1009 Nettie St · Arnaudville, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,580
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits in this one bedroom, one bath home with carport parking. There is also a workshop situated on this 1.44 acre +/- property. Take a look and see if this may be your next investment.
Key facts
- Carport parking
- Workshop
- 1.44 acre property
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 1.44 acres
- Financial info: Not specified
- HOA & community: Not specified
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport with two parking spaces
- Security: Not specified
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer served by treatment plant
- Home design: Single-story; Frame construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation
- Construction: Built with frame construction; Metal roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Property located outside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Not specified
- Bedrooms: Not specified
- Flooring: Not specified
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; Average condition
- Laundry & utility: Not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#52 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- St. Martin Parish (rural): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #49 of 98 in LA (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in St. Martin Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $682 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Martin County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.96%
- DSCR
- 2.07
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $134,029
- List price
- $98,580
- Delta
- -26.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1171 Coteau Rodaire Hwy | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,254 (+6%) | 4mo | $113,000 | $90 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $11,221
- Equity at exit
- $14,699
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $44,987
- Equity at exit
- $8,523
Cash invested: $27,602 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70512
- Home prices YoY
- -28.6%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,502 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$517
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $925/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $426
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $482 | -5% $454 | +0% $426 | +5% $398 | +10% $370 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $307 | -5% $367 | +0% $426 | +5% $485 | +10% $544 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $476 | -0.5pp $451 | base $426 | +0.5pp $400 | +1.0pp $374 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,645
- Closing costs
- $2,957
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $98,580 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $98,580 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $98,580 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $98,580 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $98,580 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $98,580 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $98,580 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,580 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $98,580 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,580 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $98,580 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $98,580 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,580 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,580 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $98,580 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11$98,580 Active 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Opportunity awaits in this one bedroom, one bath home with carport parking. There is also a workshop situated on this 1.44 acre +/- property. Take a look and see if this may be your next investment.
-
2026-05-11$98,580 Active 198-char remark
Show marketing remark (198 chars)
Opportunity awaits in this one bedroom, one bath home with carport parking. There is also a workshop situated on this 1.44 acre +/- property. Take a look and see if this may be your next investment.
-
2021-06-02soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $925 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $925 · $77/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone A · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,018
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,522
- − Property taxes
- −$925
- − Insurance
- −$1,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,441
- − Management
- −$1,441
- − Depreciation
- −$2,868
- Taxable income
- $3,825
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$918
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,192/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Martin Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201590
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -44.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -36.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,813
- Composite
- 23.41/100
- National rank
- #7897
- State rank
- #49 of 98 in LA
Livability — Arnaudville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #7309
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,703
Population outlook (St. Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 57,446 people
- By 2030
- 58,857 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 60,859 · +5.9%
- By 2050
- 61,419 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 61,574 · +7.2%
- By 2100
- 57,253 · -0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 21% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 10% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.7) · D 29.1% · R 69.8% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -40.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.7 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+24.5 2008: R+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.35%
- Current HPI
- 132.9236
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+31.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $98,580 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $98,580 GSREIN
- 2021-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2025): $925 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…