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24 Hillside Ests
D+ Composite 45.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

24 Hillside Ests · Todd, PA 17233
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Manufactured public records · 297 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 2025 $69/sqft · 51% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brand new 2025 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home. This manufactured home features a large living room, kitchen area, and has a master bathroom and walk-in closet in the master bedroom. All new stainless appliances. Ready for a new owner! You don't want to miss out on this one! Lot rent is $350 a month. Buyer must receive community approval prior to settlement. Buyer has 3 months to install porch of their choice or porches are available to custom order.

Key facts

  • Built 2025
  • Listed 297 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($659/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (1.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Central Fulton SD (rural): math 36% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #278 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mcconnellsburg El Sch (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 429 students, 50% FRL); Mcconnellsburg Ms (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #298 of 512 statewide, top 60%, 211 students, 51% FRL); Mcconnellsburg Hs (math 74% / reading 75%, grade A-, #31 of 437 statewide, top 7%, 291 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 297 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $90k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 297 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.62%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$192,100
List price
$89,900
Delta
-53.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-11,039
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-4,986
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17233

Home prices YoY
-25.5%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$889 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,664/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$187
Net cashflow
$55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $820
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $106 -5% $80 +0% $55 +5% $30 +10% $4
Rent -10% $-15 -5% $20 +0% $55 +5% $90 +10% $125
Rate -1.0pp $100 -0.5pp $78 base $55 +0.5pp $32 +1.0pp $8

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $89,900 Pending 297 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 297 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 296 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 295 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 294 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 292 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 291 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 288 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 287 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 286 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 285 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 282 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 281 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 280 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 279 DOM
  16. 2026-05-04
    status Active 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    Brand new 2025 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home. This manufactured home features a large living room, kitchen area, and has a master bathroom and walk-in closet in the master bedroom. All new stainless appliances. Ready for a new owner! You don't want to miss out on this one! Lot rent is $350 a month. Buyer must receive community approval prior to settlement. Buyer has 3 months to install porch of their choice or porches are available to custom order.

  17. 2026-04-30
    historical 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    Brand new 2025 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home. This manufactured home features a large living room, kitchen area, and has a master bathroom and walk-in closet in the master bedroom. All new stainless appliances. Ready for a new owner! You don't want to miss out on this one! Lot rent is $350 a month. Buyer must receive community approval prior to settlement. Buyer has 3 months to install porch of their choice or porches are available to custom order.

  18. 2025-08-21
    listed $89,900 Active 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    Brand new 2025 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home. This manufactured home features a large living room, kitchen area, and has a master bathroom and walk-in closet in the master bedroom. All new stainless appliances. Ready for a new owner! You don't want to miss out on this one! Lot rent is $350 a month. Buyer must receive community approval prior to settlement. Buyer has 3 months to install porch of their choice or porches are available to custom order.

  19. 2025-08-21
    historical $89,900 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    Brand new 2025 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home. This manufactured home features a large living room, kitchen area, and has a master bathroom and walk-in closet in the master bedroom. All new stainless appliances. Ready for a new owner! You don't want to miss out on this one! Lot rent is $350 a month. Buyer must receive community approval prior to settlement. Buyer has 3 months to install porch of their choice or porches are available to custom order.

  20. 2022-05-31
    soldstatus $39,900 Closed 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Call today to schedule your showing on this beautiful well-kept home. 3 bedrooms, 2 bath double wide on rented lot. Central Air was installed 2015. A few features include garden/soaking tub, a nice big shed & a huge back deck with roof and handicap ramp. Mobile can be moved, however If you are planning to keep it in Hillside Estates, you must have park approval before submitting offer.

  21. 2022-04-18
    status Pending 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Call today to schedule your showing on this beautiful well-kept home. 3 bedrooms, 2 bath double wide on rented lot. Central Air was installed 2015. A few features include garden/soaking tub, a nice big shed & a huge back deck with roof and handicap ramp. Mobile can be moved, however If you are planning to keep it in Hillside Estates, you must have park approval before submitting offer.

  22. 2022-04-13
    listed $39,900 Active 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Call today to schedule your showing on this beautiful well-kept home. 3 bedrooms, 2 bath double wide on rented lot. Central Air was installed 2015. A few features include garden/soaking tub, a nice big shed & a huge back deck with roof and handicap ramp. Mobile can be moved, however If you are planning to keep it in Hillside Estates, you must have park approval before submitting offer.

  23. 2015-09-04
    soldstatus $28,500
  24. 2015-09-04
    soldstatus $28,500 Sold
  25. 2015-07-28
    status Contract
  26. 2015-07-25
    price $28,500
  27. 2015-02-18
    listed $30,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,664 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,664 · $139/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,672
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,664
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$854
− Management
−$854
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable loss
−$801
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$192
After-tax cash flow
$852/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central Fulton SD
NCES district ID
4214850
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$45,014
Composite
38.09/100
National rank
#4278
State rank
#278 of 539 in PA

Livability — Todd

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,103

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,762 people
By 2030
13,167 · -4.3%
By 2040
11,836 · -14.0%
By 2050
10,342 · -24.9%
By 2075
7,170 · -47.9%
By 2100
4,581 · -66.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Black 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.6) · D 13.5% · R 86.1%
2008→2024 swing
-24.0pp toward R · 2008: -48.6pp · 2024: -72.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.6 2020: R+72.0 2016: R+70.8 2012: R+56.6 2008: R+48.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.60%
Current HPI
136.17
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+199.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-21 Listed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-08-21 Coming Soon $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-05-31 Sold (MLS) $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-04-18 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-04-13 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-09-04 Sold (MLS) $28,500 MRIS
  • 2015-09-04 Sold (MLS) $28,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-07-28 Pending MRIS
  • 2015-07-25 Price Changed $28,500 MRIS
  • 2015-02-18 Listed $30,000 MRIS

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,664 · +80.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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