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3527 NE 168th St #409 🌊 Lakefront
D+ Composite 47.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Cash flow +9.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$249,000

3527 NE 168th St #409 · North Miami Beach, FL 33160
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 970 sqft · Condo public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1975 $1250/mo HOA · 35% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful 2B2B apartment for rent in Eastern Shores. This fully remodeled unit features a modern kitchen with quartz countertops, abundant cabinetry. The home also includes updated bathrooms with walk-in showers, recent electrical panel, air conditioner, and water heater. Residents enjoy a variety of amenities, including a shuttle service, nearby restaurants, and a vibrant community atmosphere. Ideally located just minutes from Bal Harbour, Aventura Mall, and the beautiful beaches of Sunny Isles. You can also enjoy shopping and relaxing at the nearby Intracoastal Mall. A wonderful opportunity to live in one of the area’s most desirable locations.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Updated bathrooms
  • Abundant cabinetry

Tags

MODERN KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSABUNDANT CABINETRYUPDATED BATHROOMSWALK-IN SHOWERSRECENT ELECTRICAL PANEL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Annual tax amount available
  • Financial info: Lease considered; Pets allowed with restrictions or possible restrictions (conditional)
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $1,250; HOA includes amenities, common areas, insurance, grounds maintenance, pool(s), recreation facilities, roof, and security; Association provides trash service and elevators

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned covered parking; 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car garage
  • Security: Key card entry; Lobby secured; Phone entry
  • Home design: Attached property; 4 total stories; Entry on level 4; Updated/remodeled condition
  • Construction: Block construction
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony/patio

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Furnished; Entrance foyer; Sitting area in primary

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $249k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-608 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (43.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $249k).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (43.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,621/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 16 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $185k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 35% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,523 (43.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  11. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  12. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  13. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  14. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  15. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
5.42%
Cash-on-cash
-3.13%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-46,028
Equity at exit
$78,931
10-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
-0.07×
Total profit
$-74,477
Equity at exit
$100,346

Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33160

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
1870
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,621 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,306
Tax from tax record
$383 /mo · $4,596/yr
Insurance
$104
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$1,250
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$760
Net cashflow
$-608

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,391
Max offer price $141,523
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,250
Closing costs
$7,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$1,250 · $15,000/yr
Likely covers
waterelectric
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,000 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,000 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,000 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,000 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,000 Active 37 DOM
  14. 2026-05-20
    price $2,200
  15. 2026-04-24
    listed $249,000 Active
  16. 2026-03-14
    listed $2,490
  17. 2026-02-23
    historical
  18. 2026-02-02
    listed $259,900 Active
  19. 2026-01-26
    historical
  20. 2025-11-13
    price $299,500
  21. 2025-03-10
    listed $318,900 Active
  22. 2025-03-10
    historical
  23. 2025-01-13
    price $318,900
  24. 2024-07-02
    price $329,000
  25. 2024-07-02
    status Active
  26. 2024-05-21
    price $339,000
  27. 2024-03-14
    listed $349,000 Active
  28. 2022-12-21
    soldstatus $185,000
  29. 2022-12-14
    soldstatus $185,000 Closed
  30. 2022-11-30
    historical Active Under Contract
  31. 2022-10-31
    price $209,990
  32. 2022-10-25
    listed $215,000 Active
  33. 2022-09-14
    historical
  34. 2022-05-31
    historical Active Under Contract
  35. 2022-05-25
    listed $115,000 Active
  36. 2022-04-06
    historical
  37. 2022-04-05
    status Active
  38. 2022-04-05
    price $220,000
  39. 2022-03-21
    historical Active Under Contract
  40. 2022-03-21
    status Active
  41. 2022-02-18
    listed $195,000 Active
  42. 2017-09-28
    historical
  43. 2017-08-28
    listed $149,500 Active
  44. 2017-08-10
    historical
  45. 2017-08-10
    status Pending
  46. 2017-07-21
    price $152,000
  47. 2017-07-19
    price $159,000
  48. 2017-06-07
    price $165,000
  49. 2017-05-31
    price $167,000
  50. 2017-05-24
    price $169,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,596 · $383/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,596 · $383/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,453
− Mortgage interest
−$13,948
− Property taxes
−$4,596
− Insurance
−$6,364
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,476
− Management
−$3,476
− HOA
−$15,000
− Depreciation
−$7,244
Taxable loss
−$10,650
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,556
After-tax cash flow
$-4,745/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Miami Beach

Score
82/100
State rank
#71
US rank
#1177

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Miami Beach, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
34,147
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
43,718
Household income
$67,040
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
3106.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.53%
Current HPI
284.9293
Rent YoY
▲ 0.94%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.6% since first listed
48 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $2,200 MARMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $249,000 MARMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Listed for Rent $2,490 MARMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $259,900 MARMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $299,500 MARMLS
  • 2025-03-10 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2025-03-10 Listed $318,900 MARMLS
  • 2025-01-13 Price Changed $318,900 MARMLS
  • 2024-07-02 Price Changed $329,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-07-02 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2024-05-21 Price Changed $339,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-03-14 Listed $349,000 MARMLS
  • 2022-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2022-12-14 Sold (MLS) $185,000 MARMLS
  • 2022-11-30 Contingent MARMLS
  • 2022-10-31 Price Changed $209,990 MARMLS
  • 2022-10-25 Listed $215,000 MARMLS
  • 2022-09-14 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2022-05-31 Contingent MARMLS
  • 2022-05-25 Listed $115,000 MARMLS
  • 2022-04-06 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2022-04-05 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2022-04-05 Price Changed $220,000 MARMLS
  • 2022-03-21 Contingent MARMLS
  • 2022-03-21 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2022-02-18 Listed $195,000 MARMLS
  • 2017-09-28 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2017-08-28 Listed $149,500 MARMLS
  • 2017-08-10 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2017-08-10 Pending MARMLS
  • 2017-07-21 Price Changed $152,000 MARMLS
  • 2017-07-19 Price Changed $159,000 MARMLS
  • 2017-06-07 Price Changed $165,000 MARMLS
  • 2017-05-31 Price Changed $167,000 MARMLS
  • 2017-05-24 Price Changed $169,500 MARMLS
  • 2017-05-05 Listed $174,500 MARMLS
  • 2016-01-20 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2016-01-12 Listed $169,500 MARMLS
  • 2015-12-22 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2015-12-18 Price Changed $169,500 MARMLS
  • 2015-10-15 Listed $169,900 MARMLS
  • 2015-04-28 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MARMLS
  • 2015-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2014-11-02 Price Changed $149,900 MARMLS
  • 2014-10-09 Price Changed $155,000 MARMLS
  • 2014-08-27 Listed $160,000 MARMLS

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,596 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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