1796 Kolb Rd · Sumter, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a very nice home. It is very clean. Fenced in back yard. Master bedroom that has a master bath off of it. This home includes a home warranty. Appliances include stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave. Washer and dryer hook ups.
Key facts
- Storage shed
- Fenced backyard
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential single-family property; Single-story entry level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Porch; Fenced (other); Shed(s); Workshop; Has a view; Paved road with public maintenance
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Storm windows; Wood burning stove fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Crawl space
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (3.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.4% in Sumter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#235 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Sumter 01 (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #64 of 80 in SC (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Manchester Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #553 of 597 statewide, top 95%, 383 students, 100% FRL); Furman Middle (math 9% / reading 23%, grade F, #196 of 229 statewide, top 87%, 729 students, 100% FRL); Lakewood High (math 12% / reading 67%, grade F, #180 of 196 statewide, top 93%, 1,036 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 64% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 386 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumter County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 446 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $139k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 446 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.87%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,107
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1839 Dunbarton Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,354 (+1%) | 21mo | $169,900 | $125 | 56 |
| 1612 Broome St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,312 (-2%) | 13mo | $215,000 | $164 | 50 |
| 1611 Wheat St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,175 (-12%) | 3mo | $174,900 | $149 | 44 |
| 1609 Wheat St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,175 (-12%) | 5mo | $174,900 | $149 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-8,993
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $7,756
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29150
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 376
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,340 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $585/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $223
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $301 | -5% $262 | +0% $223 | +5% $183 | +10% $144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $117 | -5% $170 | +0% $223 | +5% $276 | +10% $329 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $293 | -0.5pp $258 | base $223 | +0.5pp $187 | +1.0pp $150 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,000 Active 446 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 445 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 444 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 443 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 442 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,000 Active 440 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 439 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,000 Active 437 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 436 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 435 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 434 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 429 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 428 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $139,000 Active 426 DOM
-
2026-05-20status Active
-
2026-05-20price $139,000
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-01-12price $145,000
-
2025-10-28price $148,999
-
2025-08-11price $149,000
-
2025-06-24price $155,000
-
2025-03-14price $159,000
-
2025-02-21$165,000 Active
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2013-07-17soldstatus $60,000
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2013-07-10soldstatus $60,000 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
This is a very nice home. It is very clean. Fenced in back yard. Master bedroom that has a master bath off of it. This home includes a home warranty. Appliances include stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave. Washer and dryer hook ups.
-
2013-05-30$65,000 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
This is a very nice home. It is very clean. Fenced in back yard. Master bedroom that has a master bath off of it. This home includes a home warranty. Appliances include stove, dishwasher, refrigerator, and microwave. Washer and dryer hook ups.
-
2011-11-03soldstatus $50,000
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2011-11-03soldstatus $50,000
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2011-11-03soldstatus $50,000
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2011-11-03soldstatus $50,000
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2006-06-01soldstatus $68,900
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2006-06-01soldstatus $68,900
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2006-06-01soldstatus $68,900
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2006-06-01soldstatus $68,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $585 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $792 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- +$208/yr (+$17/mo · 35.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,077
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$585
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,286
- − Management
- −$1,286
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $395
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$95
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,579/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter 01
- NCES district ID
- 4503902
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,423
- Composite
- 19.45/100
- National rank
- #8775
- State rank
- #64 of 80 in SC
Livability — Sumter
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #235
- US rank
- #19754
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sumter County · 76,912 people
- City population
- 67,992
- Metro
- Sumter, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,538
- Household income
- $50,965
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1136.0
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 104,585 people
- By 2030
- 102,282 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 96,258 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 89,592 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 74,715 · -28.6%
- By 2100
- 60,235 · -42.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.9% · R 47.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: 15.4pp · 2024: 4.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.9 2020: D+13.0 2016: D+12.0 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+15.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.16%
- Current HPI
- 129.032
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.55%
- Metro
- Sumter, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+101.7% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Relisted — SBOR
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $139,000 SBOR
- 2026-04-13 Pending — SBOR
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $145,000 SBOR
- 2025-10-28 Price Changed $148,999 SBOR
- 2025-08-11 Price Changed $149,000 SBOR
- 2025-06-24 Price Changed $155,000 SBOR
- 2025-03-14 Price Changed $159,000 SBOR
- 2025-02-21 Listed $165,000 SBOR
- 2013-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2013-07-10 Sold (MLS) $60,000 SBOR
- 2013-05-30 Listed $65,000 SBOR
- 2011-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2011-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2011-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2011-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,900 Public Records
- 2006-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,900 Public Records
- 2006-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,900 Public Records
- 2006-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $585 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…