5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #7 · Clearlake, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 32 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 33 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,950
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully updated 1969 Sahara mobile home offering a perfect blend of modern updates and classic charm. Featuring 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, this home has been thoughtfully renovated to provide comfort, functionality, and style throughout. Enjoy an inviting living space with updated finishes, a functional layout, and plenty of natural light. The affordable space rent of just $595 per month makes this an excellent opportunity for budget-conscious buyers seeking quality and value. Located in a well-established community, this home offers convenient living at an attainable price point. Don't miss your chance to make this move-in ready home yours!
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1969
- Listed 15 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located at 5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #7, Clearlake, CA 95422
- Financial info: Land lease fee required ($595)
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 2 assigned parking spaces
- Utilities: Individual electric meter; Public sewer; Public water
- Home design: Manufactured in park; Updated/remodeled; Built in 1969
- Construction: Metal skirting; Manufacturer: Sahara; Make: Home Systems Inc.
- Exterior features: Located in a manufactured-home park; Single wide home; Land lease in place ($595)
Interior
- Kitchen: No kitchen features listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Tub with shower over
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Pets allowed
- Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $530 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($933 rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $30k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.5% vs local median 3.8% in Clearlake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#549 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Konocti Unified (town): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #494 of 517 in CA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 292 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 107 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $208 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $898 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 75.81%
- DSCR
- 4.37
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $30,240
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #7 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 720 (0%) | 1mo | $29,950 | $42 | 99 |
| 5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #47 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 720 (0%) | 16mo | $28,000 | $39 | 86 |
| 5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #43 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 672 (-7%) | 7mo | $29,000 | $43 | 83 |
| 5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #10 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 720 (0%) | 22mo | $25,000 | $35 | 82 |
| 5575 Old Highway 53 Hwy #14 | 0.00mi | 2/2.5 | 768 (+7%) | 10mo | $22,000 | $29 | 76 |
| 5545 Old Hwy 53 #7 | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (+9%) | 7mo | $29,000 | $37 | 75 |
| 5545 Old Hwy 53 #6 | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-7%) | 16mo | $22,000 | $33 | 72 |
| 5845 Old Highway 53 #8 | 0.16mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 728 (+1%) | 21mo | $49,000 | $67 | 66 |
| 5828 Vallejo Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 712 (-1%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $84 | 66 |
| 5922 Cottage Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+7%) | 23mo | $93,000 | $121 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 75.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.45×
- Total profit
- $28,904
- Equity at exit
- $4,466
- IRR
- 79.4%
- Equity multiple
- 9.19×
- Total profit
- $68,675
- Equity at exit
- $2,590
Cash invested: $8,386 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95422
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $933 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $449/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$196
- Net cashflow
- $530
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,488
- Closing costs
- $898
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5735 Old Highway 53 Unit 07 Cottage (Park Owned) Clearlake, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $900 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5935 Old Highway 53 Unit D Clearlake, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,000 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 7665 Cache Creek Way Apt A Clearlake, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 32 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,191
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,678
- − Property taxes
- −$449
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$895
- − Management
- −$895
- − Depreciation
- −$871
- Taxable income
- $6,253
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,501
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,857/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This 1969 Sahara mobile home is in good condition with cosmetic updates, offering a blend of modern updates and classic charm. It is move-in ready and presents a great opportunity for budget-conscious buyers seeking quality and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A modern HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers and renters.
- Both Adding a small deck or patio — An outdoor living space can increase the home's appeal and functionality, boosting both resale and rental value.
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive, enhancing both resale and rental value.
- Both Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern bathrooms can improve the home's overall appeal and functionality, boosting both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A modern HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding a small deck or patio — An outdoor living space can increase the home's appeal and functionality, boosting both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more functional and attractive, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading the bathrooms with modern fixtures — Modern bathrooms can improve the home's overall appeal and functionality, boosting both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Konocti Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0620070
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,026
- Composite
- 11.81/100
- National rank
- #9677
- State rank
- #494 of 517 in CA
Livability — Clearlake
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #549
- US rank
- #18284
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clearlake, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,101
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,396 people
- By 2030
- 60,626 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 56,453 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 53,054 · -15.0%
- By 2075
- 47,663 · -23.6%
- By 2100
- 41,804 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 1% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 49.2% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 19.3pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+3.7 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.47%
- Current HPI
- 248.654
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…