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1796 Kolb Rd
C Composite 59.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

1796 Kolb Rd · Sumter, SC 29150
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,343 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 446 Days on market
Built 1967 0.60 ac lot Est $200k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is a very nice home. It is very clean. Fenced in back yard. Master bedroom that has a master bath off of it. This home includes a home warranty. Appliances include stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave. Washer and dryer hook ups.

Key facts

  • Storage shed
  • Fenced backyard
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTFENCED BACKYARDSTORAGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Residential single-family property; Single-story entry level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Porch; Fenced (other); Shed(s); Workshop; Has a view; Paved road with public maintenance

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Storm windows; Wood burning stove fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Crawl space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (3.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.4% in Sumter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#235 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Sumter 01 (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #64 of 80 in SC (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Manchester Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #553 of 597 statewide, top 95%, 383 students, 100% FRL); Furman Middle (math 9% / reading 23%, grade F, #196 of 229 statewide, top 87%, 729 students, 100% FRL); Lakewood High (math 12% / reading 67%, grade F, #180 of 196 statewide, top 93%, 1,036 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 386 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumter County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 446 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $139k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 446 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.22%
Cash-on-cash
6.87%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$200,107
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1839 Dunbarton Dr 0.40mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,354 (+1%) 21mo $169,900 $125 56
1612 Broome St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,312 (-2%) 13mo $215,000 $164 50
1611 Wheat St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,175 (-12%) 3mo $174,900 $149 44
1609 Wheat St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,175 (-12%) 5mo $174,900 $149 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.3%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-8,993
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$7,756
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29150

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,340 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$49 /mo · $585/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$223

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,058
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $301 -5% $262 +0% $223 +5% $183 +10% $144
Rent -10% $117 -5% $170 +0% $223 +5% $276 +10% $329
Rate -1.0pp $293 -0.5pp $258 base $223 +0.5pp $187 +1.0pp $150

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,000 Active 446 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 445 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 444 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 443 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 442 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,000 Active 440 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 439 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,000 Active 437 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 436 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 435 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 434 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 429 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 428 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 427 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,000 Active 426 DOM
  16. 2026-05-20
    status Active
  17. 2026-05-20
    price $139,000
  18. 2026-04-13
    status Pending
  19. 2026-01-12
    price $145,000
  20. 2025-10-28
    price $148,999
  21. 2025-08-11
    price $149,000
  22. 2025-06-24
    price $155,000
  23. 2025-03-14
    price $159,000
  24. 2025-02-21
    listed $165,000 Active
  25. 2013-07-17
    soldstatus $60,000
  26. 2013-07-10
    soldstatus $60,000 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    This is a very nice home. It is very clean. Fenced in back yard. Master bedroom that has a master bath off of it. This home includes a home warranty. Appliances include stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave. Washer and dryer hook ups.

  27. 2013-05-30
    listed $65,000 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    This is a very nice home. It is very clean. Fenced in back yard. Master bedroom that has a master bath off of it. This home includes a home warranty. Appliances include stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave. Washer and dryer hook ups.

  28. 2011-11-03
    soldstatus $50,000
  29. 2011-11-03
    soldstatus $50,000
  30. 2011-11-03
    soldstatus $50,000
  31. 2011-11-03
    soldstatus $50,000
  32. 2006-06-01
    soldstatus $68,900
  33. 2006-06-01
    soldstatus $68,900
  34. 2006-06-01
    soldstatus $68,900
  35. 2006-06-01
    soldstatus $68,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$585 · $49/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$792 · $66/mo
Expected delta
+$208/yr (+$17/mo · 35.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,077
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$585
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,286
− Management
−$1,286
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$395
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$95
After-tax cash flow
$2,579/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter 01
NCES district ID
4503902
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$40,423
Composite
19.45/100
National rank
#8775
State rank
#64 of 80 in SC

Livability — Sumter

Score
59/100
State rank
#235
US rank
#19754

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Sumter County · 76,912 people
City population
67,992
Metro
Sumter, SC
Population (ZIP)
38,538
Household income
$50,965
Rent vs Own
40.4% rent · 59.6% own
Severe rent burden
1136.0

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
104,585 people
By 2030
102,282 · -2.2%
By 2040
96,258 · -8.0%
By 2050
89,592 · -14.3%
By 2075
74,715 · -28.6%
By 2100
60,235 · -42.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 50% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.9% · R 47.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: 15.4pp · 2024: 4.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.9 2020: D+13.0 2016: D+12.0 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+15.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.16%
Current HPI
129.032
Rent YoY
▲ 2.55%
Metro
Sumter, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+101.7% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Relisted SBOR
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $139,000 SBOR
  • 2026-04-13 Pending SBOR
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $145,000 SBOR
  • 2025-10-28 Price Changed $148,999 SBOR
  • 2025-08-11 Price Changed $149,000 SBOR
  • 2025-06-24 Price Changed $155,000 SBOR
  • 2025-03-14 Price Changed $159,000 SBOR
  • 2025-02-21 Listed $165,000 SBOR
  • 2013-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2013-07-10 Sold (MLS) $60,000 SBOR
  • 2013-05-30 Listed $65,000 SBOR
  • 2011-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2011-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2011-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2011-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2006-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,900 Public Records
  • 2006-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,900 Public Records
  • 2006-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,900 Public Records
  • 2006-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $585 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…