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1617 Coal St
D Composite 43.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$20,000

1617 Coal St · Wilkinsburg, PA 15221
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,564 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1900 3,001 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special with massive upside potential in Pittsburgh’s growing East End corridor. 1617 Coal St is a full rehab opportunity ideal for experienced investors, flippers, or landlords looking to add value. Property requires substantial renovation but offers strong ARV potential and convenient access to I-376, Downtown Pittsburgh, shopping, and public transportation. Great opportunity to customize and maximize returns in an area seeing continued redevelopment and demand. Being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Strong arv potential
  • 3,001 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900

Tags

FULL REHAB OPPORTUNITYSTRONG ARV POTENTIALCONVENIENT ACCESS TO I-376

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax approximately $186

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story frame house; Resale property
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Small lot (approximately 0.069 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $20k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 77.7% vs local median 11.3% in Wilkinsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#411 in PA, #3,754 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, crime F.
  • Wilkinsburg Borough SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #503 of 539 in PA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $19,700 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
8.35%
Cap rate
77.75%
Cash-on-cash
255.20%
DSCR
12.35
GRM
1.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$107,916
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1117 James St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-3%) 6mo $147,325 $97 78
1446 Center St 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,478 (-6%) 12mo $65,000 $44 74
1459 Foliage St 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,500 (-4%) 12mo $18,000 $12 73
615 Singer Pl 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,550 (-1%) 10mo $29,500 $19 67
1205 Glenn Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,750 (+12%) 14mo $65,000 $37 54
110 Kilmer St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,580 (+1%) 14mo $159,900 $101 53
623 Haverhill St 0.41mi 3/2.5 1,374 (-12%) 5mo $137,500 $100 50
528 North Ave 0.48mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,630 (+4%) 16mo $105,000 $64 50
1838 Montier St 0.46mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,417 (-9%) 15mo $26,500 $19 45
1334 Franklin Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,736 (+11%) 10mo $120,000 $69 38
1305 Franklin Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,380 (-12%) 16mo $128,800 $93 36
615 Midland St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,356 (-13%) 10mo $160,000 $118 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.23×
Total profit
$74,086
Equity at exit
$2,982
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
31.06×
Total profit
$168,348
Equity at exit
$1,729

Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15221

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
118
Price-to-rent
1.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,670 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$105
Tax from tax record
$16 /mo · $186/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$1,191

Break-even live

Break-even rent $163
Max offer price $20,000
Occupancy floor 24%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,000
Closing costs
$600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
515 Hill Ave Pittsburgh, PA 4.0 1.0 1628 $1,300 $0.80 43d 1 0.43mi
1148 East St Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 3.0 1738 $1,700 $0.98 43d 1 0.49mi
745 Franklin Ave Pittsburgh, PA 4.0 2.0 1948 $1,599 $0.82 43d 1 0.62mi
1962 McNary Blvd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1517 $1,545 $1.02 7d 1 0.78mi
7534 Penn Bridge Ct Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 2.0 1259 $1,750 $1.39 43d 1 0.80mi
2031 Chalfant St Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.5 1150 $1,950 $1.70 43d 1 0.81mi
600 Kelly Ave Pittsburgh, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 968 $1,350 $1.39 3d 3 0.81mi
565 Ardmore Blvd Pittsburgh, PA 4.0 1.0 1368 $1,450 $1.06 10d 1 0.84mi
826 Walnut St Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1270 $1,195 $0.94 43d 1 0.88mi
7215 Beacon Hill Dr Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 2.0 1259 $1,795 $1.43 4d 1 0.88mi
8606 Westwood Rd Pittsburgh, PA 4.0 1.0 1596 $1,425 $0.89 43d 1 0.90mi
519-521 S Trenton Ave Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.5 1360 $2,600 $1.91 16d 1 0.94mi
1250 Blackadore Ave Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,750 $1.22 23d 1 0.95mi
8918 Frankstown Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,907 $1.36 14d 1 0.98mi
407 Biddle Ave #3 Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 43d 1 1.03mi
8612 Oakcrest Rd Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1218 $1,450 $1.19 23d 1 1.09mi
100 Bryn Mawr Ct W Pittsburgh, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 975 $1,904 $1.95 3d 15 1.10mi
442 Locust St Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1600 $2,600 $1.62 3d 1 1.15mi
648 Southern Ave Penn Hills, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 7d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $20,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $20,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $30,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $30,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $30,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $30,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    pricedays on market $30,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-28
    listed $45,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$186 · $16/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$251 · $21/mo
Expected delta
+$65/yr (+$5/mo · 34.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,045
− Mortgage interest
−$1,120
− Property taxes
−$186
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,604
− Management
−$1,604
− Depreciation
−$582
Taxable income
$14,850
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,564
After-tax cash flow
$10,727/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wilkinsburg Borough SD
NCES district ID
4226370
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$32,204
Composite
14.94/100
National rank
#9368
State rank
#503 of 539 in PA

Livability — Wilkinsburg

Score
76/100
State rank
#411
US rank
#3754

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wilkinsburg, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
29,513
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
29,374
Household income
$55,028
Rent vs Own
55.3% rent · 44.7% own
Severe rent burden
1933.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 43% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.77%
Current HPI
230.0486
Rent YoY
▲ 3.86%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $45,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2015): $186 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…