$15,857
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$35,994
Equity at exit
$15,093

Cash invested: $20,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35218

Home prices YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
50
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$986 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$385
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,032/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $636
Max offer price $73,500
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,375
Closing costs
$2,205
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1306 35th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,173 $1.07 3d 1 0.12mi
1420 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1061 $1,050 $0.99 44d 1 0.13mi
1429 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1036 $850 $0.82 16d 1 0.14mi
1417 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1103 $1,025 $0.93 44d 1 0.19mi
1520 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1068 $1,195 $1.12 44d 1 0.24mi
1540 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 899 $1,037 $1.15 44d 1 0.30mi
1528 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 972 $1,073 $1.10 44d 1 0.32mi
1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 23d 1 0.40mi
931 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 1048 $995 $0.95 3d 1 0.46mi
1532 31st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 839 $850 $1.01 44d 1 0.48mi
1429 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 768 $750 $0.98 44d 1 0.48mi
1501 29th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 772 $800 $1.04 23d 1 0.54mi
920 47th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1070 $895 $0.84 3d 1 0.58mi
1309 41st St Fairfield, AL 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,200 $1.12 44d 1 0.59mi
813 46th St Fairfield, AL 2.0 1.0 1100 $825 $0.75 10d 1 0.65mi
1521 27th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,000 $0.89 44d 1 0.68mi
1616 28th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1081 $1,100 $1.02 44d 1 0.70mi
708 40th St Fairfield, AL 2.0 1.0 788 $650 $0.82 44d 1 0.71mi
621 Valley Rd Fairfield, AL 2.0 1.0 935 $900 $0.96 44d 1 0.71mi
4724 Court R Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1016 $895 $0.88 14d 1 0.74mi
3212 Avenue G Unit G Ensley, AL 2.0 1.0 902 $850 $0.94 44d 1 0.74mi
2610 Avenue P Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1014 $850 $0.84 44d 1 0.75mi
1609 Pike Rd Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.5 820 $800 $0.98 19d 5 0.81mi
3201 Avenue E Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.0 1056 $925 $0.88 44d 1 0.86mi
518 41st St Fairfield, AL 3.0 2.0 1095 $1,200 $1.10 44d 1 0.89mi
4813 Court S Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,125 $1.01 44d 1 0.92mi
5219 Court Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1082 $1,200 $1.11 19d 1 0.94mi
1781 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL 3.0 1.5 1069 $950 $0.89 44d 1 0.96mi
5516 Avenue P Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 888 $1,000 $1.13 44d 1 0.97mi
5211 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 756 $775 $1.03 44d 1 0.97mi
1521 22nd Street Ensley Unit B Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 750 $875 $1.17 23d 1 0.97mi
4929 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 962 $950 $0.99 44d 1 0.98mi
5320 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1116 $1,250 $1.12 44d 1 1.02mi
1045 57th St Birmingham, AL 1.0 1.0 700 $775 $1.11 44d 1 1.02mi
5714 Court M Unit 5720 Birmingham, AL 1.0 1.0 600 $700 $1.17 44d 1 1.03mi
3011 Avenue D Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1000 $795 $0.80 44d 1 1.03mi
3015 Avenue C Unit C Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 1000 $825 $0.82 44d 1 1.04mi
5710 Monte Sano Dr Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 44d 1 1.04mi
5712 Monte Sano Rd Birmingham, AL 2.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 44d 1 1.05mi
5717 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1029 $1,250 $1.21 44d 1 1.05mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $73,500 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    remarks 101-char remark
  3. 2026-06-16
    listed $73,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,032 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,032 · $86/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 59% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,836
− Mortgage interest
−$4,117
− Property taxes
−$1,032
− Insurance
−$368
− Repairs & maintenance
−$947
− Management
−$947
− Depreciation
−$2,138
Taxable income
$2,287
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$549
After-tax cash flow
$2,776/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
6,981
Household income
$30,739
Rent vs Own
63.9% rent · 36.1% own
Severe rent burden
621.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% Two or more races 17% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.54%
Current HPI
170.4053
Rent YoY
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+129.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $73,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 1986-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,032 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…