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7 Cobber Ln
B- Composite 67.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

7 Cobber Ln · Baltimore, MD 21229
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,088 sqft · Townhouse public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1989 6,970 sqft lot Est $151k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THIS HOME IS A SHOWCASE AND THE PRICE IS RIGHT SO COME ON DOWN. REMODELED KITCHEN FEATURING EUROPEAN CABINETRY, MOSAIC GLASS BACKSPLASH, BEAUTIFUL TILE FLOOR, NEW S/S APPLIANCES. MAPLE LAM FLOORS ON MAIN LEVEL WITH NEW W/ W CARPET IN BEDROOMS. ULTRA MODERN BATH HIGHLIGHTED BY TRAVERTINE FLOORS GLASS VESSEL ON MARBLE VANITY TOP. DECK IN REAR. LOCATED IN GREAT NEIGHBORHOOD. OVERBIDDING IS IMPOSSIBLE

Key facts

  • Built 1989
  • Listed 11 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction; Foundation listed as other; Above-grade and below-grade structures
  • Exterior features: No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level; One bedroom on the lower level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Electric heating and cooling; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Living area reported by assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Elmer A. Henderson: A Johns Hopkins Partnership (math 2% / reading 16%, grade F, #650 of 860 statewide, top 77%, 642 students, 80% FRL); Baltimore Polytechnic Institute (math 71% / reading 84%, grade A-, #22 of 222 statewide, top 10%, 1,555 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 79% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 12% district-wide (+32 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Baltimore City Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 256 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
9.62%
Cash-on-cash
11.87%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$151,232
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
118 Upmanor Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,024 (-6%) 2mo $235,000 $229 73
44 N Athol Ave 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,224 (+12%) 3mo $121,600 $99 69
377 Marydell Rd 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (-4%) 2mo $145,000 $139 67
209 Mount Holly St 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,080 (-1%) 2mo $228,000 $211 66
38 Hillvale Rd 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,224 (+12%) 3mo $160,000 $131 65
48 Hillvale Rd 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,224 (+12%) 2mo $180,000 $147 64
40 Hillvale Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,224 (+12%) 2mo $230,000 $188 62
107 N Monastery Ave 0.66mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,080 (-1%) 2mo $65,000 $60 59
4413 Parkton St 0.57mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,120 (+3%) 3mo $130,000 $116 59
4400 Manorview Rd 0.23mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,224 (+12%) 4mo $240,000 $196 56
133 N Monastery Ave 0.70mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,080 (-1%) 3mo $142,000 $131 55
708 Woodington Rd S 0.71mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,120 (+3%) 1mo $100,000 $89 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$6,197
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
15.8%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$54,407
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21229

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
256
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,716 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$218 /mo · $2,611/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$374

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,243
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $450 -5% $412 +0% $374 +5% $336 +10% $297
Rent -10% $238 -5% $306 +0% $374 +5% $442 +10% $509
Rate -1.0pp $442 -0.5pp $408 base $374 +0.5pp $339 +1.0pp $303

