2292 N Ironwood Dr #87 · Apache Junction, AZ 85120

$75,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured · 41 Days on market

Built 1998 Good condition Est $60k · 24% over

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +1.6/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Beautifully upgraded3 bedroom home, with cozy backyard oasis, in the all ages community of Windsong! Enjoy all of the beautiful upgrades the current owner has made, including: new floors, upgraded bathrooms, new plumbing in the kitchen, remodeled kitchen, new countertops, new lights, new awnings, new skirting and an AC unit that is only 4 years old! Enjoy the community pool in the warmer summer months, and nearby hiking trails!!

Key facts

• New plumbing
• Community pool
• Remodeled kitchen

Tags

• BACKYARD OASIS
• UPGRADED BATHROOMS
• NEW PLUMBING
• REMODELED KITCHEN
• NEW COUNTERTOPS
• COMMUNITY POOL

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: No association fees; Land lease of $715 monthly; Community pool

Exterior

• Parking: 1 covered parking space; 1 open parking space; 1 carport space
• Utilities: City water; Public sewer
• Home design: Manufactured / mobile housing; Leasehold property
• Construction: Steel frame construction; Painted exterior
• Exterior features: Chain-link fence (partial); Desert front and back landscaping; Gravel/stone front and back; Synthetic grass in front; Foam roof

Interior

• Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
• Bedrooms: 3 possible bedrooms
• Flooring: Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; No interior steps; Master bedroom with 3/4 bath

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $938 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
• Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 21.3% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Four Peaks Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #898 of 1,109 statewide, top 83%, 498 students, 73% FRL); Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $72,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.46% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.30%
• Cash-on-cash: 53.61%
• DSCR: 3.39
• GRM: 3.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $60,480
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2292 N Ironwood Dr #110	0.02mi	3/2.0	960 (0%)	0mo	$67,000	$70	99
2292 N Ironwood Dr #78	0.00mi	3/2.0	960 (0%)	4mo	$60,000	$63	97
2292 N Ironwood Dr #56	0.08mi	3/2.0	960 (0%)	2mo	$59,000	$61	94
2292 N Ironwood Dr #55	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	960 (0%)	3mo	$57,000	$59	92
2292 N Ironwood Dr #84	0.00mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,024 (+7%)	3mo	$25,000	$24	82
2292 N Ironwood Dr #34	0.12mi	3/2.0	1,024 (+7%)	5mo	$60,000	$59	79
2292 N Ironwood Dr #103	0.12mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,008 (+5%)	5mo	$18,000	$18	77
2292 N Ironwood Dr #41	0.12mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,080 (+12%)	3mo	$16,000	$15	66
2200 N Delaware Dr #62	0.40mi	3/2.0	1,100 (+15%)	2mo	$75,000	$68	56
1784 N Main Dr	0.33mi	2/1.0 (-1)	833 (-13%)	4mo	$249,995	$300	50
1644 N Desert View Dr N	0.63mi	2/2.0 (-1)	846 (-12%)	7mo	$271,500	$321	40
875 W Smoketree St	0.67mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,080 (+12%)	7mo	$337,000	$312	37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 48.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.01×
• Total profit: $42,226
• Equity at exit: $11,183

10-year hold

• IRR: 52.6%
• Equity multiple: 5.43×
• Total profit: $92,945
• Equity at exit: $6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85120

• Home prices YoY: -29.0%
• Rents YoY: -3.5%
• Active inventory: 468
• Price-to-rent: 3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,844 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$94 /mo · $1,125/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$387
• Net cashflow: $938

Break-even live

Break-even rent $656

Max offer price $75,000

Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $990	-5% $964	+0% $938	+5% $912	+10% $886
Rent	-10% $793	-5% $865	+0% $938	+5% $1,011	+10% $1,084
Rate	-1.0pp $976	-0.5pp $957	base $938	+0.5pp $919	+1.0pp $899

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,750
• Closing costs: $2,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2185 W Ohio St Apache Junction, AZ	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,295	$1.29	6d	1	1.10mi
455 N Delaware Dr Unit 7 Apache Junction, AZ	2.0	2.0	1060	$1,900	$1.79	26d	1	1.17mi
1440 N Idaho Rd Apache Junction, AZ	1.0–2.0	1.0–1.5	1010	$1,900	$1.88	26d	3	1.24mi

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $75,000 Active 41 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $75,000 Active 35 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $75,000 Active 33 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   pricedays on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $80,000 Active 24 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $80,000 Active 23 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 22 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 20 DOM
15. 2026-05-11
    listed $80,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,124
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,201
• − Property taxes: −$1,125
• − Insurance: −$375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,770
• − Management: −$1,770
• − Depreciation: −$2,182
• Taxable income: $10,701
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,568
• After-tax cash flow: $8,690/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This beautifully upgraded 3-bedroom home in Windsong offers a cozy backyard oasis and is move-in ready with minimal maintenance required.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Replace awnings — Improves curb appeal and functionality
• Resale Replace countertops — Modernizes kitchen and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Replace awnings — Improves curb appeal and functionality ↑
• Resale Replace countertops — Modernizes kitchen and adds value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
• NCES district ID: 0400790
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 20% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $44,930
• Composite: 15.34/100
• National rank: #9325
• State rank: #195 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Apache Junction

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #70
• US rank: #11242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Apache Junction, AZ
• County: Pinal County · 399,947 people
• City population: 56,611
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 31,191
• Household income: $57,786
• Rent vs Own: 17.8% rent · 82.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 686.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 437,574 people
• By 2030: 446,903 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 452,589 · +3.4%
• By 2050: 444,126 · +1.5%
• By 2075: 430,300 · -1.7%
• By 2100: 393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 13%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -128.31%
• Current HPI: 313.4666
• Rent YoY: ▼ -3.50%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-11 Listed $80,000 ARMLS