117 Renwick St · Newburgh, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable single family brick 3-bedroom detached home on two levels in City of Newburgh with small rear yard, sidewalks and all municipal services. Walking distance to George Washington Headquarters, Newburgh Brewing Company, a variety of restaurants & shops, the Newburgh waterfront & bluff overlooking the Hudson River and Mt. Beacon. House has a newer roof, and newer mechanicals. This home can also be sold as a package along with 119/121 Renwick next to each other for $700,000.
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Newer mechanicals
- Sidewalks
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (8.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (6.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.4% in Newburgh — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#878 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing B+, cost of living B; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Newburgh City School District (suburban): math 33% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #500 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Newburgh Free Academy (math 76% / reading 85%, grade A, #506 of 1,100 statewide, top 46%, 3,433 students, 56% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 80% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+40 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Newburgh City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 384 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,746 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (1,265 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask is 25% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.01%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $337,804
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -25.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55 Henry Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (+2%) | 16mo | $370,000 | $251 | 70 |
| 61 Beacon St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,501 (+4%) | 14mo | $350,449 | $233 | 66 |
| 90 Beacon St | 0.23mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,440 (0%) | 22mo | $284,000 | $197 | 66 |
| 86 Beacon St | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,443 (+0%) | 22mo | $347,500 | $241 | 62 |
| 17 Overlook Pl | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-14%) | 16mo | $425,000 | $345 | 56 |
| 38 E Parmenter St | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,608 (+12%) | 11mo | $280,000 | $174 | 54 |
| 80 Carter St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,410 (-2%) | 16mo | $215,000 | $152 | 49 |
| 142 W Parmenter St | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,324 (-8%) | 21mo | $185,000 | $140 | 44 |
| 108 Laurel Dr | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,308 (-9%) | 12mo | $401,000 | $307 | 36 |
| 255 Walsh Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,270 (-12%) | 19mo | $270,000 | $213 | 34 |
| 28 Blanche Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,320 (-8%) | 20mo | $265,000 | $201 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-53,230
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- -25.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.09×
- Total profit
- $-76,504
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12550
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 384
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,333 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$545 /mo · $6,541/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$490
- Net cashflow
- $-117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $24 | -5% $-46 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-188 | +10% $-259 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-301 | -5% $-209 | +0% $-117 | +5% $-25 | +10% $67 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $9 | -0.5pp $-54 | base $-117 | +0.5pp $-182 | +1.0pp $-248 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Benkard Ave Unit 1 Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,750 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 22 Overlook Pl Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1013 | $2,000 | $1.97 | 23d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 81 Liberty Street Washington Hts Unit 2 Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1362 | $2,950 | $2.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 44 Johnes St Unit 108-J Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,950 | $2.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 33 Bay View Ter Unit 1 Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,200 | $2.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 196 Carson Ave Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $2,200 | $1.85 | 45d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 28 Hasbrouck St Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1188 | $2,700 | $2.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4 Grand St Unit 3 Newburgh, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $3,925 | $2.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4 Grand St Unit 1 Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,400 | $2.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 42 Hasbrouck St Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $2,550 | $2.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 177 W Parmenter St Unit 1 Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 167 Liberty St Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 52 S Miller St Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 889 | $1,900 | $2.14 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 51 Lander St Unit 1 Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 57 Lander St Unit B Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 259 1st St Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 883 | $2,000 | $2.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 276 Temple Hill Rd #2215 Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $2,100 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 160 N Miller St #1 Newburgh, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 193 South St Unit 2 Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,415 | $2.01 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 109 Myrtle Ave New Windsor, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $2,200 | $2.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 457 1st St Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1680 | $2,950 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 9 Arlington Pl Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 268 Carpenter Ave Unit 1 Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,600 | $2.74 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 317 Grand St Unit 1-1 Newburgh, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,200 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 171 West St Newburgh, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1299 | $2,800 | $2.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1000 Copper Ct New Windsor, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $2,600 | $1.87 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $250,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $250,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $250,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $250,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2025-10-21$200,000 Active 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
Affordable single family brick 3-bedroom detached home on two levels in City of Newburgh with small rear yard, sidewalks and all municipal services. Walking distance to George Washington Headquarters, Newburgh Brewing Company, a variety of restaurants & shops, the Newburgh waterfront & bluff overlooking the Hudson River and Mt. Beacon. House has a newer roof, and newer mechanicals. This home can also be sold as a package along with 119/121 Renwick next to each other for $700,000.
-
2025-08-19historical
-
2025-07-17$220,000 Active
-
2025-06-15historical
-
2025-02-15price $220,000
-
2024-12-17$250,000 Active
-
2017-05-12soldstatus $575,000
-
2013-12-18price $12,000
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2005-06-16soldstatus $95,000
-
2005-05-03soldstatus $95,000
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2005-04-22historical
-
2005-04-22price $99,000
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2005-03-21$95,000
-
2000-01-19soldstatus $13,000
-
1999-12-20historical
-
1998-12-05$13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,541 · $545/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,541 · $545/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,996
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$6,541
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,240
- − Management
- −$2,240
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$5,550
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,332
- After-tax cash flow
- $-74/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newburgh City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620700
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,387
- Composite
- 35.46/100
- National rank
- #4927
- State rank
- #500 of 590 in NY
Livability — Newburgh
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #878
- US rank
- #17021
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Newburgh, NY
- County
- Orange County · 267,004 people
- City population
- 55,152
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,152
- Household income
- $85,697
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2412.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 379,830 people
- By 2030
- 378,955 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 375,444 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 369,311 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 354,233 · -6.7%
- By 2100
- 318,150 · -16.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% White 36% Black 20% Two or more races 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 10% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 30% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.4) · D 45.8% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+6.5 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+4.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.93%
- Current HPI
- 304.1046
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.63%
- Metro
- Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+1438.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-21 Listed $200,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-19 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-17 Listed $220,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-15 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-15 Price Changed $220,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-17 Listed $250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $575,000 Public Records
- 2013-12-18 Price Changed $12,000 HGMLS
- 2005-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2005-05-03 Sold (MLS) $95,000 HGMLS
- 2005-04-22 Price Changed $99,000 HGMLS
- 2005-04-22 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2005-03-21 Listed $95,000 HGMLS
- 2000-01-19 Sold (MLS) $13,000 HGMLS
- 1999-12-20 Delisted — HGMLS
- 1998-12-05 Listed $13,000 HGMLS
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $6,541 · -3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…