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2 N Woodington Rd Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 738 $1,335 $1.81 5d 5 0.09mi
2 S Woodington Rd Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 856 $1,160 $1.36 17d 1 0.09mi
111 Upmanor Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1224 $2,163 $1.77 45d 1 0.24mi
4018 Massachusetts Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 26d 1 0.28mi
212 S Loudon Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1310 $1,550 $1.18 45d 1 0.33mi
4601 Pen Lucy Rd Unit 4718-F Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 879 $1,225 $1.39 4d 1 0.34mi
4601 Pen Lucy Rd Unit 103-H Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 798 $1,315 $1.65 26d 1 0.34mi
4601 Pen Lucy Rd Unit 4714-B Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 730 $1,205 $1.65 17d 1 0.34mi
4601 Pen Lucy Rd Unit 4615-G Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 798 $1,200 $1.50 24d 1 0.35mi
304 Collins Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1016 $2,100 $2.07 45d 1 0.36mi
19 S Tremont Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,850 $1.37 45d 1 0.38mi
2 S Tremont Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,800 $1.24 13d 1 0.40mi
2 S Tremont Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,800 $1.24 26d 1 0.40mi
219 Atholgate Ln Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 814 $1,500 $1.84 5d 2 0.47mi
4520 Scarlet Oak Ln Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1025 $1,500 $1.46 45d 1 0.51mi
4301 Parkton St Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 730 $1,550 $2.12 45d 1 0.52mi
402 Colleen Rd Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 910 $1,450 $1.59 4d 11 0.55mi
114 S Rock Glen Rd Baltimore, MD 4.0 1.5 1160 $2,350 $2.03 14d 1 0.60mi
4431 Eldone Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 896 $2,000 $2.23 26d 1 0.60mi
500 Lucia Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1472 $2,100 $1.43 18d 1 0.65mi
3607 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,895 $1.80 6d 1 0.69mi
3706 W Franklin St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 735 $1,100 $1.50 6d 1 0.72mi
501 Hazlett Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1044 $1,750 $1.68 0d 8 0.73mi
738 Yale Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1346 $1,900 $1.41 26d 1 0.75mi
5147 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,950 $1.60 5d 1 0.75mi
565 Brisbane Rd Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1146 $1,675 $1.46 26d 1 0.77mi
751 Yale Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1024 $1,750 $1.71 45d 1 0.79mi
4020 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,875 $1.48 45d 1 0.79mi
586 Lucia Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1178 $2,100 $1.78 20d 1 0.79mi
3336 W Caton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,625 $1.31 26d 1 0.80mi
41 N Kossuth St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,800 $1.48 26d 1 0.80mi
3310 Elbert St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 920 $1,550 $1.68 26d 1 0.81mi
627 Lucia Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 892 $1,750 $1.96 26d 1 0.84mi
405 N Edgewood St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1408 $2,750 $1.95 0d 1 0.84mi
917 Kevin Rd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1151 $1,795 $1.56 4d 1 0.86mi
613 S Beechfield Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1080 $1,950 $1.81 45d 1 0.86mi
3712 Gelston Dr Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,500 $2.00 26d 1 0.88mi
3507 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1428 $2,300 $1.61 45d 1 0.89mi
623 N Grantley St Baltimore, MD 4.0 2.0 1250 $2,000 $1.60 26d 1 0.91mi
643 S Wickham Rd Baltimore, MD 2.0 3.0 896 $1,800 $2.01 0d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  12. 2026-06-02
    listed $135,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,611 · $218/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,611 · $218/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,592
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,611
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,647
− Management
−$1,647
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$2,522
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$605
After-tax cash flow
$3,881/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
46,679
Household income
$60,047
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
2776.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -259.07%
Current HPI
226.896
Rent YoY
▲ 5.38%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+87.3% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Coming Soon $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $134,900 Public Records
  • 2009-10-20 Delisted MRIS
  • 2009-10-19 Sold (MLS) $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-10-19 Sold (MLS) $134,900 MRIS
  • 2009-10-19 Price Changed $134,990 MRIS
  • 2009-10-10 Relisted MRIS
  • 2009-10-10 Price Changed $139,990 MRIS
  • 2009-09-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-08-23 Delisted MRIS
  • 2009-08-23 Price Changed $134,900 MRIS
  • 2009-08-16 Price Changed $129,900 MRIS
  • 2009-08-11 Relisted MRIS
  • 2009-06-07 Delisted MRIS
  • 2009-04-23 Listed $134,990 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-04-23 Price Changed $139,900 MRIS
  • 2009-04-23 Listed $159,000 MRIS
  • 1997-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $66,500 Public Records
  • 1997-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $66,500 Public Records
  • 1997-08-27 Sold (MLS) $66,000 MRIS
  • 1997-07-16 Delisted MRIS
  • 1997-04-22 Listed $68,000 MRIS
  • 1989-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $72,095 Public Records
  • 1989-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $72,095 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,611 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…