CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #7
B- Composite 68.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.9/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,950

5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #7 · Clearlake, CA 95422
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured · 15 Days on market
Built 1969 Good condition Est $30k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully updated 1969 Sahara mobile home offering a perfect blend of modern updates and classic charm. Featuring 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home has been thoughtfully renovated to provide comfort, functionality, and style throughout. Enjoy an inviting living space with updated finishes, a functional layout, and plenty of natural light. The affordable space rent of just $595 per month makes this an excellent opportunity for budget-conscious buyers seeking quality and value. Located in a well-established community, this home offers convenient living at an attainable price point. Don't miss your chance to make this move-in ready home yours!

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1969
  • Listed 15 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located at 5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #7, Clearlake, CA 95422
  • Financial info: Land lease fee required ($595)
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 assigned parking spaces
  • Utilities: Individual electric meter; Public sewer; Public water
  • Home design: Manufactured in park; Updated/remodeled; Built in 1969
  • Construction: Metal skirting; Manufacturer: Sahara; Make: Home Systems Inc.
  • Exterior features: Located in a manufactured-home park; Single wide home; Land lease in place ($595)

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen features listed
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Tub with shower over
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Pets allowed
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $530 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($933 rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.5% vs local median 3.8% in Clearlake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#549 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Konocti Unified (town): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #494 of 517 in CA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 292 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 107 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $208 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $898 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $29,500 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.11%
Cap rate
27.52%
Cash-on-cash
75.81%
DSCR
4.37
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$30,240
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #7 0.00mi 2/1.5 720 (0%) 1mo $29,950 $42 99
5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #47 0.00mi 2/1.5 720 (0%) 16mo $28,000 $39 86
5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #43 0.00mi 2/1.5 672 (-7%) 7mo $29,000 $43 83
5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #10 0.00mi 2/1.5 720 (0%) 22mo $25,000 $35 82
5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #14 0.00mi 2/2.5 768 (+7%) 10mo $22,000 $29 76
5545 Old Hwy 53 #7 0.04mi 2/1.0 784 (+9%) 7mo $29,000 $37 75
5545 Old Hwy 53 #6 0.04mi 2/1.0 672 (-7%) 16mo $22,000 $33 72
5845 Old Highway 53 #8 0.16mi 1/1.0 (-1) 728 (+1%) 21mo $49,000 $67 66
5828 Vallejo Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 712 (-1%) 10mo $60,000 $84 66
5922 Cottage Ave 0.22mi 2/1.0 768 (+7%) 23mo $93,000 $121 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
75.7%
Equity multiple
4.45×
Total profit
$28,904
Equity at exit
$4,466
10-year hold
IRR
79.4%
Equity multiple
9.19×
Total profit
$68,675
Equity at exit
$2,590

Cash invested: $8,386 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 95422

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Active inventory
292
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$933 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax est. 1.5%
$37 /mo · $449/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$196
Net cashflow
$530

Break-even live

Break-even rent $262
Max offer price $29,950
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,488
Closing costs
$898
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5735 Old Highway 53 Unit 07 Cottage (Park Owned) Clearlake, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $900 $1.50 21d 1 0.07mi
5935 Old Highway 53 Unit D Clearlake, CA 2.0 2.0 700 $1,000 $1.43 21d 1 0.20mi
7665 Cache Creek Way Apt A Clearlake, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $850 $1.42 21d 1 1.38mi

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 32 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,191
− Mortgage interest
−$1,678
− Property taxes
−$449
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$895
− Management
−$895
− Depreciation
−$871
Taxable income
$6,253
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,501
After-tax cash flow
$4,857/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 1969 Sahara mobile home is in good condition with cosmetic updates, offering a blend of modern updates and classic charm. It is move-in ready and presents a great opportunity for budget-conscious buyers seeking quality and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A modern HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding a small deck or patio — An outdoor living space can increase the home's appeal and functionality, boosting both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern bathrooms can improve the home's overall appeal and functionality, boosting both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A modern HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers and renters.
  • Both Adding a small deck or patio — An outdoor living space can increase the home's appeal and functionality, boosting both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive, enhancing both resale and rental value.
  • Both Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern bathrooms can improve the home's overall appeal and functionality, boosting both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Konocti Unified
NCES district ID
0620070
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$30,026
Composite
11.81/100
National rank
#9677
State rank
#494 of 517 in CA

Livability — Clearlake

Score
61/100
State rank
#549
US rank
#18284

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clearlake, CA
Population (ZIP)
17,101

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,396 people
By 2030
60,626 · -2.8%
By 2040
56,453 · -9.5%
By 2050
53,054 · -15.0%
By 2075
47,663 · -23.6%
By 2100
41,804 · -33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 1% Russian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 49.2% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 19.3pp · 2024: -1.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.4 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+3.7 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.47%
Current HPI
248.654
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…