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2644 W Lombard St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 63.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

2644 W Lombard St · Springfield, MO 65802
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,434 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1960 10,454 sqft lot $80/sqft · 41% below area Est $196k · 41% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

As-is sale -- priced for investors. Currently tenant occupied at $1,335/month. One of the stronger rent rates in this portfolio. Located in an established Springfield neighborhood with King Food Saver and Walmart Neighborhood Market both within close proximity.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No additional financial amenities provided
  • Financial info: Tax information provided but financial specifics excluded
  • HOA & community: HOA information not specified

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not specified
  • Security: Security features not specified
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story
  • Construction: Construction details not specified
  • Exterior features: 0.24-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Appliances not specified
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms not specified
  • Flooring: Flooring details not specified
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: One-level living
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry details not specified

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $115,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$196,193) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Westport Elem. (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,007 of 1,115 statewide, top 91%, 384 students, 88% FRL); Westport Middle School (math 12% / reading 29%, grade F, #344 of 391 statewide, top 88%, 433 students, 87% FRL); Central High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #92 of 521 statewide, top 20%, 1,464 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 46% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 521 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.38%
Cash-on-cash
7.44%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$196,193
List price
$115,000
Delta
-41.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2556 W Madison St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,427 (-0%) 1mo $242,000 $170 87
2546 W Madison St 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,326 (-8%) 1mo $235,000 $177 74
2539 W Lombard St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,310 (-9%) 4mo $229,900 $175 72
2552 W Madison St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,276 (-11%) 1mo $225,020 $176 69
903 S Scenic Ave 0.06mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,229 (-14%) 1mo $144,900 $118 67
723 S West Ave 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,559 (+9%) 1mo $230,000 $148 66
727 S West Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,559 (+9%) 2mo $230,000 $148 66
1110 S Hillcrest Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,307 (-9%) 5mo $220,000 $168 56
1114 S Hillcrest Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,307 (-9%) 6mo $220,000 $168 55
2950 W Lincoln St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,508 (+5%) 5mo $189,900 $126 54
3224 W Lombard St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,360 (-5%) 0mo $179,900 $132 54
429 S West Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,296 (-10%) 6mo $85,000 $66 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-3,792
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$22,143
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65802

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
521
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,159 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $777/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$200

Break-even live

Break-even rent $906
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $265 -5% $232 +0% $200 +5% $167 +10% $135
Rent -10% $108 -5% $154 +0% $200 +5% $245 +10% $291
Rate -1.0pp $258 -0.5pp $229 base $200 +0.5pp $170 +1.0pp $140

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1020 S Clifton Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1010 $950 $0.94 26d 1 0.16mi
1040 S Clifton Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1010 $945 $0.94 16d 1 0.21mi
2204 W Madison St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 960 $1,095 $1.14 16d 1 0.43mi
2541 W Lincoln St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1034 $975 $0.94 46d 1 0.50mi
2412 W Lincoln St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1260 $1,295 $1.03 26d 1 0.52mi
1152 S Hillcrest Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.5 1240 $1,300 $1.05 46d 1 0.54mi
1365 S Scenic Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1328 $1,550 $1.17 16d 1 0.57mi
2854 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 945 $995 $1.05 23d 1 0.66mi
2602 W College St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1350 $995 $0.74 16d 1 0.68mi
3002 W Elm St Springfield, MO 3.0 2.0 1128 $1,295 $1.15 23d 1 0.68mi
3028 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 975 $850 $0.87 23d 1 0.77mi
547 S Hilton Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,175 $1.17 46d 1 0.84mi
250 N Hilton Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1153 $628 $0.54 16d 1 1.00mi
1500 W Grand St Springfield, MO 2.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1365 $1,395 $1.02 16d 3 1.00mi
1625 S Marion Ave Springfield, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,321 $1.47 16d 5 1.03mi
1634 S Marion Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0–2.0 845 $1,662 $1.97 16d 23 1.12mi
627 S Fort Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 880 $895 $1.02 26d 1 1.24mi
741 N West Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 912 $950 $1.04 46d 1 1.25mi
740 N West Ave Springfield, MO 3.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 26d 1 1.25mi
539 S Fort Ave Springfield, MO 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,025 $0.68 16d 1 1.27mi
1200 W Walnut St Springfield, MO 2.0 2.0 1000 $995 $0.99 16d 3 1.39mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $115,000 Active 261-char remark
  2. 2025-08-17
    historical $1,335
  3. 2025-07-20
    listed $1,335
  4. 2019-04-18
    soldstatus $350,000
  5. 2018-11-29
    listed $64,000
  6. 2016-12-02
    listed $1,260,000
  7. 2016-07-01
    listed $119,915
  8. 2005-02-14
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$777 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,116 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$338/yr (+$28/mo · 43.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,904
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$777
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,112
− Management
−$1,112
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$540
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$130
After-tax cash flow
$2,266/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Springfield R-XII
NCES district ID
2928860
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,886
Composite
32.45/100
National rank
#5717
State rank
#174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

Score
75/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Springfield, MO
County
Greene County · 244,327 people
City population
223,044
Metro
Springfield, MO
Population (ZIP)
46,739
Household income
$55,019
Rent vs Own
41.4% rent · 58.6% own
Severe rent burden
1818.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,054 people
By 2030
335,135 · +5.0%
By 2040
366,186 · +14.8%
By 2050
397,431 · +24.6%
By 2075
477,035 · +49.5%
By 2100
520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.72%
Current HPI
212.9826
Rent YoY
▲ 4.82%
Metro
Springfield, MO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending SOMO
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $115,000 SOMO
  • 2025-08-17 Rental Removed $1,335 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-07-20 Listed for Rent $1,335 APPFOLIO
  • 2019-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
  • 2018-11-29 Listed $64,000 SOMO
  • 2016-12-02 Listed $1,260,000 SOMO
  • 2016-07-01 Listed $119,915 SOMO
  • 2005-02-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $777 · +17.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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