1337 Warrior Rd · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.59%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- ARV discount +3.4/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$73,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Call all your investors. This home is vacant and ready to sell. Very nice lot. 2 car detached garage.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1945
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property access via alley, paved road, and public road
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with front entry; Two garage spaces; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Gas and electric water heater options; Internet service available
- Home design: Existing single-family residence; Crawl space foundation
- Construction: Siding (other) exterior construction
- Exterior features: Open patio; Porch; Interior, irregular lot with some trees; No pool; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Vinyl floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window-unit cooling
- Interior features: Smooth ceilings; Hardwood and vinyl floors; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room with brick and tile details; No special built-in interior features noted
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry with washer hookup; Dryer hookups for both electric and gas
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($986 rent vs $74k).
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $508 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $74k implies a 130% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.16%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $67,375
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1428 35th St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 930 (+6%) | 13mo | $75,061 | $81 | 72 |
| 1529 30th St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 843 (-4%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $77 | 70 |
| 1105 Pike Rd | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (+1%) | 12mo | $13,000 | $15 | 69 |
| 1341 44th St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 892 (+2%) | 13mo | $88,052 | $99 | 69 |
| 4813 Terrace M | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 842 (-4%) | 12mo | $80,000 | $95 | 58 |
| 3015 Avenue H | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (+1%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $74 | 57 |
| 1541 30th Street Ensley | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 928 (+6%) | 6mo | $5,999 | $6 | 57 |
| 940 47th St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 916 (+5%) | 5mo | $49,000 | $53 | 57 |
| 4713 Avenue I | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (+11%) | 12mo | $19,000 | $20 | 41 |
| 705 40th St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 788 (-10%) | 11mo | $25,000 | $32 | 40 |
| 2600 Avenue L | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 988 (+13%) | 12mo | $82,750 | $84 | 36 |
| 3300 Avenue H | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 986 (+13%) | 13mo | $89,495 | $91 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $10,355
- Equity at exit
- $15,857
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $35,994
- Equity at exit
- $15,093
Cash invested: $20,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35218
- Home prices YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $986 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$385
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,032/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $277
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,375
- Closing costs
- $2,205
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1306 35th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,173 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1420 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1429 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $850 | $0.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1417 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1103 | $1,025 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1520 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,195 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1540 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 899 | $1,037 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1528 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,073 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 931 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $995 | $0.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1532 31st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $850 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1429 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $750 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1501 29th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $800 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 920 47th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $895 | $0.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1309 41st St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 813 46th St Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $825 | $0.75 | 10d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1521 27th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1616 28th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1081 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 708 40th St Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $650 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 621 Valley Rd Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $900 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4724 Court R Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $895 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3212 Avenue G Unit G Ensley, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $850 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2610 Avenue P Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $850 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1609 Pike Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 820 | $800 | $0.98 | 19d | 5 | 0.81mi |
| 3201 Avenue E Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $925 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 518 41st St Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1095 | $1,200 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4813 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,125 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5219 Court Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 19d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1781 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1069 | $950 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5516 Avenue P Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5211 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $775 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1521 22nd Street Ensley Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $875 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4929 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5320 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1045 57th St Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $775 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5714 Court M Unit 5720 Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $700 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3011 Avenue D Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $795 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3015 Avenue C Unit C Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $825 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5710 Monte Sano Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5712 Monte Sano Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5717 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $73,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 101-char remark
-
2026-06-16$73,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,032 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,032 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 59% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,836
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,117
- − Property taxes
- −$1,032
- − Insurance
- −$368
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$947
- − Management
- −$947
- − Depreciation
- −$2,138
- Taxable income
- $2,287
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$549
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,776/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,981
- Household income
- $30,739
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 621.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% Two or more races 17% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.54%
- Current HPI
- 170.4053
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+129.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $73,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1986-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,032 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…