4843 NE Tullis Ave · Kansas City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Kansas City offers a functional layout featuring approximately 874 square feet of living area. The property includes an attached 1-car garage and a full basement providing ample storage or hobby space. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the fenced-in backyard, with a private deck and a storage shed. Situated in a convenient location, this well-maintained residence is ready for its next owner to move in and enjoy.
Key facts
- Private deck
- Storage shed
- Full basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $172k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- North Kansas City 74 (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #98 of 324 in MO (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.93%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $202,989
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- -13.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8032 NE San Rafael Dr | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 874 (0%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $240 | 91 |
| 7928 NE San Rafael Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 872 (-0%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $218 | 87 |
| 4831 N Manchester Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 874 (0%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $206 | 86 |
| 8017 NE 50th St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 874 (0%) | 12mo | $165,000 | $189 | 83 |
| 4837 N Wallace Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 910 (+4%) | 15mo | $209,900 | $231 | 74 |
| 4820 N Manchester Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 932 (+7%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $214 | 72 |
| 5128 N Richmond Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 833 (-5%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $239 | 68 |
| 5174 N Corrington Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 840 (-4%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $196 | 57 |
| 7821 NE 51st St | 0.24mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 748 (-14%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $194 | 56 |
| 5106 N Sycamore Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+10%) | 14mo | $175,000 | $182 | 56 |
| 5142 N Corrington Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 816 (-7%) | 13mo | $190,000 | $233 | 45 |
| 7937 NE 55th St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+10%) | 13mo | $220,000 | $229 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-4,421
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $45,245
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64119
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,846 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$185 /mo · $2,219/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8030 NE 50th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1047 | $1,595 | $1.52 | 3d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 5128 N Palmer Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 905 | $1,646 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Kansas City offers a functional layout featuring approximately 874 square feet of living area. The property includes an attached 1-car garage and a full basement providing ample storage or hobby space. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the fenced-in backyard, with a private deck and a storage shed. Situated in a convenient location, this well-maintained residence is ready for its next owner to move in and enjoy.
-
2026-04-22$175,000 Active 461-char remark
Show marketing remark (461 chars)
This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home in Kansas City offers a functional layout featuring approximately 874 square feet of living area. The property includes an attached 1-car garage and a full basement providing ample storage or hobby space. Outdoor enthusiasts will appreciate the fenced-in backyard, with a private deck and a storage shed. Situated in a convenient location, this well-maintained residence is ready for its next owner to move in and enjoy.
-
2017-10-20soldstatus Sold 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
* * * Motivated Seller, bring us an offer * * * Newer A/C, windows, heater, water heater, flooring (partial). Home fully re-insulated in 2010. Tons of natural light. Garage +4 car driveway. Low maintenance exterior. Minutes from 435. Perfect for a small family or starter home. Already passed FHA appraisal with no repairs necessary!
-
2017-10-20soldstatus
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
* * * Motivated Seller, bring us an offer * * * Newer A/C, windows, heater, water heater, flooring (partial). Home fully re-insulated in 2010. Tons of natural light. Garage +4 car driveway. Low maintenance exterior. Minutes from 435. Perfect for a small family or starter home. Already passed FHA appraisal with no repairs necessary!
-
2017-10-10status Pending 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
* * * Motivated Seller, bring us an offer * * * Newer A/C, windows, heater, water heater, flooring (partial). Home fully re-insulated in 2010. Tons of natural light. Garage +4 car driveway. Low maintenance exterior. Minutes from 435. Perfect for a small family or starter home. Already passed FHA appraisal with no repairs necessary!
-
2017-10-04price $110,000 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
* * * Motivated Seller, bring us an offer * * * Newer A/C, windows, heater, water heater, flooring (partial). Home fully re-insulated in 2010. Tons of natural light. Garage +4 car driveway. Low maintenance exterior. Minutes from 435. Perfect for a small family or starter home. Already passed FHA appraisal with no repairs necessary!
-
2017-09-25price $112,000 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
* * * Motivated Seller, bring us an offer * * * Newer A/C, windows, heater, water heater, flooring (partial). Home fully re-insulated in 2010. Tons of natural light. Garage +4 car driveway. Low maintenance exterior. Minutes from 435. Perfect for a small family or starter home. Already passed FHA appraisal with no repairs necessary!
-
2017-09-20status Active 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
* * * Motivated Seller, bring us an offer * * * Newer A/C, windows, heater, water heater, flooring (partial). Home fully re-insulated in 2010. Tons of natural light. Garage +4 car driveway. Low maintenance exterior. Minutes from 435. Perfect for a small family or starter home. Already passed FHA appraisal with no repairs necessary!
-
2017-08-12status Pending 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
* * * Motivated Seller, bring us an offer * * * Newer A/C, windows, heater, water heater, flooring (partial). Home fully re-insulated in 2010. Tons of natural light. Garage +4 car driveway. Low maintenance exterior. Minutes from 435. Perfect for a small family or starter home. Already passed FHA appraisal with no repairs necessary!
-
2017-08-05price $115,000 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
* * * Motivated Seller, bring us an offer * * * Newer A/C, windows, heater, water heater, flooring (partial). Home fully re-insulated in 2010. Tons of natural light. Garage +4 car driveway. Low maintenance exterior. Minutes from 435. Perfect for a small family or starter home. Already passed FHA appraisal with no repairs necessary!
-
2017-08-01price $117,000 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
* * * Motivated Seller, bring us an offer * * * Newer A/C, windows, heater, water heater, flooring (partial). Home fully re-insulated in 2010. Tons of natural light. Garage +4 car driveway. Low maintenance exterior. Minutes from 435. Perfect for a small family or starter home. Already passed FHA appraisal with no repairs necessary!
-
2017-07-21$119,500 Active 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
* * * Motivated Seller, bring us an offer * * * Newer A/C, windows, heater, water heater, flooring (partial). Home fully re-insulated in 2010. Tons of natural light. Garage +4 car driveway. Low maintenance exterior. Minutes from 435. Perfect for a small family or starter home. Already passed FHA appraisal with no repairs necessary!
-
2004-01-06soldstatus
-
2003-10-13$97,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,219 · $185/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,219 · $185/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,152
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,219
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,772
- − Management
- −$1,772
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $620
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$149
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,245/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Kansas City 74
- NCES district ID
- 2922800
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,444
- Composite
- 37.88/100
- National rank
- #4321
- State rank
- #98 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kansas City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #2671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kansas City, MO
- County
- Clay County · 220,651 people
- City population
- 439,467
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,199
- Household income
- $83,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 603.0
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 266,022 people
- By 2030
- 280,057 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 306,153 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 328,630 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 375,182 · +41.0%
- By 2100
- 392,861 · +47.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.6) · D 46.4% · R 52.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.6 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+11.1 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -253.39%
- Current HPI
- 215.8366
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.09%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+80.4% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $175,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-10-20 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-10 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-04 Price Changed $110,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-25 Price Changed $112,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-09-20 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-12 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-05 Price Changed $115,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-08-01 Price Changed $117,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-21 Listed $119,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-06 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-10-13 Listed $97,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,219 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…